The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks settle the NFC West Division with their week 17 showdown at the CenturyLink Field on Sunday, December 29, 2019.
The 49ers retained a one-game lead over the Seahawks with a 34-31 win over the Los Angeles Rams last weekend. San Francisco is just 2-2 SU and ATS in their last four games played and will clinch the division title with a win here. The Seahawks are limping to the finish line. Seattle dropped a 13-27 contest to the Arizona Cardinals to fall behind in the NFC West race. However, a win on Sunday will give them the division title by winning their head to head matchup with the 49ers.
Best Season In Five Years
The San Francisco 49ers are having their best season in five years. Before this season, San Francisco’s best result in the last half-decade was an 8-8 year in 2014. They were 4-12 last season due to injuries but the 49ers are a solid 12-3 SU and 8-6-1 ATS this season. A win over Seattle will clinch the NFC West Division title for San Francisco.
Jimmy Garropolo has passed for 3,693 yards with 27 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Raheem Mostert has rushed for a total of 715 yards with 6 touchdowns while Matt Brieda has 607 rushing yards on 119 carries. George Kittle has caught a total of 967 yards with 5 touchdowns.
San Francisco ranks 14th in passing at 234.8 yards per game. They are 2nd in rushing at 145.1 yards per contest. The 49ers are the second-highest scoring team in the league this season at 30.2 points per game and they are allowing opponents to score an average of 19.3 points per game.
One Game Behind San Francisco
The Seahawks head to this game as owners of a wild card spot in the NFC. They currently stand one game behind the 49ers in the NFC West Division but if they beat San Francisco on Sunday, they will win the division by winning their head to head matchup this season.
Russell Wilson has thrown for a total of 3,877 yards with 29 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Chris Carson has rushed 278 times with a total of 1,230 yards on the ground with seven touchdowns. Tyler Lockett has 76 catches for 1,006 yards with seven scores while DK Metcalf has 819 receiving yards with six touchdown catches.
The Seahawks rank 11th in passing at 237.9 yards per game. They are the 3rd best rushing team in the league at 138.3 rushing yards per game. Seattle is 9th in the NFL in scoring at 25.6 points per game and they are allowing their opponents to score an average of 24.8 points per game.
Who Wins?
San Francisco is 12-3 SU in their last 15 games played. The 49ers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games played at home. Seattle is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played. The Seahawks are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played at home. Head to head, the Seahawks are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the 49ers. Seattle is also 8-0 SU in their last eight home games against San Francisco.
The 49ers aren’t playing their best football of the season right now. San Francisco is just 2-2 SU and ATS in their last four games played but they are coming off a win over the Los Angeles Rams. Defensive lineman Dee Ford will miss this game with a hamstring injury while Jullian Taylor and Jaquiski Tartt remain questionable.
The Seahawks are already missing several key players and then they lost their top two running backs in their loss to the Arizona Cardinals the last time out. A win on Sunday would earn Seattle a sweep of the 49ers this season and more importantly, the NFC West Division title.
The NFC West is a tough division. If the Niners win, they will win the division title but if they lose, they will end up as a wild card team playing on the road in the first round of the playoffs. Chris Carson is out for the season and he has produced 59.3% of Seattle’s run offense. That is a tough loss for the Seahawks.
Prediction: San Francisco 49ers
Other Bets To Make
The 49ers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games played. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in seven road games played this season, and 2-4 ATS in their last six games played in December. The Seahawks are 7-7-1 ATS in 15 games played this season. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in seven home games played this year, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC West, and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
49ers
-3 (-125)
Seahawks
+3 (-105)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/25/19
San Francisco has outscored Seattle by an average of 9.0 points per game in their last three head to head meetings and by 10.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings. Russell Wilson has been terrific all season long but given the injuries they have at this stage of the year and with the division title on the line, I think there’s just too much going against the Seahawks here.
Prediction: 49ers +3
The total has gone over in seven out of the last nine games played by the 49ers. The over is 7-1 in San Francisco’s last eight games against the NFC Conference and also 7-1 in their last 8 games played against the NFC West Division. The total has gone over in eight out of the last 15 games played by the Seahawks. The over 13-6 in Seattle’s last 19 games against the NFC Conference, and the over is also 5-2 in their last seven December games. Head to head, the over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
Over
47 (-110)
Under
47 (-110)
Odds from SportsBetting as of 12/25/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 53.0 points per game in their last three head to head meetings. San Francisco has topped the 47-point total in each of their last three games played while scoring an average of 34.67 points per game. Seattle has allowed at least 24 points in their last four games played. With a banged-up line-up, I expect the Seattle defense to cough up enough points to push the total to over.
Prediction: Over 47