2019 Wells Fargo Championship Golf Odds, Preview and Prediction

The PGA Tour heads to Charlotte, North Carolina this week for the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club. The tournament has always been one of the big non-major events on the tour with strong fields in the past. 2019 Masters winner Tiger Woods is a regular here when healthy but he is skipping the event this year.

Despite Woods’ absence, the strength of the field cannot be denied this year. We talked about the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship via an early betting preview but at that time, the field wasn’t complete yet. With the tournament set to tee off on May 2, 2019, we now know who’s going to Quail Hollow and who the favorites are to win the tournament.

Here are the odds to win the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship. Odds taken from bet365.com as of 5/1/19:

Who Are The Favorites?

With the 2019 Wells Fargo Field locked in, Rory McIlroy is the betting favorite to win the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship. The 4th ranked player in the world in the Official World Golf Rankings and the 3rd ranked player in the FedEx Cup standings is off to a great start in 2019. McIlroy won THE PLAYERS Championship last month and had a streak of seven consecutive Top 10 finishes before placing 21st at the Masters Tournament in Augusta.

Not only is McIlroy playing well to start the year, but he has also been playing well at Quail Hollow. McIlroy is the only two-time winner of the Wells Fargo Championships and has made the cut in five out of his last six appearances here while finishing 16th or better in those five instances. McIlroy is one of four previous winners here that need a good, hard look.

Defending champion Jason Day is ranked next in the oddsboard at +1000. The Australian world #14 is coming off a strong performance at Augusta where he finished at T-5, his best finish at the Masters since 2013. Day is also having a good start to 2019 with five Top 10 finishes this year, including four in the Top 8.

Rickie Fowler isn’t having as good a start as Rory McIlroy and Jason Day but he’s had three top ten finishes this year including a T-9 at the Masters Tournament where he shot a 68 and 69 in his final two rounds. Fowler was also a T-2 at the Honda Classic where he shot at least a 66 in three of the four rounds. Then, of course, Fowler won the Waste Management Phoenix Open with three rounds of 65 or better.

Justin Rose, the 2nd ranked golfer in the world, is one of the names that wasn’t on our first list of favorites because he was late in committing to this tournament. Rose is coming off a disappointing stint at Augusta where he missed the cut. However, prior to that, Rose made the Top 10 in five out of his last seven tournaments joined. Rose opened the year strong with a victory at the Farmers Insurance Open late in January 2019.

Hideki Matsuyama has made the cut in all of the nine tournaments he’s started in 2019 but has made it to the Top 10 only three times. The 28th ranked golfer in the world was a T-32 at the recent Masters and his best finish this season was a T-8 at THE PLAYERS Championship.

Paul Casey missed the cut in Augusta but the world’s 13th best golfer according to the Official World Golf Rankings won the Valspar Championship and was a T-9 at the WGC-Dell Match Play right after the win. Casey was also 2nd at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and was a T-3 at the WGC-Mexico Championship.

Tony Finau was a T-5 at the Masters but that was his only Top-10 finish of the year so far. The world’s 15th ranked golfer had made seven straight cuts before missing in his last outing at the 2019 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Finau shot a 63 in the first round in Louisiana before bowing out with a 75 in Round 2.

Webb Simpson was also a T-5 at the Masters and a T-8 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions last January. The world’s 20th ranked golfer has missed the cut in only one of 11 starts this year. He is coming off a T-16 at the RBC Heritage where he shot a 65 in the third round.

Who Wins?

Jason Day has struggled as of late. Taking out the Masters in his last four tournaments played, Day has missed the cut twice- in the Valspar Championship and the Zurich Classic while finishing T-61 at the WGC-Dell match play in between the two missed cut. On the other hand, take away McIlroy’s T-21 in Augusta and you have seven consecutive Top 10 finishes including the win at THE PLAYERS.

There are many factors to look at in golf betting but consistency and current form may be two of the most important. When we talk about the two, there’s no question that Rory McIlroy rings a bell. Jason Day has better betting value and is the defending champion but he hasn’t been playing well as of late.

Rickie Fowler has shown good form as of late while Justin Rose has been consistent throughout the year. Then we have Tony Finau and Webb Simpson who played well in Augusta and have consistently made the cut in 2019. But none of these match Rory McIlroy’s performance this year.

When we talk about picking a winner, McIlroy is the best name for me and at +600, that’s good value even for a favorite. If you want a safer bet, then maybe Rory finishing in the Top 5 at +137 or McIlroy being the top finisher from GB and Ireland at +110 would be your thing. The guy’s playing too consistently not to pick him in those two prop bets.

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