2019’s Golden Globes Awards will hit TV screens on January 6.
When nominations for the 76th annual Golden Globe Awards were released earlier this month, A Star Is Born – Bradley Cooper’s directorial debut – picked up an impressive five nominations across the board. The musical drama looks poised to win the majority of those nominations, which includes Best Motion Picture – Drama, Best Director (for Cooper), and Best Actor on account of his riveting performance as Jackson Maine.
The true star of the movie was undoubtedly the popster, Lady Gaga, who looks set to pick up the gong for Best Actress. Gaga, born Stefani Germanotta, will go up against Glenn Close, Melissa McCarthy, Rosamund Pike, and Nicole Kidman for the coveted award.
For those with a penchant for entertainment betting will know, there are many opportunities to back your favorite stars for the win. I took a look at the Golden Globe winners’ odds over at SportsBetting.Ag and found some pretty good value bets which I will break down for you, below.
Crazily enough, Bradley Cooper is favored over Lady Gaga to take home the Best Actor award over her Best Actress nomination. Cooper has three nominations in total but looks set to pick up this one, in particular.
Cooper will have to see of Rami Malek, who is priced at +225 for his awesome take on legendary Queen vocalist, Freddie Mercury. Quite some distance behind Malek is the impressive John David Washington and the veteran Willem Dafoe, who are both priced at +1000. Lucas Hedges makes up the numbers at +1400 for his work in Boy Erased.
Bradley Cooper looks nailed on at -250 for his role in A Star Is Born. Surely he has to win this time around and this movie looks the ticket.
Prediction: Bradley Cooper at -250
From the first time I watched the trailer for Vice, I was absolutely gobsmacked at just how good Christian Bale could pull off a convincing Dick Cheney. The former biopic about the tough and controversial Vice President of the United States has earned rave reviews in some quarters, mostly down to Bale’s incredible performance in the lead role.
That being said, it is no done deal yet. Former Lord of the Rings star Vigo Mortensen’s portrayal as another heavy-set male, Tony Lip, in Green Book could see him pip the Englishman to the post. Redford, Reilly, and Miranda are way out in the leftfield, with only Redford capable of upsetting the apple cart due to sentimental votes. That being said, it looks like Bale or Mortensen for me.
Christian Bale (Vice) at -135 looks to be the best bet here. It is hard to fathom a scenario whereby Bale is overlooked for what is arguably the greatest performance of his career. You can’t rule out Mortensen at +150 but I can’t see anything other than a win for Bale.
Prediction: Christian Bale (Vice) at -135
Mahershala Ali is the favorite in this category and looks pretty good for the win at -175. The young actor bagged the Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars two years ago for Moonlight and heads the bookies’ favorite for the Best Actor in a Supporting Role in 2019. Ali and Vigo Mortensen lit up the screen in Green Book, a touching story of an African-American jazz pianist’s friendship with an Italian-American bouncer in the 1960s.
Chalamet played the part of substance abusing teen in Beautiful Boy, with Steve Carell playing the part of his father. The film is a touching portrayal of the father-son relationship that struggles around the pressing issues of addiction and coming of age.
After the first two, there is a pretty big gulf in terms of odds. If you fancy a long shot, I would say that Sam Rockwell at +1200 is the best of the outsiders in any category. However, you can be sure that a win for Rockwell would cause some stir given the sky-high odds.
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) at -175 looks set to take the win in this category but Timothee Chalamet (Beautiful Boy) at +200 is one of the best bets across the board. Chalamet has a great chance of picking up the win and could do really well here.
Prediction: Mahershala Ali (Green Book) at -175
Without a doubt, the biggest movie of the closing quarter of 2018 was A Star is Born. The movie has dominated the entertainment news since it was released and has drawn rave reviews for the performances of Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper.
There are some excellent performances in this category, with Glenn Close rather unlucky that A Star is Born came out in 2018. If not for the huge success of the movie, her performance in The Wife would have almost certainly bagged her the award. Unfortunately for Close, Kidman, McCarthy, and Pike, there will be only one winner.
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born) at -275 seems the only bet to place. There isn’t a great deal of value in this category, so it is probably best to think about other bets.
Prediction: Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born) at -275
Olivia Colman’s work in The Favourite looks to have put her in contention for the win here. However, she will have to sweat it out until her name is called out, given that Emily Blunt’s Mary Poppins portrayal was on the money. It is likely that either Colman and Blunt will take home the win.
Elsie Fisher, the youngest nominee at just 15, is also out there with some pretty big odds. Constance Wu completes the five but looks unlikely to trouble the big two, at least.
Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns) at +150 looks the best value here. Blunt has brought the Mary Poppins legend to a new audience and has done an excellent job. Colman has a slightly lower profile among Americans and her price does seem a little short to warrant a punt.
Prediction: Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns) at +150
There is no doubt that the Best Actress in a Supporting role features a pretty stellar lineup. Of the five ladies nominated, there are 5 Golden Globes winners between them. In fact, the only name on this list to have gone without a win in the past is Regina King, who is the favorite to pick up a trophy this year, in what will be her third nomination in total.
King is also nominated in the Best Actress in a Mini-series for Seven Seconds. Her closest competitor according to bookies odds is Amy Adams, who has also been nominated for two awards on account of her performances in Vice and Sharp Objects. Adams is priced at a very attractive +140 to take home the award. Her riveting performance of Dick Cheney’s wife, Lynne Cheney, could see her take at least one award home.
Rachel Weisz, Claire Foy, and Emma Stone are all massive underdogs for the award. In fact, they are so far behind the leading two that there will unlikely be much betting activity on any of the trio in question. Amy Adams (Vice) at +140 looks a very good bet to me. Regina King’s odds of -150 would not justify value in what is essentially a two-horse race for the award.
Prediction: Amy Adams (Vice) at +140
Alfonso Cuaron’s work on Roma, a semi-autobiographical tale about his life in 1970s Mexico City – leads the pack here. The movie picked up the Golden Lion Award at the Venice Film Festival in 2018 and is a hot tip to see Cuaron collect the coveted Best Director award in 2019’s version of the Golden Globes.
Adam McKay is a great longshot for his work on Vice, while Spike Lee and Peter Farrelly look a long way off challenging the top two. Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) at +250 makes the most sense. The film is almost certain to pick up at least three awards, and a win in this category is also highly likely.
Prediction: A Star Is Born at +250
I kind of feel for everyone associated with If Beale Street Could Talk, BlacKkKlansman, Black Panther, and Bohemian Rhapsody. The reason being that there is almost no chance that any of these movies can pip A Star Is Born to the Best Motion Picture – Drama gong.
There is a reason why the favorite is priced at a very short -500. If you want to go for a crazy longshot, Black Panther could break the mold of superhero movies being taken seriously in these awards. It would be some shock and certainly does not deserve a big bet. Instead, the only real bet that makes sense is the heavy favorite.
Prediction: A Star Is Born at -500
This is undoubtedly the most competitive category at the 2019 Golden Globes. Green Book, The Favourite, and Vice are all neck and neck, at +100, +200, and +350, respectively. “Recency Bias” may hurt Crazy Rich Asians, given that it came out earlier than the others, while Mary Poppins Returns could be the outside bet of the night at +900.
This one is a real pick ’em, with any of the top three looking pretty good for a bet. Vice at +350 is my pick of the bunch here. Bale’s excellent performance and the strong reviews of the movie overall could see the movie cross the line here with the win.
Prediction: Vice at +350
The Miami Heat look to take a 2-0 series lead against the Milwaukee Bucks in…
The New York Mets head to Yankee Stadium to open a three-game series against the…
The Minnesota Twins play Game 2 of a three-game set against the New York Yankees…
The OKC Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet at the Smoothie King Center on Wednesday…
The No.8 Atlanta Hawks visit the No. 7 Miami Heat in the first play-in tournament…
The OKC Thunder visit the Utah Jazz at the Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt…