All posts by Kevin

NBA Betting Preview For Monday, 3/28

The NBA is back in full force on Monday night, with a huge 10-game slate that offers plenty of fun games worth betting on. The Raptors face off with the Thunder in what is easily the featured game of the night, but there are 9 other games to dive into and picks. Let’s get to it:

Knicks @ Pelicans

Line: Knicks -5.5 Total: 202

New York gets to run into a bad team that is in atrocious shape, as the Pelicans won’t be sporting even a D-League quality roster tonight. The Knicks will probably allow New Orleans to hang around long enough to beat the spread, cuz Knicks gonna Knicks, but I like New York to get the road win.

Pick: Knicks 101, Pellies 98

Hawks @ Bulls

Line: Hawks -3 Total: 205.5

Atlanta is fighting to stay in the running for the Southeast Division crown, but they could have their work cut out for them on the road against a fairly healthy Bulls team. Chicago has nose dived lately (three losses in a row), but they at least play well at the United Center (24-13). Still, Atlanta has owned them (3-0 in the season series) and has more momentum.

Pick: Hawks 104, Bulls 100

Kings @ Blazers

Line: Blazers -13 Total: 217.5

Sacramento would normally have a great chance in an explosive shootout with the Blazers, but they’re resting just about everyone tonight. With Rajon Rondo, Boogie ad Rudy Gay all out, the Kings should lose big in Portland.

Pick: Blazers 112, Kings 94

Celtics @ Clippers

Line: Clippers -4 Total: 208.5

The last time the Celtics and Clippers faced off, we were blessed with a crazy 139-134 OT gem. That isn’t likely to happen again with the Clips already wrapping up a playoff spot, but we should still be in for a good amount of points and a reasonably close game. L.A. is stout at home, though, so CP3 and co. have the clear advantage.

Pick: Clippers 109, Celtics 104

Nets @ Heat

Line: Heat -9.5 Total: 213.5

Miami has been outstanding in South Beach this year (24-13), while they continue to fight for first place in the Southeast Division. Brooklyn has kept all of their three previous meetings this year close, but Miami is at home and holds a 2-1 advantage on the season.

Pick: Heat 105, Nets 99

Thunder @ Raptors

Line: Thunder -2.5 Total: 211

Toronto continues to hold down the fort at home (28-8), but topping OKC for the second time this season could prove to be difficult. The Thunder come in red hot with seven straight wins, and are a solid 21-13 away from home.

Pick: Thunder 108, Raptors 106

Suns @ Timberwolves

Line: Timberwolves -7 Total: 218.5

Phoenix and Minnesota have combined for two explosive battles, while the Suns have had the edge on the year (2-1 in the season series). Minnesota is young and inexperienced, but they have more talent and seem to be trending in the right direction. They’re also at home, so look for their young guys to step up and even the season series tonight.

Pick: Timberwolves 107, Suns 102

Spurs @ Grizzlies

Line: Spurs -6 Total: 192

San Antonio is on the road and will be without Kawhi Leonard and a slew of other players, but they still have LaMarcus Aldridge and a killer system. Memphis hasn’t been handling injuries very well, either, so the Spurs are an easy pick here, even with the depleted lineup.

Pick: Spurs 101, Grizz 92

Mavs @ Nuggets

Line: Nuggets -1.5 Total: 212

Dallas has been in a total free fall lately, losing three straight and going just 2-8 in their last 10 games. Dirk Nowitzki is largely playing well, but injuries and atrocious defense have marred what once was a playoff team. The Mavs continue to slide to new lows tonight as the lose to Denver, who is at their best at the Pepsi Center.

Pick: Nuggets 106, Mavs 104

Lakers @ Jazz

Line: Jazz -14 Total: 190.5

Kobe Bryant is likely to suit up yet against as his retirement tour draws closer to an end. That shouldn’t help the Lakers much on the road against a nasty Utah defense, however. Not only are the Lakers atrocious on the road (5-31), but Utah has won 7 of 10 and continues to look good in their fight for a playoff spot. They won’t blow it tonight at home against an awful Lakers squad.

Pick: Jazz 104, Lakers 90

NBA Betting Preview For Saturday, 3/26: 5 Bets to Target

The NBA comes at us fully loaded for the second night in a row, as the schedule boasts a healthy 10 games on Saturday night. We need to pay special mind to injuries and players being rested, most notably the Spurs and Cavs, who both have already ruled out some key players. Beyond that, of course, there are some very solid bets worth targeting on tonight’s slate.

Instead of betting on every game and hoping for the best, join us as we hone in on just a handful of bets that should help bring you a profit:

Raptors vs. Pelicans

Pick: Toronto Covers -8.5 Line

This is more about the banged up Pellies than it is Toronto, who could actually take this fantastic opportunity to rest some guys. DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowly both got tossed last night, too, which is pretty laughable but could factor into them sitting this one out. Even if that happens, I still like the Raptors, who are a decent 20-15 on the road and 18-16-1 ATS on the road, as well. Again, this is more about New Orleans, who is seriously starting the likes of Alonzo Gee and Alexis Ajinca right now.

New Orleans did beat the Clippers three games ago, but has lost to the Heat (by 14) and Pacers (by 8) in their last two. This is actually a pretty soft line when you look at the talent gap, and even a decent 18-17 (for them) home record won’t save the Pels here. Jrue Holiday is probably out again and there just isn’t anything to get excited about in New Orleans. If Toronto doesn’t cover, it will be thoroughly embarrassing.

Pacers vs. Nets

Pick: Indiana Covers -5 Line

Indiana is a mild risk seeing as they only beat an awful Pelicans team by 8 last time out, plus they’re on the road, and the Nets play their best at the Barclays Center. Broolyn still is not very good, however, and Indy has won both of the previous meetings (by 7 and 14) this year. Indiana is fighting to secure a playoff spot and has way more talent – plus Ian Mahnimi can neutralize the impact of Brook Lopez inside. I like this game to be somewhat competitive, but the Pacers should pull away late and cover.

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Pick: Minnesota Beats -7 Line

This one is a tad dicey with Minnesota potentially very tired (played 2OT last night) but this young team is rather talented and has a ton of fight to them. Utah got smoked by the Thunder in their last game and is on the road tonight, too, so this could be a pretty leveled playing field. I like the Timberwolves to step up at home, as they try to spoil Utah’s playoff bid and win their third straight game.

Winning isn’t the objective here for the NBA bettor, though. All we need is the Wolves to keep it together on their home floor against a less than elite team. Utah does not have a top shelf offense, so this is going to be more about Minnesota scoring on the Jazz. Seeing as the Timberwolves have the series tied 1-1 and have scored at least 90 points in both meetings, there is hope for them to find a little success – especially in front of their home crowd. I do thin Utah wins, but I like a close game until the end, so the Wolves have a shot at beating the spread here. It certainly doesn’t hurt that Utah is just 16-21 ATS on the road this year, while Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in their last five contests.

Blazers vs. 76ers

Pick: Portland Covers -13 Line

This is a super gaudy line, but Philadelphia is all kinds of bad (9 wins on the year, 7 straight losses) and the Blazers are still fighting for playoff positioning. Portland is at home tonight (where they’re 22-12) and the talent gap is obvious, plus they are going to want to make up for a smoke job the Sixers handed them earlier this season in Philly.

I just can’t see the Blazers going down 2-0 against such an awful team – let alone in their own house. Look for huge games from Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum as the Blazers start hot and return the favor with a blowout win.

Pistons vs. Hawks

Pick: Over 204 Total

This game is a true pick-em, so I’d have zero interest trying to figure it out by betting on the Money Line tonight – especially since the previous three games have been pretty well contested. Atlanta holds the 2-1 season series lead, but all three games have been decided by 8 points or less. Detroit probably holds the mild edge with this one in The Palace tonight, where the Pistons have been tough (24-12). The Hawks, meanwhile, struggle a bit on the road (19-17).

The key here is the Total, as all three games have sported at least one team topping 100+ points, with two of the three games having both teams score 100 points. Needless to say, two of the three have bested the week 204 Total tonight has projected, with the lowest produced Total being a flat 200. I like the odds of the Over tonight, as both teams average 102 points per game on the year and this matchup bodes well for a back and forth game.

5 Teams That Could Trade For Josh McCown

The times are clearly changing in Cleveland, as the Browns have already moved on from Johnny Manziel and brought in Robert Griffin III. With the #2 pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, they’re also rumored to be very interested in further upgrading the quarterback position by drafting either Carson Wentz or Jared Goff.

All of this movement has left one guy as the odd man out – Josh McCown. The 36-year old journeyman is the forgotten man despite a solid showing in Ohio in 2015, but with RG3 in tow and a rookie coming in to compete, an aging veteran simply doesn’t have a place in head coach Hue Jackson’s rebuild.

Naturally, that puts McCown on the trading block and could have his name heating up with several teams still needing a leader for their offense. But where will he go? Let’s take a look at five realistic destinations:

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas has long been attached to Johnny Manziel, but until the young quarterback gets his off-field life in order, it remains unlikely the ‘Boys will take a gamble on him. Dallas does know they have a glaring issue behind starting quarterback Tony Romo, however, as Brandon Weeden, Matt Cassel and Kellen Moore combined to give the offense little life after Romo sustained two breaks to his collar bone. With Romo aging and becoming more and more of an injury risk, the Cowboys badly need to put together a better backup plan.

That backup plan could still include a young free agent like Johnny Football and/or a draft pick, but it could also include a swift trade for a reliable backup like McCown. McCown alone could give Dallas some breathing room in terms of their top backup behind Romo, while he’d also help out the quarterback room. Should Dallas ever decide to bring Manziel on board, as well, he’d also be a good mentor, just as he was with Manziel in Cleveland.

Green Bay Packers

The story is fairly similar in Green Bay, as Aaron Rodgers has gone down a couple of times in the past few years and Green Bay found themselves barely getting by with the likes of Matt Flynn and Scott Tolzien. Flynn is gone and it’s just down to Tolzien, who the Packers inexplicably are quite high on. That likely keeps them out of the running for McCown’s services, but for a team with title aspirations, they may want to re-think that thought. McCown would be a sound addition for game-planning during the week and would also provide the Pack with a capable backup in the event A-Rod ever gets hurt again.

Denver Broncos

McCown’s career is winding down at his age, so it’s entirely possible he’d prefer to go somewhere he can actually play. Denver could be a good spot, as all they currently have under center is Mark Sanchez. The Broncos are a very attractive destination, too, as they just won their division – and the Super Bowl – with very mediocre quarterback play. Thanks to explosive offensive weapons, a talented running back and the league’s top defense, they could easily make another deep playoff run under the right circumstances. If McCown could play like he did in 2013 – or even last season – he’d be good enough to keep the Broncos in playoff contention and maybe even march to a Super Bowl repeat. It’s anyone’s guess if Denver sees him as their short-term answer, but he’d allow them to be competitive, while also groom a young passer for the future.

New York Jets

If McCown wants to play somewhere and have a shot at winning, option number would be New York, who still are on the hunt for a starting quarterback. They could just as easily end up re-signing Ryan Fitzpatrick or go back to Geno Smith, but Smith isn’t reliable and the last update had Fitzpatrick potentially pricing himself out of The Big Apple. If so, the Jets could just made a quick trade with Cleveland, who would love any new assets, as well as to free themselves from McCown’s contract.

McCown is a steady option that won’t wow anyone, but seeing as Fitzpatrick thrived in New York’s offense and almost got to the playoffs last year, it’s entirely plausible to imagine McCown finding similar success. New York does have interest in McCown and seem to be considering all options, so this might be his most likely landing spot for 2016.

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have thus far been firm on the fact that Case Keenum is their starter for 2016, but it will be a true shame if that ends up holding up. Keenum is a replacement level talent at best and doesn’t have the experience McCown could bring to the table. Trading for McCown wouldn’t make a huge splash, but it certainly would make the Rams look a lot more competent on offense. It’s not a move currently being considered by L.A. publicly, but for a team that has a stacked defense and an elite running back, it’s one they really should consider.

Where do you think Josh McCown will play in 2016? Is his new team in this list, somewhere else, or will he stick in Cleveland? Let us know in the comments below!

NBA Betting Preview For Thursday, 3/24

After a jam-packed Wednesday night of NBA action – one that included a ridiculous Emmanuel Mudiay buzzer-beater – pro basketball calms down a bit on Thursday with a light five-game schedule.

While small in stature, tonight’s slate could actually be troubling. The Knicks and Bulls face off for the second night in a row, the Cavs could potentially rest some of their players on the second game of a back to back set and the Thunder try to keep the league’s longest winning streak (five games) going at home against a tough Utah defense.

Yeah, we thought you’d need our insight. Alright, let’s get down to it:

Bulls @ Knicks

Line: Bulls -4.5 Total: 204

This game is highly problematic for two key reasons: both teams played just last night and they faced each other. Teams facing each other twice in a short time span tends to throw things for a loop (just look at a recent Wizards/Hawks matchup), while we could also see some guys sit. Generally fatigue plays into this one for sure, but more specifically, the likes of Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler, Pau Gasol and even Carmelo Anthony are all on full alert.

All of that plays into the weak spread here, which oddly favors the visiting Bulls despite New York winning in a weirdly high-scoring affair last night and holding a 2-1 season series edge. Chicago obviously will want to turn right around and even the season series, partly because they hate the Knicks, and also because their playoff hopes demand it. Relying on the Over is shaky tonight with some guys potentially resting and everyone likely tired, but the Bulls will want/need this one.

Pick: Bulls 102, Knicks 96

Pelicans @ Pacers

Line: Pacers -13 Total: 208

It’s tough to say how much analysis is needed here, as the Pelicans remain completely ravaged with Anthony Davis, Ryan Anderson, Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon all out. Norris Cole is even doubtful for this one, so Jrue Holiday and (yikes!) Luke Babbitt will be leaned on heavily to keep New Orleans in this one. Then factor that this one is on the road for a Pellies team that is awful away from home (8-27) and picking a New Orleans upset looks frightfully bleak. The Pacers are also 21-13 on their home floor and have been pretty solid lately (winners of 6 of their last 10).

Indy is the obvious straight up call here, and considering how beaten up the Pelicans are, there’s little reason to lose faith in Indiana’s ability to win by about 15 or more here. New Orleans might hang around initially if the Pacers sink down to their level, but that really shouldn’t last.

Pick: Pacers 109, Pelicans 92

Cavs @ Nets

Line: Cavs -6.5 Total: 203

Cleveland enters tonight in danger of sitting some stars, so we’ll certainly have to keep an eye out for who ends up sitting. The leading candidates may be LeBron James and/or Kyrie Irving, as Kevin Love just got into a groove last night and missed the game prior due to an illness. The Cavs remain the favorite, regardless, as the Nets aren’t very good (just 19 wins on the year) and aren’t especially better at home (12 wins). It might surprise you to learn that the Nets are a little more feisty than meets the eye, however, and they have mostly kept it together in two previous losses to Cleveland this year.

While some guys resting could shake this one up (hence the light spread), the Cavs should still win straight up. The real trick is mastering the spread here, as the Cavs shouldn’t win by a large amount if they’re at less than 100%, but they could still potentially cover here, depending on who sits. That’s true, but the Nets are a decent 32-31-1 ATS as an underdog and Cleveland has under-performed all year against the spread, really across the board. With a Cleveland stud or two out, we’ll give the Nets a shot at beating the spread.

Pick: Cavs 101, Nets 97

Jazz @ Thunder

Line: Thunder -9 Total: 198

Two hot teams run into each other at Chesapeaker Energy Arena tonight, as OKC tries to keep a five-game winning streak against the surging Jazz, who are also on a roll with three straight wins. Both teams have won 7 of their last 10 games and create quite an interest matchup issue, by sporting very different philosophies. The difference in styles has worked in Utah’s favor one time, but never to the point of actually taking the Thunder down.

OKC is especially a problem at home this season (28-9), which is a sharp contrast to Utah’s terrible road record (13-23). That doesn’t tell the whole story ever, but OKC usually enforces their will offensively and in three prior tries this year, Utah wasn’t able to stop it. We do like Utah’s style to keep them in the game and beat the spread (two of the three meetings were decided by six points or less – one of which went to OT), however.

Pick: Thunder 104, Jazz 99

Blazers @ Clippers

Line: Clippers -5 Total: 213

The Clippers have been struggling as of late, falling to Golden State last night and losing each of their last three contests. A home date with the Blazers isn’t an automatic fix for their troubles, but they’ve at least shown well in the series thus far (lead 2-1 on the year) and should look to close strong at home. Portland hasn’t been in the best shape, either, as they’ve won just 4 of their last 6 games and are a woeful 15-23 on the road. Los Angeles also defends the perimeter pretty well at Staples Center, and that’s where most of Portland’s production comes from.

Los Angeles feels like the obvious call straight up at home, as this losing skid can’t last forever and they’re the better team. Portland has actually been decent against the spread on the road, however (21-17), while the Clippers for whatever reason struggle when heavily favored (22-25-2) on their home floor. This game has blowup offensive potential, anyways, so we’ll take the Clips to win in a tight shootout. That does put the Total in play to a certain degree, but keep in mind none of the prior three games had both teams topping 100 points. We’d go with the Under tonight.

Pick: Clippers 102, Blazers 99

Will Big Sean Payton Contract Parlay Saints to a Title?

The New Orleans Saints are tough to figure out. Ever since the scandal known as Bountygate, the Saints have been in a downward spiral, with players departing and rumors circling the team concerning head coach Sean Payton’s future.

Staying in Town

It was as recent as this season that the Saints were said to be exploring other coaches and talk of trading their head coach even came up. None of that ever came to fruition, however, which leads the common NFL fan to believe one of two notions: either the Saints never wanted to part ways with Sean Payton to begin with, or at some point they realized what they had was better than what they could get if they let him go.

It doesn’t matter which narrative actually rings true. What matters is the Saints ended the back and forth rumor mill binging by committing to their guy for the long-term, signing Payton to a huge five-year, $45 million deal.

The move keeps Payton in New Orleans and as the third-longest tenured head coach in the NFL, just behind Bill Belichick (New England) and John Harbaugh (Baltimore).

Even with the NFL’s history of hiring and firing head coaches as quickly as the seasons changed, Payton was able to brave two straight losing seasons and an ugly scandal to secure his financial and competitive fortress of solitude.

Right Move?

The big question, of course, is whether or not it was the right move.

Either way you look at it, the answer appears to be “yes”. Payton came into New Orleans with a mission and a plan back in 2006, and it immediately started working, as he got the Saints back on track with a 10-6 record and a trip to the NFC title game. New Orleans took a mild step back from there, but three years later they were 13-3, had the most explosive offense in football and were first-time Super Bowl champs.

It’s not easy to part ways with the guy who gets your franchise it’s first ever Lombardi Trophy, and while the Saints have had their miscues since winning it all, the offense has remained. Philosophy lapses, close losses and a terrible defense have largely hurt the Saints more than anything else, but it remains debtable that Payton is still one of the brightest minds (and best coaches) in the game.

Instead of just saying it, New Orleans made an investment in Payton as the guy who is tied to Drew Brees and can still build a winner for the now, and can also start over and develop one for the future. It’s anyone’s guess if New Orleans will finally shake off two straight 7-9 seasons and reclaim the NFC South crown, but no one denies the definite possibility with Payton and Brees still teaming up together.

2016 Title Odds

That brings us to the here and now. As weak as the Saints have looked on paper over the past two years, this is still a very good offensive team that can dominate at home and has a chance against just about anyone if they play their cards right. Getting a healthy Mark Ingram back will give their running game a boost, their offensive line should be as stable as it has been in years and another year of free agency and draft moves to beef up and under-performing defense could potentially push that unit over the top.

The NFC South has gotten better, as the Panthers made it to the Super Bowl last year and the Buccaneers and Falcons are both looking like they’ll be better in 2016. Even with all of the possibility and Payton entrenched as the team’s leader, Vegas doesn’t see it. The Saints boast just 55/1 odds to claim the title next year, and that has them behind even the Jets, Bills and Lions. Heck, the Falcons are in their own division and have better odds (50/1).

But Vegas doesn’t always get it right. After all, Carolina wasn’t expected to make it to Super Bowl 50, but they did. The Broncos certainly weren’t picked to get their – let alone win it – but they did both. The NFL is a volatile, unpredictable league and it’s certainly one where appropriate consistency is encouraged. Keeping Payton in tow gives the Saints continuity that not every franchise has, and considering how great he’s shown to be, it’s potentially the exactly right move. That doesn’t guarantee the Saints will win it all in 2016 or even make the playoffs, but given their weak odds, it does make them a very fun bet.

Chiefs Title Odds Look Bleak With Justin Houston Injury

The Kansas City Chiefs rebounded from a horrific start to their 2015 NFL season, as they won their last 10 regular season games and then easily dispatched the Texans in Houston in the first round of the playoffs. An elite, aggressive defense was a huge reason why, but it’s likely that defense could be without one of their top play-makers – outside linebacker Justin Houston – come 2016.

Houston could miss the entire 2016 NFL season due to a right knee injury that was discovered during a regular scope in February. That scope revealed a much more serious issue, which happened to be a torn ACL. Per early reports, Houston could now be looking at a 6-12 month layoff, one that could keep him from playing a single down next season.

Houston, We Have a Problem

Houston just got done signing a massive 6-year, $101 million contract and missed the final five games of 2015 due to a knee injury. He was able to return for Kansas City’s two playoffs games, but wasn’t quite himself and was not overly effective. Needless to say, Kansas City not having Houston at all could be problematic for their defense.

Even with sitting out five regular season games, Houston was able to rack up 7.5 sacks in 2015, while he was a terror the year before (22 sacks). The Chiefs did manage to keep Tamba Hali in town during free agency and still have some solid depth on their defense, but the loss of Houston for an entire year could be a severe blow, and one they might not be able to overcome.

Replacement Options

With Hali now locked into one side of Kansas City’s base 3-4 defense, the focus could now be on third-year rush linebacker Dee Ford stepping up his game. Ford had an impressive three-sack game late last season against the Chargers as he subbed for the injured Houston, and that flash of his potential impact could mean big things in an increased role in 2016.

It also could be just that; a flash. If Ford isn’t ready to be an every down rusher on the outside, the Chiefs will have to think long and hard about two options: signing some veteran help, and/or bringing in another talented pass rusher in the draft. As it stands, they’re losing a massive presence on one side and it’s unknown just yet if they have the resources to make up for it, in-house.

Title Odds

The big question, of course, is what this could mean to Kansas City’s shot at Super Bowl 51. Currently they have reasonable odds (20/1), as they still have a very stout and balanced defense, have a strong game-manager in Alex Smith, two skilled receivers in Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce and should also get franchise running back Jamaal Charles (torn ACL) back at full strength.

Losing a vital part of their defense could keep them from realizing their potential, however. It’s early in the process and it’s still possible Houston goes through a remarkable recovery and avoids injured reserve for 2016, but at best the Chiefs would probably be looking at a late return. Until then and possibly beyond, they’d need some major help to fill in Houston’s shoes. At least for now, that can’t help their title odds.

NBA Betting Preview For Tuesday, 3/22

Monday night was quite the icebreaker for a new week of NBA action, as we saw the Spurs lose, Atlanta lose at home, an Andre Drummond buzzer-beater and the Cavs find their offensive mojo (124 points). Tuesday may have a difficult time topping that with just a four-game slate, plus the absence of Anthony Davis (out for the season) makes life weird in New Orleans.

All four games are still worth betting on, however, so let’s tackle them by taking a look at the spreads, totals and matchups:

Hornets @ Nets

Line: Hornets -6 Total: 210

Brook Lopez is due back tonight after sitting out Friday because of a virus. That could give the Nets a nice boost at the Barclays Center, where they’ll take on the Hornets, who are riding high after topping the San Antonio Spurs in Charlotte. This could be the perfect trap game for the Hornets, who aren’t nearly as impressive on the road (13-19). That being said, the Hornets are fighting for first place in the Southeast Division and already have flexed their muscle (up 2-0) in the season series with the Nets.

Pick: Hornets 104, Nets 97

Heat @ Pelicans

Line: -8.5 Total: 210

Anthony Davis is officially done for the year, which leaves the Pelicans in a bad way for the rest of the year. Ryan Anderson is temporarily out of service, as well, as New Orleans will lean hard on Jrue Holiday and hope guys like Dante Cunningham and Luke Babbitt can chip in offensively. They have a remote chance at home after taking down the Clippers sans The Brow in their last game, but Miami is fighting for a division title and is still at least above .500 (17-16) on the road. Miami’s defense and depth should win out in this one, but don’t be too shocked if the Pellies beat the spread.

Pick: Heat 105, Pelicans 99

Rockets @ Thunder

Line: Thunder -9 Total: 222

If you’re looking to target a Total tonight, this is the one, while OKC’s gaudy line is a little dicey with Kevin Durant looking iffy for this one. The same can be said for James Harden, who is also a bit banged up and could potentially sit out this battle against his former team. KD is more questionable to play than Harden, however, so it looks like we could be getting a more evenly matched game than anticipated. It’s also worth noting that the season series is split (1-1) and in both meetings both teams managed to pour in at least 105 points. I’m game for the Total tonight, and as long as KD is out, I think Houston keeps it interesting and beats the spread.

Pick: Thunder 112, Rockets 106

Grizzlies @ Lakers

Line: Grizzlies -3 Total: 202

Memphis is running their offense through Zach Randolph, Kobe Bryant is a nightly question mark and the Lakers still aren’t playing their young players deep into games. Needless to say, this is definitely a toss up game, and with a mild -3 advantage to Memphis, Vegas feels the same. L.A. might get a spark at home and could be the fun underdog play if The Black Mamba suits up, but the Grizzlies have actually kept things together (won two straight) despite their mounting injuries. They’re going to try to keep the ship right until Mike Conley can return for the playoffs, so look for them to stay the course and get the win at the Staples Center.

Pick: Grizz 104, Lakers 98

Could Robert Griffin III Be the Answer For Struggling Browns?

The Cleveland Browns were once a proud NFL franchise, putting legends like Jim Brown and Otto Graham on the field and exiting seasons with NFL championships. They won eight, to be exact, but by the time the first NFL Super Bowl rolled around, their great players were gone.

Times changed, and even though the Browns had some solid seasons in between 1965 and now, they have mostly been in a downward spiral for the better part of 50 years. That’s especially been the case since they were reborn in Cleveland, years after Art Modell moved them to Baltimore to become the Ravens.

Since then, the Browns have had one 10-win season and have made the playoffs exactly once. During that stretch, starting in 1999, Cleveland has registered two seasons above .500 and has started 24 different quarterbacks under center. Not a single one could stick, and many of them were supposed to be franchise saviors. From Tim Couch to Johnny Manziel, Cleveland has been swinging and missing in the draft and has nothing but losing to show for their efforts.

Still, a loyal fan base can’t help but wonder, could 2016 finally be the year the Browns get it right and get the quarterback that can lead them into the fray? Sitting with the #2 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, the Browns certainly are in position to take the plunge on another passer, and it may come down to simply deciding between Jared Goff and Carson Wentz.

But what if Cleveland’s answer resides in free agency?

RG3 to Cleveland?

Per reports, the Browns have loosely been connected to trade rumors involving Colin Kaepernick, but the buzz around a potential Robert Griffin III signing is what has grown to be the loudest piece of news.

Cleveland has taken a strong interest in RG3, who just a few years ago was a rookie sensations, led the Washington Redskins to an NFC East division title and a trip to the playoffs. Just like that, he was quickly living up to the billing of a #2 overall draft pick.

Tragedy struck in the playoffs, when Robert Griffin III re-injured his knee and tore his ACL. RG3 was never the same, as he was asked to rush back too quickly from his injury and in the process was never allowed to properly develop his pocket presence and accuracy. RG3 went from a quarterback who could escape a jam with his athleticism to one that suddenly was not the same athlete he once was.

RG3’s injury and rushed rehab led to a complete destruction and before long, he was out of D.C. As bad as it got, there resides serious untapped potential with the former Baylor alum, as RG3 undoubtedly still has plus athleticism, good size, a strong arm and plenty of upside.

Is RG3 the Answer?

The downside is obvious, of course. RG3 has been a locker room distraction and there are concerns about his character, he has a lengthy injury history and he’s proven to be inept in the pocket at times.

But here’s the kicker: Hue Jackson, a brilliant offensive mind that has turned a supposedly pedestrian talent in Andy Dalton into a borderline elite performer under center, is now calling the shots in Cleveland. The Browns, as much as they’re lacking for talent, may finally have the inner core in terms of system and coaching they need to take flight as an offense. More importantly, Jackson could be precisely what RG3 needs to turn his career around.

Cleveland’s dilemma is two-fold. They already have a capable clipboard holder and game-manager in Josh McCown. They also have some quality young depth in Connor Shaw and Austin Davis. If they’re bringing in RG3, it’s more than kicking tires. It has to be because they believe a former #2 overall draft pick still has something to offer and could end up being their franchise passer of the future.

There is serious risk involved with that assumption, however. First, does bringing on RG3 mean the Browns pass on a quarterback with the second pick in this year’s draft? It certainly shouldn’t. RG3 is certainly capable of turning his career around and being the answer the Browns have long been searching for. Unfortunately, the odds may be against it, so Cleveland needs to diversify their eggs and bring another basket into the table. That needs to involve spending that early pick on a quarterback and letting RG3, McCown and whoever they draft duel for the starting gig.

If it ends up being RG3 who saves Ohio, then the quarterback they draft can be traded down the road. There’s also the possibility that RG3 works out, but then gets hurt, as he tends to. In that event, on top of journeyman McCown, the Browns would also have an insurance plan in terms of a franchise answer under center.

One Fell Swoop

This is a layered solution because its a layered problem. The worst part is, it doesn’t just stop at quarterback or a new coach, either. Cleveland still has a headache in Josh Gordon to deal with and they’ve had more talent turnover this off-season than arguably anyone else in the entire league.

That’s by design, however, and by all indications, that’s probably a good thing. Cleveland is changing the culture in Ohio and they’re bringing in fresh blood across the board to make sure they have talented, hard-working football players that want to make the Browns good again.

It’s certainly worth wondering if RG3 is more of a distraction or hindrance than an answer, but that’s why the Browns are vetting him so hard and taking their time. For the first time in a while, Cleveland fans can probably assume the Browns are actually doing their due diligence. And if RG3 is signed as a potential starter, Cleveland might actually be doing it for a good reason.

An RG3 signing is not automatically the answer and wouldn’t push the Browns atop the AFC North right away, but if done right, it could be a huge step in the right direction.

NBA Betting Preview For Friday, 3/18

College basketball is still dominating betting as it enters the second day of March Madness, but we got a strong dose of NBA action last night and will continue to enjoy another solid slate on Friday night. It would have been understandable if you backed out on NBA betting on Thursday, of course. It was St. Patrick’s Day, the NCAA tourney just started and it just wasn’t a day loaded with a ton of intense matchups or superstar talent.

Friday is.

The stars truly come out tonight, as the likes of KD, Russ, The Brown, Boogie, The Beard and Stephen Curry are all active. There’s even more stars (this guy named LeBron James is playing) and some of the matchups are worth a second glance – maybe even third. Let’s break them all down so you’re fully prepared if you decide to add some NBA bets to your docket tonight:

Cavs @ Magic

Line: Cavs -7.5 Total: 211.5

This has not been a series the Magic have enjoyed, as Cleveland has won all three meetings this year, and done so with ease. The first meeting produced 220 total points, but Orlando didn’t put up much of a fight in the other two blowout losses. The Magic do tend to play their best ball at home (18-16 at the Amway Center), but that may not mean much against the best team the Eastern Conference has to offer. Nikola Vucevic has been ruled out and Elfrid Payton is also questionable, further hurting Orlando’s chances to avoid a season series sweep. Cleveland has also said they won’t be resting their stars, so there is little reason not to buy the Cavs covering tonight.

Pick: Cavs 108, Magic 96

Blazers @ Pelicans

Line: Blazers -1 Total: 218

Bettors can prepare for one of the more explosive games of the night when Portland travels to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans. The Blazers hold a 2-1 season series edge, but only one of these games has been competitive, so it’s anyone’s guess if we get a tight game here. It’s tough to have much faith in New Orleans, as they’ve been dealing with a litany of injuries and even when Anthony Davis is putting up huge numbers, they still can’t seem to buy wins. That could change tonight, as Portland is rather suspect (14-22) on the road and have been reeling in general (lost two straight, 4-6 over last 10 games). Look for New Orleans to take care of business on their home floor).

Pick: Pelicans 109, Blazers 102

Thunder @ 76ers

Line: Thunder -16 Total: 219.5

Philly continues to be all kinds of awful, while injuries to Robert Covington and Jahlil Okafor (both out) further complicate things. OKC won big in the only other meeting between these two teams and it’s quite clearly a mismatch. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant should do as they please in a blowout win.

Pick: Thunder 113, Sixers 92

Kings @ Pistons

Line: Pistons -7 Total: 218

It’s round two of Boogie vs. Andre Drummond, a battle in which the Kings got the last laugh earlier this year in Sacramento. Detroit is a very tough team to judge right now, as they’re coming off two straight losses (one atrocious one to Washington). They still have a shot at the playoffs and are at home (where they’re 19-12), and they will surely want to avoid losing the season series to Sacramento. There’s a good chance they get the win, as the Kings are reeling (2-8 in last 10 games) and have a tough time away from home (12-21 on the road). Rajon Rondo is also iffy for this one, which doesn’t help the Kings.

Pick: Pistons 104, Kings 98

Celtics @ Raptors

Line: Raptors -1.5 Total: 211

Toronto and Boston have gotten together for two high-scoring, intense affairs so far this year, but the Raptors have stolen both games. Boston still has a chance to even the season series (game two coming in five days), and tonight the Raptors could be resting star point guard Kyle Lowry. If Lowry sits, we like Boston’s chances to stage the minor upset. If Lowry plays, look for Toronto to continue their dominance and cover in a home win (26-8 at Air Canada Centre).

Pick: Celtics 105, Raptors 102

Timberwolves @ Rockets

Line: Rockets -8.5 Total: 224

Here is another contest that should yield plenty of points, as evidenced by an intense 107-104 win by the Rockets in Houston earlier this year. Minnesota doesn’t win much – especially on the road (11-24) – but they have the young guns to give the Rockets a run for their money. Houston was awful in a recent loss to the Clippers, though, and something tells me they’ll want to bounce back in a big way. The Timberwolves could be pesky here, so though I don’t think they’ll win, I do think they can beat the spread.

Pick: Rockets 106, Timberwolves 102

Warriors @ Mavs

Line: Warriors -8.5 Total: 224

Stephen Curry and the defending champion Warriors continue their chase of history, and tonight it lands them in Dallas against Dirk Nowitzki and the Mavs. Dallas has been falling apart lately (4-6 in last 10 games), but they’re at home (19-16) and can run offensively with just about anyone. After all, that’s where they found a way to beat these very Warriors back in December. Stephen Curry missed that game and will be on hand for this one, though, so it’s tough not to favor Golden State.

Pick: Warriors 107, Mavs 101

Suns @ Lakers

Line: Lakers -3 Total: 214.5

The last game of the night comes between the Suns and Lakers, who have so far split their season series (1-1). The Lakers won a shootout at the Staples Center (120-101) back in November, while the Suns took an odd defensive battle in early January. Kobe Bryant remains questionable (shoulder) to suit up for this one, but with or without him, it’s tough to go against Vegas here. The Lakers are at their best at home, while Phoenix is one of the worst road teams in the league (6-28). I expect a close game with a lot of points, but the Lakers should squeak this one out to take the series lead.

Pick: Lakers 108, Suns 106

NBA Betting Preview For Thursday, 3/17

March Madness is surely dominating the airways on Thursday, but that shouldn’t keep you away from the NBA betting world completely. Thursday night has a lot to offer in the world of basketball, and if you deny the NBA fully, you’re missing out on a fun 8-game slate.

Truth be told, it looks like a pretty easy slate to call, but it still might be one that deserves a closer look. A few teams are playing the second of a back to back set and there are a number of teams tonight that are just tough to gauge (Phoenix and Memphis, to name two). Will home court mean anything? Will the star power of guys like John Wall and Paul George be enough to get wins? Let’s find out:

Nets @ Bulls

Line: Bulls -6 Total: 212

Chicago could be worn down tonight, as they play the second of a back to back set after losing to the Wizards on Wednesday. They’ll at least be at home, but they’ll be without both Pau Gasol and Taj Gibson. Considering it’s their second game in two days, we probably need to keep an eye on the statuses of Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler, as well. As long as those two can suit up, though, the Bulls should be a strong bet at the United Center, where they’re 21-12 on the year. Brooklyn poses a threat if Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young bring their A game, but the Nets are atrocious away from home (7-25), so they’d need a special effort to get the win, which would equate to a 2-1 season series win, as well.

Pick: Bulls 106, Nets 97

Grizzlies @ Bucks

Line: Bucks -10.5 Total: 202

Milwaukee continues its rise behind versatile point guard Giannis Antetokounmpo, who no longer seems out of position and is more of a revelation. It may not work forever, but it’s allowing Milwaukee to win right now, as the Bucks host a severely banged up Grizzlies team searching for their fourth win in their last five games. Milwaukee is in a good spot, too, since they’re 20-13 at the Bradley Center this year and Memphis is down Mike Conley, Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. Memphis has been fighting hard, but it has only equated to three straight losses. Tonight is probably the fourth. That being said, Lance Stephenson and JaMychael Green are giving strong efforts and Milwaukee doesn’t defend that well, so I like Memphis to beat the spread.

Pick: Bucks 104, Grizz 101

Blazers @ Spurs

Line: Spurs -11.5 Total: 204

Portland has been struggling ever since hitting the rough part of their late-season schedule, and it doesn’t get any easier as they head into Texas with just a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Spurs are a blistering 9-1 during that span, and have yet to lose on their home floor (33-0). San Antonio could rest a star or two, but they’ve proven all year that they don’t lose at home. Portland’s weak 14-21 road record doesn’t help matters, while a blowout is fairly likely.

Pick: Spurs 109, Blazers 95

Raptors @ Pacers

Line: Pacers -1.5 Total: 203

Toronto visits Indiana for game three of a four-game season series. The two sides split the first two meetings, with the home team winning both battles. That could give the edge (as Vegas seems to agree) to the Pacers, who have been solid at home (20-11). Toronto has stumbled a bit with a couple of home losses recently, but otherwise continues to keep it together (7-3 in last 10 games). Both teams could be down a big man, too, as both Jonas Valanciunas and Ian Mahinmi are questionable to play. Kyle Lowry is also a candidate to rest in one of Toronto’s next two games, and could sit this one out. This one should be close, but we have to get the mildest of edges to the Pacers at home.

Pick: Pacers 102, Raptors 100

Wizards @ 76ers

Line: Wizards -9.5 Total: 218

John Wall and the Wizards visit the Sixers in Philly for the fourth and final meeting between these Eastern Conference foes. Philly has been awful all year, but there’s no denying they can be scrappy – especially at home. Washington’s fast-paced offense suits the Sixers well, but not so much that they’re a real threat to stage the upset. After all, the Sixers are crumbling even more than usual thanks to injuries to Robert Covington, Jerami Grant and Jahlil Okafor. Okafor is out for the year, but keep an eye out for Philly’s two swing men, who could return tonight. Even if they do, however, the Sixers haven’t finished close with the Wiz yet this year, and it’s unlikely they start now. Washington has their sights set on the playoffs and after taking down Chicago last night, they’re not about to get tripped up by a team that hasn’t won even 10 games.

Pick: Wizards 109, Sixers 94

Hornets @ Heat

Line: Heat -4.5 Total: 209

Another rivalry game goes down in South Beach, as the Hornets and Heat square off in basically what amounts to a game for the first place lead in the Southeast Division. Charlotte has quickly become a problem for Miami, winning 8 of their last 10 games. The good news for Miami is outside of Chris Bosh being out, they’re pretty healthy and also tend to play their best ball at home (22-12). Charlotte is also as healthy as they’ve been on all year, but they’re down 2-1 in the season series and usually struggle on the road (12-19).

Pick: Heat 99, Hornets 97

Nuggets @ Hawks

Line: Hawks -7.5 Total: 211

Denver has a slim chance of chasing down a playoff spot in the oddly top-heavy Western Conference, but that path gets tougher tonight on the road against the Hawks. Atlanta is just about tied up with the Heat and Hornets and can ill afford to blow this home game, while they also come in hot with three straight wins. Denver can be a dangerous squad, but they’re still without Danilo Gallinari and aren’t great on the road (16-19). The Hawks do their best on their home floor, too (21-12), while they wrecked the Nuggets pretty good in Denver earlier this year, also.

Pick: Hawks 106, Nuggets 97

Suns @ Jazz

Line: Jazz -9.5 Total: 198

This might be the weirdest game of the night, as Utah is at home against what is usually a bad Suns team. The catch? Gordon Hayward might still be out (foot) and Phoenix has played a lot better ever since getting Alex Len involved. Brandon Knight will be suiting up for the fourth game since returning from a groin issue, too, so the Suns are suddenly a bit of a handful. While Phoenix could actually keep things interesting, they’re woeful (9-26) on the road and haven’t managed to beat the Jazz yet this season.

Pick: Jazz 97, Suns 92