2020 Geico 500 NASCAR Betting Odds and Preview

The 2020 Geico 500 is the 13th race of the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season. It will be held on June 21, 2020, at the Talladega Superspeedway in Lincoln, Alabama, and raced over 188 laps on the 2.66-mile superspeedway.

The Geico 500 is the first NASCAR race since the Real Heroes 400 last May to have a limited number of public spectators. Races have been held behind closed doors due to the restriction on public gatherings as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. However, the previous week’s race, the Dixie Vodka 500, was allowed to invite an audience composed of local members of the U.S. military. The 2020 Geico 500 meanwhile, will be allowed a maximum attendance of 5,000 in the grandstands and towers with face masks and social distancing strictly enforced.

Dixie Vodka 400 Recap

In the last race of the 2020 Cup Series championship, Denny Hamlin picked up his third victory of the season and his 40th race win overall. Hamlin took the lead with 30 laps to go and went on to tie a record with three NASCAR Cup Series wins at Homestead.

Before last week, only former drivers Tony Stewart and Greg Biffle have won thrice at Homestead in a Cup Series race. But after edging Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski at the finish line, Hamlin joins the elite group as he moves to 7th place in the current Cup Series standings.

This is how the 2020 Cup Series standings look like after last week’s Dixie Vodka 400 race:

Here are the odds to win the 2020 Geico 500 race on June 21, 2020. These odds were taken from the online sportsbook MyBookie.ag as of 06/19/2020:

Who Are the Favorites?

Chase Elliott is the odds on favorite to win at Talladega this weekend. The 24-year old is currently ranked 2nd in the 2020 Cup Series standings and is just 8 points behind leader Kevin Harvick. He has eight Top 10 finishes in his last races including three Top 5 finishes in the last six races. Elliott finished second at the Dixie Vodka 400 last week at Homestead. When it comes to Talladega, Elliott only has one Top 10 finish in four starts. However, he cannot be counted out in Spring Races because he has three Top 5 finishes in four such races including a win last year.

Denny Hamlin is currently 7th in the Cup Series standings but is coming off a win in last week’s 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead. Hamlin leads all drivers this season with three races won. He has finished in the top five in five out of the last eight races of the season. In Hamlin’s last 10 races at Talladega, he has a total of five top 10 finishes including 3 in the Top 5. His last three races in this racetrack have yielded a 3rd, 36th, and 4th place finish and should be a contender this weekend.

Brad Keselowski is fourth in the Cup Series standings. The 36-year old has finished in the Top 10 in the last seven races of the 2020 season with two race wins to his resume. He finished third in Martinsville and 10th in the last race of the season at Homestead. He ranks second to Joey Logano for most laps led in this racetrack in the last 10 races. In his last 10 starts at Talladega, Keselowski has four Top 10 finishes which include two wins. However, Keselowski has not finished higher than 13th in his last four races at this racetrack.

Joey Logano is in third place in the latest Cup Series standings. Logano finished 27th in the last race of the season but he has two wins this year and four Top 10 finishes in his last seven races overall. Logano leads all current drivers for most laps led in Talladega in the last 10 races there. He also has six Top 5 finishes and three wins during his last 10 start at this racetrack. He has finished in the Top 5 in five out of his last seven starts at Talladega.

Kyle Busch is the defending Cup Series champion but he hasn’t been in the thick of the fight just yet. Busch is a far 9th in the Cup Series standings and is coming off a 6th place finish at Homestead last week. Kyle Busch has finished inside the Top 10 in seven out of the last 10 races of the season including six Top 4 finishes. Busch ranks third behind Logano and Keselowski for the most laps led in Talladega during the last 10 races there. Over that period, Busch has taken the pole once and has a total of six Top 10 finishes in the race track.

Who Wins?

Between the four drivers priced at +1000, I like Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski. Keselowski sustained his terrific form by finishing 10th at Homestead. He has now finished in the Top 13 in 11 straight races, including 8 Top 9 finishes. Keselowski also has five wins in Talladega with his last victory coming at the 2017 Alabama 500.

On the other hand, Logano finished 27th in the Dixie Vodka 400 and has not won a race since the season has restarted. However, Logano has three wins and 8 Top 10 finishes in 22 career starts at the Talladega Superspeedway.

I won’t mind if you go with Keselowski in this race because he has been very consistent since finishing 36th in the first race of the season. But my pick is Logano who is having a great season and is due for a victory after his recent struggles. Give me Joey Logano here

Prediction: Joey Logano

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