Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns 11/04/19 NBA Betting Odds and Pick

The Philadelphia 76ers take their unbeaten record to the Talking Stick Resort Arena for a matchup with the Phoenix Suns on Monday, November 4, 2019.

Best Start Since 2001

The Philadelphia 76ers are 5-0 this season and they are the only remaining unbeaten team in the 2019-20 NBA season. This marks the Sixers’ best start since the 2000-01 season when Philadelphia opened at 10-0 and went on to win the 2001 Eastern Conference title. Saturday’s 129-128 win over the Blazers though wasn’t easy.

Philly had to come back from a 21-point third-quarter deficit and had to play without All-Star center Joel Embiid who is serving a two-game suspension for fighting with Karl Anthony-Towns in their previous game. Al Horford stepped in and contributed 25 points while Ben Simmons had 18 points and 11 boards but it was Furkan Korkmaz who made the game-winning three-pointers with 0.4 seconds left to play.

The Sixers rank 10th in the NBA in scoring at 115.0 points per game. They lead the league with an average of 51.3 rebounds per game and they are also third in passing with 27.2 assists per game. Philadelphia has the 9th best defense in the league with an average of 106.0 points per game allowed.

Winning Without Ayton

The Phoenix Suns suffered an early blow when sophomore center DeAndre Ayton was suspended by the league for 25 games after violating its drug policy. But the Suns have managed to win without Ayton as they are 4-2 SU to start the season. Australian big man Aron Baynes has upped his game while starting in Ayton’s absence.

Baynes is averaging 15.0 points, 5.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game in six games played this season. Baynes has scored at least 20 points in each of the Suns last two games, both wins. Devin Booker has been their main man with an average of 23.5 points per game while newly acquired point guard Ricky Rubio has chipped in 11.0 points, 6,4 rebounds, 8.2 assists and 2.2 steals per game.

The Suns are 9th in the league in scoring at 115.2 points per game and they are ranked 21st in rebounding at 44.0 boards per contest. Phoenix is 2nd in the NBA in assists with an average of 28.3 dimes per contest. The Suns are allowing their opponents to score 106.0 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in their last five games played. The Sixers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games played on the road and 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Western Conference. Phoenix is 4-2 SU in their last six games played and 2-1 SU in their three home games this season. The Suns are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games played against the Eastern Conference and 1-4 SU in their last five November games. Head to head, the Sixers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against the Suns.

The Sixers are 5-0 SU as NBA betting favorites this season but Phoenix has been resilient and the Suns are 3-2 SU as underdogs this season. Phoenix is without the suspended DeAndre Ayton and they have relied on gang rebounding to get possessions. The Sixers are the top rebounding team in the league but they will be without Joel Embiid in this game due to suspension.

Philadelphia stayed unbeaten after Furkan Korkmaz hit a three-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to give the Sixers a 129-128 win over the Blazers in Portland. The Sixers are 3-0 SU on the road this season and Al Horford stepped up in Embiid’s absence. The Suns can boast of beating the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard playing but their other three wins this season have come against Sacramento, Golden State and Memphis who have a combined record of 3-14 SU this season. The Suns are untested and the Sixers are going to be too physical for them in this matchup. I’m picking the Philadelphia 76ers to beat the Phoenix Suns.

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Other Bets to Make

The Sixers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games played. Philadelphia is 1-1 ATS in two road games this season and they are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Pacific Division. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in six games played this season. Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played at home, including 3-0 ATS in three home games this season. Head to head, the Sixers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games played against the Suns.

The Suns have outscored the Sixers by an average of 0.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings but Philadelphia has outscored Phoenix by an average of 7.67 points per game in their last three games played. I like how the Suns have started the season but the Sixers aren’t just lucky, they are one of the top favorites in the East. In as much as I’d like to put my money on the Suns, a +1 point edge doesn’t matter. It’s just like calling this game even and I don’t believe the Suns are at level with the Sixers, even if the latter is without Joel Embiid on Monday. I’ll pick the better team.

Prediction: Sixers -1

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The total has gone under in 10 out of the last 14 games played by Philadelphia. The over is 7-2 in the Sixers’ last nine November games played. The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Suns. The under is also 4-1 in Phoenix’s last five games against the Atlantic Division. Head to head, the total has gone over in seven out of the last eight games between these two teams. The Sixers and Suns have also seen the total go over in four out of their last five meetings in Phoenix.

These teams have combined to score 226.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 241.67 points per game in their last three encounters. These teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in scoring and have plenty of good scorers on hand even without Embiid and Ayton on both sides. These teams are in the Top 10 in scoring in the league right now. The Sixers have gone over the 223 total in three out of their last five games played while the Suns have gone over 223 in two out of their last four games played. I like the teams to go over 223 points here.

Prediction: Over 223

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