2019 Mexican Grand Prix Betting Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The 2019 Mexican Grand Prix will be held on October 28, 2019, at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in Mexico City, Mexico. It will be the 18th round of the 2019 FIA Formula One World Championships and the third to the last race of the season.

The race covers a distance of 4.304 km or 189.738 m around the Mexico City circuit and will have a total of 71 laps. This year’s race will be the 20th running of the race which became part of the F1 world title season beginning in 2015.

Last year, Max Verstappen won the 2018 Mexican Grand Prix and was joined by Sebastian Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen in the Podium. Valtteri Bottas won the pole position in last year’s installment of the race. This year, the Mexican Grand Prix could be the race where Lewis Hamilton seals his sixth world title. After the results of the last race in Japan, Mercedes already clinched the Constructors’ title while only Hamilton and Bottas remain in the running for the Drivers championship.

Because of the set-up of the Mexico City circuit, the two Ferrari drivers are in the top 3 of the current odds board from Sportsbetting. Rookie Charles Leclerc is the top favorite to win the race and is followed by Hamilton and German Sebastian Vettel.

Here are the betting odds to win the 2019 Mexican Grand Prix. These odds were taken from SportsBetting.ag as of 10/17/19:

Who are the Favorites?

Charles Leclerc is the current F1 betting favorite to win the 2019 Mexican Grand Prix. Ferrari’s rookie driver from Monaco is third in the current Drivers Standings with a total of 221 points earned. Leclerc won back to back races in Belgium and Italy earlier in the season and he has been on the rise as of late, finishing in the podium in eight out of his last 11 races. Leclerc finished a close second behind teammate Sebastian Vettel in the qualifying for the 2019 Japanese Grand Prix but he finished in 7th place after his car collided with Max Verstappen during the race.

Lewis Hamilton is the current leader in the Drivers Standings with 338 points. The five-time World Champion is nearing a sixth world title which would put him closer to Michael Schumacher’s record of 7 Formula One world titles won. Hamilton won seven out of the first 10 races of the season and has won a total of nine on the year. He has finished in the podium in 14 out of the first 17 races of the season. The Brit has won just once in the last five races and is coming off a third-place finish at the 2019 Japanese Grand Prix. Hamilton won the Mexican Grand Prix in 2016 and he finished 4th in Mexico last year.

Sebastian Vettel was supposed to be Lewis Hamilton’s top challenger this season. Instead, the German Ferrari ace has struggled to pick up wins this season. Vettel has won just once race this season, winning at the 2019 Singapore Grand Prix three races ago. The four-time Formula One champion only has eight podium finishes this season but four of them have come in the last seven races. Vettel is coming off a second-place finish at the 2019 Japanese Grand Prix and he was the runner-up in the 2018 Mexican Grand Prix.

Max Verstappen is the youngest driver to compete in a Formula One Grand Prix race. The Red Bull ace from Belgium is currently ranked 4th in the Drivers Standings with 212 points earned this season. Verstappen won the 2019 Austrian Grand Prix and the 2019 German Grand Prix. He did not finish the last race of the season in Japan after his car collided with Charles Leclerc’s Ferrari. This Dutch driver has finished in the Top 5 in all but one race this season and has six podium finishes this season. He won the last two installments of the Mexican Grand Prix.

Valtteri Bottas is Lewis Hamilton’s teammate and has won three races this season. The 30-year old Finn has a total of 13 podium finishes this season and he currently ranks second behind Hamilton in the Drivers standings with a total of 274 points earned this season. Bottas has finished in the Top 3 in four out of the last five races of the year and is coming off a win at the 2019 Japanese Grand Prix. He’s finished in the Top 5 in three out of the last four editions of the Mexican Grand Prix.

Who Wins?

This is the first time this season that Lewis Hamilton isn’t the F1 betting favorite in a race. The Brit has dominated the 2019 season and is closing in on a 6th World title. His team Mercedes has already sealed another Constructor’s title after his teammate Bottas’ win in Japan. That race also eliminated every other driver from the Driver’s title except Bottas, meaning that the 2019 Formula One world title is now a two-man battle between the two Mercedes drivers.

Hamilton is currently 64 points ahead of Bottas after the Japan results and there is a maximum of 78 race points to be earned in the last three races of the year. Hamilton needs to beat Bottas by 14 points to clinch the title in Mexico. He can do that if he wins the race and picks up the bonus points for the fastest lap while Bottas doesn’t finish in the Top 3.

These two are teammates but when it comes to the Drivers title, it is every man for himself now especially with Mercedes already clinching the team title. Bottas will do everything in his power to top his more decorated teammate for the second straight race and he is also hungry to win his first world title. It won’t be easy to overtake a 64-point disadvantage but stranger things have happened in Formula One.

As for Hamilton, he can spare two races if he wins in Mexico but the fact is that he’s won this race just once in 2016. The track in Mexico has two long straights and we know how the Ferrari set-up makes them the cars to beat when racing in a straight line. Hamilton does have the experience and man has always proven to be better than the machine.

With nothing to lose, I like the chances of Ferrari in this race. Leclerc is the favorite but don’t count out Vettel yet at +300. The smart bet would be the favorite Leclerc or his teammate Vettel who has more experience. But don’t forget that this is a race which Max Verstappen has won in back to back seasons. Verstappen is nicely priced at +350 but given how the drivers have performed in the last few races, I like the Ferraris. Vettel finished second to Verstappen in Mexico last season and he’s finished in the Top 5 in the last three races in Mexico. The German is also coming off a 2nd place finish in Japan in a race where he took pole position. I think he wants to finish strong in a disappointing season. Everyone has his motive but I think Vettel has more to prove.

Prediction: Sebastian Vettel

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