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The 2019 French Open has started and while punters have started making match bets, the futures odds to win the tournament is still open at the major tennis betting sites.
Last month, we already did a comprehensive preview of the 2019 French Open. You can read it by clicking here. This time, we’ll check on the latest futures odds for the outright winner of the tournament and discuss the movement in the lines. At the end of this article, we’ll let you know whom we think is going to be the next winner at Roland Garros. So read on.
Who Are The Favorites?
Here are the latest odds to win the 2019 French Open. Odds were taken from BetOnline.ag as of 5/30/19:
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rafael Nadal | -125 |
| Novak Djokovic | +250 |
| Dominic Thiem | +650 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | +1600 |
| Roger Federer | +2000 |
| Alexander Zverev | +2500 |
| Juan Martin Del Potro | +3300 |
| Stan Wawrinka | +4000 |
| Fabio Fognini | +5000 |
| Kei Nishikori | +5000 |
Rafael Nadal remains on the top spot and he still remains as the only player with “minus” odds. Nadal was a -110 in our previous prediction. Now the Spaniard comes at a heftier -125 and as this tournament continues to move forward, expect him to be priced higher.
Nadal is the greatest clay court player of all-time and his 11 victories at Roland Garros is unprecedented. Nadal has lost three matches in this tournament in the last 14 years so to say he’s untouchable here may be correct. The last time he lost at the French Open was in 2015 when he wasn’t just battling Novak Djokovic but injuries as well. Nadal is coming off a win over Djokovic at the Italian Open.
Novak Djokovic is still the man next to Nadal in the odds board. The #1 ranked player in the world, Djokovic is chasing a non-calendar year grand slam. Dating back to last year, Djokovic has won the last three grand slam tournaments. Last January, he defeated Nadal to win the 2019 Australian Open title. Since our last preview, Djokovic made it to the quarterfinals of the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, won the Mutua Madrid Open and then lost to Nadal in the finals of the Italian Open.
Dominic Thiem was 4th in the April odds board but now moves one spot higher at #3. But from +1200, he’s become more expensive at +650. His performance during his French Open preparations probably sparked his odds. The 4th ranked player in the world lost to Djokovic in the semifinals in Madrid and won the Barcelona Open where he defeated Nadal in the semifinals.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has also emerged in the odds board. In fact, he is the highest climber as he’s gone from #9 and +3300 to #5 at +1600. The 6th ranked player in the world lost to Nadal in the semifinals at Rome, lost to Djokovic in the finals at Madrid and won the Millenium Estoril Open at the start of this month.
Alexander Zverev was third at +1200 in last month’s odds board but he’s fallen to 6th at +2500 in the latest list of betting favorites. The 5th ranked tennis player in the world won the Geneva Open last week and reached the quarterfinals at the Madrid Open. Other than those, Zverves has been a letdown in his other preparatory tournaments entered.
Who Wins?
I don’t think there’s any reason to change our pick. The last time out, we picked Rafael Nadal to win the French Open. That was an easy call, really. After we made our first preview, Nadal went on to beat Novak Djokovic at the Italian Open. The win was his 34th Masters 1000 title, a new record. Nadal and Djokovic shared the old record at 33 and the winner in Rome settled that score. That’s another story though.
Going back to the French Open, I think Nadal is a runaway choice to win again. Djokovic has been the last man to beat him in 2015 and he disposed of the world #1 6-0, 4-6 and 6-1 in Rome earlier this month. That was a rather dominant win for Nadal and a statement that he is ready for the 2019 French Open.
As of the latest, Nadal is through to the third round of the 2019 French Open and has yet to drop a set. Djokovic won his first round match in straight sets and has yet to play his second round match as of this writing.
