Today we continue our preview of 2020 over/under win totals for the 30 teams in Major League baseball. In our previous article, we talked about the first 10 teams, alphabetically in the majors. These predictions are based on the additions and subtractions of the teams during the offseason plus of course our intuitive guesses. Let’s move on with the next ten teams in our list so read on:
The Astros had a tough offseason. They lost ace Gerritt Cole to the New York Yankees in free agency and the team got involved in the infamous sign-stealing scandal that led to the ousting of general manager Jeff Luhnow and manager AJ Hinch.
The Astros hired veteran Dusty Baker as their new skipper. Baker should be able to provide Houston with stability and help the franchise keep the core of the team which helped them win the 2017 World Series title and an AL pennant in 2019. I expect some decline this season but for a team that won 107 games, I think they will win over 94 games this season.
Prediction: Over 94.5
The Kansas City Royals are on a rebuild and they won just 59 games in 2019. They kept outfielder Alex Gordon and signed third baseman Mikael Franco to a one-year deal via free agency. The Royals also made a trade for first baseman Ryan McBroom for cash considerations.
Over 65.5
-105
Under 65.5
-115
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
Their additions have made them more versatile this coming season but I don’t think that these players will be enough to help the Royals win six more games in 2020.
Prediction: Under 65.5
The Los Angeles Angels now possess a potent offensive tandem after the signing of third-baseman Anthony Rendon who now joins AL MVP Mike Trout. However, I’m not sure if the additions of Dylan Bundy and Julio Teheran improve a pitching staff that ranked 25th in the majors last season with a 5.12 ERA.
Over 85.5
-110
Under 85.5
-110
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
I agree that this team will do better than their 90-loss season in 2019. But to ask them to win more than 85 games this season? I’m not sure. Unless that pitching staff gets an upgrade, the Trout-Rendon offensive combo won’t mean too much.
Prediction: Under 85.5
The Dodgers won 106 games last season but they were eliminated in the division series by the eventual champions Washington Nationals. After that loss, they traded for Mookie Betts and that deal makes them much better in 2020.
Over 101.5
-120
Under 101.5
+100
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
They lost Hyun-Jin Ryu but the team acquired right-handed pitcher Jimmy Nelson which would make them just as good as they were last season, even without Betts. It’s unsure whether the Dodgers will finally win their first Commissioner’s Trophy this coming season with Betts but they should be able to match last year’s win total.
Prediction: Over 101.5
The Miami Marlins’ offseason deals netted them decent but not spectacular players. The Marlins added the likes of Matt Kemp, Jonathan Villar, and Corey Dickerson but I don’t think they can lift the Marlins from the bottom of the ocean.
Over 64.5
-120
Under 64.5
+100
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
Miami won 57 games last season and their player development plus new additions should give them more wins this coming season. But for them to win eight more games this season? I’m not buying it right now.
Prediction: Under 64.5
The Brewers lost catcher Yasmani Grandal and infielder Mike Moustakas during the offseason. They added veteran left-handed pitcher Brett Anderson but didn’t pick up an ace to beef up their pitching staff.
Over 83.5
-125
Under 83.5
+105
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
Milwaukee also added Avisail Garcia, Justin Smoak, and Ryon Healy to strengthen their lineup. This team won 89 games in 2019 and while their losses are going to pull them down, I think they will be able to hit the 84 win total this season.
Prediction: Over 83.5
The Twins are favored to keep their AL Central title after they added third-baseman Josh Donaldson to an offense that already produced an MLB record of 307 home runs in 2019. Then Minnesota also added Rich Hill and Homer Bailey while re-signing Jake Odorizzi and Michael Pineda.
Over 92.5
-125
Under 92.5
+105
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
This team won 101 games this season and I don’t think this team will decline this season with Donaldson adding more offense. This one was one of the easiest picks for me to make.
Prediction: Over 92.5
The Mets lost right-hander Zach Wheeler to division rival Philadelphia. But they were able to add 2-16 AL CY Young winner Rick Porcello and free agent, Dellin Betances, from the Yankees. These names are only additions to a staff that includes back to back NL Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom and right-hander Noah Syndergaard.
Over 86.5
-125
Under 86.5
+105
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
New York’s offense has plenty of weaknesses but after 2019 NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso led the majors with 53 home runs last season, the Mets will be okay. They won 86 games last season and there is no reason to doubt that they can add one more win this season.
Prediction: Over 86.5
The Yankees needed to add an ace and they signed Gerritt Cole to a blockbuster $324M contract during the offseason. New York already has a potent lineup and a deep bullpen and the addition of Cole makes them better, even with the loss of Betances to free agency.
Over 101.5
-140
Under 101.5
+120
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
With only the Tampa Bay Rays as their major competitor in their division, the Yankees should be able to do better than the 103 games they won last season. Unless they get hit by the injury bug. The Yankees should hit the over this coming season.
Prediction: Over 101.5
The A’s lost players like Tanner Roark, Blake Treinen, and Jurickson Profar. They also didn’t make any significant acquisitions during the offseason. They won 97 games in 2019 and I expect them to be a factor in their division.
Over 89.5
-125
Under 89.5
+105
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 03/11/20
However, with everybody around them in the division getting much better this season, I’m not sure if the A’s can keep up with the pace. I think there will be a notable drop-off this season.
Prediction: Under 89.5
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