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America will vote for its next leader next year at the 2020 United States Presidential Election. The 2020 U.S. Presidential Elections will be on November 3, 2020 and it will be the 59th quadrennial presidential elections in the United States.
Registered voters will vote for the members of the United States Electoral College college who in turn will elect the President and Vice-President of the United States on December 14, 2020. A candidate needs to win a minimum of 270 of the 538 electoral votes to win the election.
Before the elections, there will be a series of Presidential primary elections and caucuses which are expected to be held in the first six months of 2020. Voters pick the delegates to a party’s nominating convention. These delegates will be the ones to elect a party’s nominee to the Presidential Elections.
The sitting U.S. president, Donald Trump is eligible and seeking re-election for a second and final term. But that still hangs in the balance as his political party is still going to make a nomination. We already talked about Trump’s odds in a previous article on this page. Now we’re going to take a look at the odds of every other candidate for the 2020 Presidential Elections.
Here are the odds to become the next President of the United States of America. Odds taken from Mybookie.ag as of 5/17/19
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -300 |
| Kamala Harris | +550 |
| Joe Biden | +900 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +1000 |
| Bernie Sanders | +1400 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +1600 |
| Amy Klobuchar | +2000 |
| Mike Pence | +2500 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +2500 |
| Eric Garcetti | +2500 |
Who Are The Favorites?
Donald Trump is the businessman turned politician who upset Hillary Clinton in the 2016 Presidential Elections to become the 45th Commander in Chief of the United States. The Manhattan businessman and former reality star won the Republican nomination and went on to beat Clinton with 307-227 in electoral votes.
Kamala Harris is the former Attorney General of California who is currently the junior senator from California starting 2017. Harris launched her presidential bid on Martin Luther Day 2019 in the television show Good Morning America. Within 24 hours, she received a then record $1.5M of small donations from all over the 50 states for her campaign. She is seen as the top rival of Joe Biden for the Democratic party nomination.
Joe Biden was the 47th Vice-President of the United States and served during the term of Barack Obama. The 76-year old Democrat worked joined the faculty of the University of Pennsylvania after completing his second term. He did not run for election in 2016 but is making a presidential bid in 2020. He is the current frontrunner in the early polls.
Pete Buttigieg is a former U.S. Naval intelligence officer who has been the mayor of South Bend, Indiana since 2012. The 37-year old Democrat announced last April 14, 2019 that he is seeking nominations for the 2020 elections after forming an Exploratory Committee last January.
Bernie Sanders is the incumbent junior senator from Vermont who was unsuccessful in his 2016 Democratic Party nomination. He was initially considered a longshot in 2016 but went on to win 23 primaries and caucuses. After losing the nomination, Sanders went on to support Hillary Clinton’s unsuccessful presidential bid against Donald Trump.
Mike Pence is the 48th and current Vice-President of the United States. The 59-year old from Columbus, Indiana was the Governor of Indiana from 2013-2017 and a former member of the United States House of Representatives from 2001-2013. Trump announced in November 2018 that Pence would be his running-mate in 2020. He has not announced that he is seeking nomination or running for president.
Who Wins?
When you take a look at the oddsboard, there are eight democrats and two Republicans. Only President Trump and Vice-President Pence are Republicans on the oddsboard which means that only one of them will be nominated by their party as the standard bearer, which also means this oddsboard may be down to three candidates: Trump, Pence and the Democrats’ nominated candidate. This is on the assumption that Pence will seek nomination or declare his intention to run for president.
The U.S. Presidential elections have been historically dominated by the Republicans and Democrats. These are the top two political parties in the United States and in every election, it’s almost always been their standard bearers who have gone 1-2 in the presidential race. That’s a given.
In 2016, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton were the nominated candidates for the Republicans and Democrats, respectively. And while there are five other candidates during that election, these two got 94.2% of the popular vote and 531 out of 538 electoral votes. That said, if you want to make a bet, betting on Trump or Pence is already 25% sure or betting on both would give you mathematically 50% chance of winning the bet.
There are at least 22 personalities who have thrown their hat for Democratic Nomination so, as of right now it’s hard to pick who wins the Democratic nomination. Sure, Joe Biden is substantially leading the polls but he still doesn’t have the majority of the primary voters. Hence, there is no true favorite right now on the Democratic side. When you look at the oddsboard at mybookie.ag, Kamala Harris (+250), Pete Buttigieg (+300), Bernie Sanders (+320) and Biden (+350) who are on top. It’s still anybody’s game right now.
That said, if you want to get a clearer betting picture on the 2020 U.S. Presidential Olympics, wait for the nominations to be finished. And although the plus money won’t be as good value as they are right now, there’s a better chance of winning the bet. If you want a higher yield, of course you can always bet now. But if you ask me, this is one election that is perhaps the hardest to handicap given the many faces.
But if I were to make a bet right now, the surer bet would be on the Republicans. Bet on both and as I said earlier, that’s almost as good as 50% of winning the bet already. With Pence not an official presidential candidate yet, then Donald Trump would be the safest bet right now. As for picking a Democrat, I will be traditional here and follow the route that the poll leader, early as today is still, is going to get the nomination. I think Joe Biden has great value at +900 right now than when he gets nominated, if ever.
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