The 2020 NFL Draft is still a long nine months away but the hype has already begun. The betting sites have started listing the favorites to become the #1overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft.
The 2020 NFL Draft is expected to be held from April 23-25, 2020 at Paradise, Nevada. A total of 255 total selections in 7 rounds are expected to be named during the three-day affair. This early, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa leads the pack as the betting favorite to be chosen top overall in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Here are the odds to become the #1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. These odds were taken from Betonline.ag as of 7/29/19:
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Tua Tagovailoa | +150 |
Justin Herbert | +325 |
Jake Fromm | +500 |
Chase Young | +700 |
Derrick Brown | +700 |
Jerry Jeudy | +900 |
There’s no questioning why Tua Tagovailoa is the football betting favorite to be the #1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft. He and Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence are the co betting favorites to win the Heisman Trophy next season and Alabama only trails Clemson as the favorite to win the 2020 National Championship.
Tagovailoa took over from Jalen Hurts in the 2018 College Football Playoff National Championship game and threw the game-winning and title-clinching 41-yard touchdown to fellow true freshman Devonta Smith. This past season, he started all 15 games and amassed a total of 3,966 passing yards with 43 touchdowns. The Hawaiian also set a new NCAA FBS passer rating record of 199.4 for the season, beating out Baker Mayfield’s previous high of 198.9 set in 2017. He missed out on the 2019 Heisman Trophy and lost to Clemson in the 2019 College Football Playoff National Championship game but he was named Offensive MVP of that game.
Justin Herbert could have entered the 2019 NFL Draft but elected to return for his senior season at Oregon. Now he is considered as Tagovailoa’s chief rival to be the #1 overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft according to the oddsmakers. Not only does Herbert have more than enough experience at the collegiate level, but he also has the qualities of a franchise-quarterback in-waiting. Last season, he threw for 3,151 yards and 29 touchdowns. At 6-4 and 240 pounds, he has NFL size and has fast legs and a very strong throwing arm.
Jake Fromm is yet another quarterback who is favored to be the #1 pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. Fromm stepped up as a freshman at Georgia when Jacob Eason went out with an injury. He finished his freshman year with 2,615 passing yards and 24 touchdowns as the Bulldogs would go on to win the 2017 SEC Championship game. He led Georgia to victory in the Rose Bowl on January 1, 2018, and sent the team to the CFP title game where they lost to Alabama and Tua Tagovailoa. Fromm threw for 2,761 yards with 30 touchdowns last season.
Chase Young joined Ohio State as a consensus Top 10 recruit and he established himself as a Top 5 draft prospect last season. Despite losing partner Nick Bosa to the NFL draft and even if he was dealing with ankle injuries, Young found ways to be very productive for the Buckeyes. In 22 games played, Young has 19.5 tackles and 12 sacks. More is even expected from him in his upcoming junior season with a new defensive staff in Columbus.
Derrick Brown could have left and could have been a solid selection in the 2019 NFL Draft because the NFL loves the experienced Defensive Linemen from the SEC. Instead, Brown chose to return to Auburn to settle unfinished business and add serious hype. Now he’s one of the top favorites to become the #1 overall pick of the 202 NFL Draft. Brown has a total of 105 tackles and 20 TFLs in his last two seasons at Auburn.
Jerry Jeudy is the highest-ranked wide receiver in the odds board. Jeudy had a breakout season in Alabama where he caught 14 touchdowns and 1,315 yards. The incoming junior was a consensus All-American and the Biletnikoff Award winner as the nation’s best receiver in 2018.
There hasn’t been a number #1 overall pick whose position was wide receiver since Keyshawn Johnson in 1996. There has also been only one defensive back who went on to become the #1 overall pick in the NFL draft and that was Gary Glick in 1956. So based on those, I think Jerry Jeudy and Derrick Brown are unlikely to become the top pick in next year’s NFL draft unless of course, they do something, spectacular next season.
This leads us to the three quarterbacks on the list and Chase Young who is a defensive end. Jadeveon Clowney in 2014 and Myles Garrett in 2017 were #1 overall picks at the defensive end position. However 6 out of the last 9, including 4 out of the last 5 #1 overall picks in the NFL draft were quarterbacks. In fact, 32 quarterbacks have been the top overall pick of the NFL draft, the latest of which was Kyler Murray this year. The next top position is running back with 29 #1 overall picks but the last running back to do so was Ki-Jana Carter in 1995.
Between the three quarterbacks, I like Justin Herbert because of his size and experience. However, the hype is with Tua Tagovailoa right now and we know what hype can do. Just ask Kyler Murray who was the betting favorite but a surprise #1 overall pick this year. Right now, I’m going with Tua Tagoailoa but it’s still a long way to next year’s draft and a lot of things can happen. My pick is Tua Tagovailoa but I won’t mind if you go with Justin Herbert.
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