Most card counters operate at about a 1% advantage over the casino. This isn’t a huge edge, but over time, it adds up.
It’s tricky to make a lot of money counting cards, because the casinos are watching closely to thwart counters. They’ll ban you in a heartbeat if they think you’re an advantage player.
I’ll assume for this post that your counting skills are good, and you’re good at avoiding detection.
Here’s what you need to do next to make more money counting cards.
Counting cards is all about expected value. Your hourly earnings over time should add up to the product of your edge, your average bet size, and the number of hands you play per hour.
Your bankroll size is one of 2 factors that affect the size of your bets. The other factor is your tolerance for risk.
According to Blackjack Apprenticeship, your “risk of ruin”—the probability you’ll go broke in the short run, before your edge kicks in, goes down as your bankroll goes up, as follows:
If you’re a conservative player, you might be playing for $5 per hand with a $5000 bankroll.
What does that amount to in terms of hourly expected win rate?
1% X $5 X 80 hands/hour = $4/hour
That’s not even minimum wage.
You have 2 choices—you can raise your risk tolerance and increase your average bet size. Or you can increase the size of your bankroll to the point where you can afford to maintain the same low level of risk and make bigger bets.
Really, though—I wouldn’t even do that. I’m just not excited about $4/hour or even $8/hour. I’d just got ahead and play for $25/hand. Sure, I have a 2 in 5 shot of going broke, but my expected earnings are now $20/hour.
That’s not a great living, but it’s something worth doing.
Of course, as your bankroll grows, you can raise your bet sizes even further. My strategy would be to reinvest my earnings into my bankroll.
After 50 hours of making $20/hour counting cards, you’d have an extra $1000 in your bankroll, making your total bankroll $6000 instead.
You could then move up to $30/hand. That would increase your expected hourly earnings to $24/hour.
Think of your growing bankroll as being like an investment vehicle. The larger it gets, the more the compound interest affects its growth.
Forming a card counting team might seem to be beyond you, but it’s probably easier than you might think. You don’t need a huge team to start, either. If you find one other player to work with, you can double the size of your bankroll by pooling your money.
And since there are 2 of you, you can play twice as many hands and earn twice as much money. With the larger bankroll, you’re decreasing your risk, too.
If you’ve never started a blackjack team before, I have some practical suggestions.
I mention this a lot when I’m writing about poker:
Money saved is just as valuable as money won.
If the count is 0 or gets really negative, don’t just sit there making minimum bets. Take the opportunity to move to another table. Or get something to eat. Go smoke a cigarette.
The longer you stay at a table where the count is negative, the worse you hurt your results.
How does this make you more money?
It keeps your bankroll full, which means you can make bigger bets.
And when you’re playing with an edge, making bigger bets means earning bigger profits.
Most of the edge you get when counting cards comes from raising the size of your bets when the count is positive.
That’s as far as many card counters go.
But if you really want to maximize the amount of money you make counting cards, you need to learn how to make basic strategy adjustments based on the count.
The only basic strategy adjustment I recommend avoiding is the easiest one—insurance.
When the count is positive, insurance—which is normally a sucker bet—becomes a positive expectation play.
I still think you should avoid the insurance bet, and here’s why:
The other basic strategy adjustments are more subtle.
If you can add just another 0.2% to 0.4% to your edge, you can increase your $20/hour earnings to $24 or $28 per with no other changes.
Yeah, it takes more work and more study. I didn’t promise you a means of making more money counting cards without effort.
As far as I know, most card counters start with the most basic card counting system of all—the Hi Lo count.
But other counts offer more accuracy, especially when it comes to making changes to your basic strategy.
If you can gain another 0.2% to 0.4% by switching to a better counting system, you’re looking at increasing your hourly earnings by another $4 – $8.
Combine that with tip #4, and you could be going up from $20/hour to $32/hour.
When you think of this in terms of return on investment, the differences start to snowball. Every 1/10% you increase your earnings increases your bankroll by a corresponding amount, which also increases the amount you can wager, which in turn increases your earnings, and so on in an upward spiral of blackjack profits.
Stanford Wong created this technique, and most counters avoid it for subterfuge purposes. But if you truly want to maximize your earnings, Wonging is one way to do it.
Here’s how it works:
You only sit down to play your first hand at the blackjack table after the count is in your favor.
This is tricky to pull off in real life live because—you guessed it—casinos hate this practice.
If you saw the movie 21, though, you saw how team play made Wonging easier. Different members of the team adopted different personas, and one players took on the role of a high roller who was possibly drunk.
Most players who are Wonging also leave the table when the count drops past a certain level, too. They don’t wait for the deck to get negative.
This can increase your earnings dramatically, especially if you have a large bankroll.
I always advise gamblers to tip their dealers and cocktail waitresses.
But if you’re playing blackjack for a living, you can’t afford to give away anything.
Think about it this way:
In the 1st example, I suggested that you could only earn $4/hour counting cards.
If you tip the dealer $5/hour, you’re still operating at a loss. You’ll eventually go broke.
If you’re earning $8/hour and tipping the dealer $5/hour, you’re giving away 62.5% of your profit.
It’s impossible to tip well and increase your blackjack earnings at the same time.
If you’re a beginning card counter, you were probably wondering how to earn more money at the blackjack tables. Now you have 7 specific, actionable strategies for doing just that.
Do you have additional tips for how to make more money counting cards?
If so, leave them in the comments below.
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