San Francisco 49ers vs LA Rams 01/30/2022 NFL Preview and Predictions

The San Francisco 49ers will be looking to score another upset when they visit the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on Sunday for the NFC Championship Game.

San Francisco battled from a 3-5 SU start to make the playoffs as the no. 6 seed in the NFC. The 49ers upset the Dallas Cowboys are +3.5 point underdogs and then proceeded to topple the former Super Bowl favorites Green Bay Packers as +6 point underdogs in the Divisional Round.

Los Angeles heads home to host the 49ers after ending the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ reign as Super Bowl champions. The Rams blew a 24-point lead last weekend and almost watch Tom Brady deliver another classic comeback. Fortunately, Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp combined to put the Rams in field goal range as time was about to expire. The Rams beat the Bucs as +2.5 point underdogs last weekend.

San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers not only carry the momentum of their win against the Packers this weekend but they are also bolstered by the fact that they have beaten the Rams in each of their last six head-to-head meetings, including twice this season. In Week 18, the 49ers outdueled the Rams in OT 27-24 at SoFi Stadium to earn a playoff spot.

Jimmy Garropolo threw for only 131 passing yards while completing 11 of 19 passes with no touchdowns against the Packers. However, the San Francisco defense stifled Aaron Rodgers and prevented the MVP favorite from throwing any TD passes too. The 49ers’ defense blocked a punt and returned it for a touchdown to tie the game at 10 before Garropolo drove to field goal range and set up Robbie Gould’s 45-yard game-winner.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

49ers

+158

Rams

-178

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/28/2022

Los Angeles Rams

The Los Angeles Rams have lost just once in their last eight games played and ae 6-2 ATS during that stretch. However, it’s hard to ignore the fact that the 49ers have owned them in their recent head-to-head matchups. But the stakes are different here and with their season on the line, expect the Rams’ stars to show up.

Matthew Stafford is 41-55 with 568 passing yards with four touchdown passes and zero interceptions. Cooper Kupp caught 9 passes for 183 yards with one TD grab against Tampa Bay. Stafford and KUpp connected on two big passing plays that saved the Rams from an epic collapse against the Bucs.

Who Wins?

San Francisco is 6-1 SU in their last seven games played. The 49ers are 8-3 SU in 11 road games played this season, and 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the NFC.

Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in their last eight games played. The Rams are 6-3 SU in their last nine games played at home, and 7-2 SU in their last nine January games.

Head to head, the 49ers ae 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Rams.

San Francisco’s defense limited Aaron Rodgers to 225 passing yards with no touchdown passes while also returning a blocked punt for a touchdown to tie the game at 10-10. The offense then moved the ball to get them in field goal range as time expired.

The 49ers are 4-0 SU and ATS over their last four games played including 3-0 SU and ATS as betting underdogs. They have won their last four games outright, including a pair of wins over the Rams as +3.5 point underdogs.

The Rams closed out the regular season with a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record. They also eliminated the defending Super Bowl champions and are currently the second favorites to win it all. However, the 49ers’ dominance in their head-to-head series cannot be overlooked.

San Francisco has the momentum and the mental edge of dominating this series. However, Los Angeles has a much better offense and that should be the difference in this game. A good defensive effort by San Francisco will keep this game competitive. However, the Rams should have more than enough offense to win it.

Prediction: LA Rams

Other Bets to Make

San Francisco is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played. The 49ers are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last four games as underdogs, 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the NFC, 5-1 ATS in their last six games against an opponent with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs, 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played in January, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.

Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games played. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC, 4-1 ATS in their last five games after an ATS win, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven playoff games. Los Angeles is just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games against an opponent with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Head to head, the 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Rams. San Francisco is also 5-1 ATS in their last six road games in Los Angeles.

What are the Spread Odds?

49ers

+3.5 (-110)

Rams

-3.5 (-110)

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/28/2022

The 49ers are 2-0 SU and ATS against the Rams this season. San Francisco blew out Los Angeles in their first meeting at Levi’s Stadium 31-10 and then went to SoFi Stadium to pull off a 27-24 OT win in Week 18 to clinch a playoff spot.

The Rams led by 17 in Week 18 before the 49ers came back to steal the game. More than beating the 49ers, the Rams need to beat that mental barrier to overcome San Francisco. That’s easier said than done but after watching the Stafford and Kupp keep their composure when the Bucs erased a 24-point deficit and threatened to send the game to overtime, they came up with the big plays that they needed to win the game.

Surviving Tampa Bay should give the Rams as much confidence as the 49ers beating the Packers. Sure, the 49ers are 2-0 SU and ATS on the Rams this season. But the stakes are different here and when they are higher, the stars will come out to play. These are the game why they picked up OBJ, Von Miller, and Stafford. Look for the three to lead the way.

Prediction: Rams -3.5

The total has gone under in six out of the last seven games played by the 49ers. The under is also 8-4 in their last 12 January games, 4-0 in their last four playoff games as underdogs, 6-0 in their last six playoff road games, 5-1 in their last six games against an opponent with winning record, 4-1 in their last five games after an ATS win, 4-1 in their last five games after a straight-up win, and 4-1 in their last five road games.

The total has gone under in four out of the last five home games played by the Rams. The under is 4-2 in their last six games against the NFC West, 17-4 in their last 21 games as home betting favorites, 26-10-1 in their last 37 games as betting favorites, 6-2 in their last eight home games against an opponent with a winning road record, 5-2 in their last seven games on field turf, and 16-7 in their last 23 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last six meetings between these two teams.

These teams went over 45.5 points in Week 18 when they combined for 51 points but that game went to OT and the total score at the end of regulation was just 48 points. They also went under 45.5 when they combined for 41 points last November 15th.

San Francisco ranked 13th in the league in scoring during the regular season at 25.1 points per game. However, in their last four games, the defense has been the key to San Francisco’s success and they have scored 23 or fewer points three times during that stretch. Only the 49ers game against the Rams made it past 46 points in their last six outings.

The Rams were 7th in the league in scoring at 27.1 points per game but have scored 27 or fewer points in half of their last six games played. Los Angeles is known for its offense with Stafford and Kupp. However, they also have a defense that ranks in the upper half of the league at 21.9 points per game allowed.

San Francisco cannot match Los Angeles’s offense. They will need their defense to win them this game. Look for this one to be a low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Under 45.5

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