Alabama vs LSU 01/29/20 NCAA Basketball Betting Odds and Pick

The LSU Tigers host the Alabama Crimson Tide at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center on Wednesday night as SEC action continues.

The Tigers have climbed back to the Top 25 rankings after a 69-67 win over Texas last Saturday. LSU is the only team that has yet to drop a game in the SEC conference. The Crimson Tide picked up their fourth win in a row last Saturday. Alabama defeated Kansas State 77-74 at their home floor to improve to 4-2 in Conference play. Last season, LSU won its two meetings against Alabama.

Four Wins in a Row

The Alabama Crimson Tide have won four games in a row including a victory over then-ranked Auburn. The Crimson Tide are 4-2 in SEC action and their offense has been impressive so far. Alabama is coming off a 77-74 home win over Kansas State last Saturday.

Sophomore guard Kira Lewis Jr. is averaging 16.8 points per game on 44% shooting. Lewis has put up a pair of 20-point games in his last three outings for Alabama. John Petty is averaging 16.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game this season. Petty has made 11 three-pointers in his last three games played and has scored at least 20 points five times this season.

Alabama is ranked 6th in the nation in scoring at 82.8 points per game and they are also giving up an average of 76.6 points per contest. The Crimson Tide are 15th overall in rebounding at 41.5 boards grabbed per outing. They are also averaging 13.9 dimes per game this season.

Back in the Top 25

The LSU Tigers returned to the Top 25 this week at #22. The Tigers remained perfect in SEC action at 6-0 and they are the only team in the conference that has yet to drop a game in league play. LSU defeated Texas 69-67 in a closely contested game last Saturday. The win was their 8th in a row heading to this contest.

Senior guard Skylar Mays is coming off a 10-point game against Texas but he is averaging 15.7 points and 4.8 rebounds per game this season. Emmitt Williams is also having a good year at 13.5 points and 6.6 rebounds per game and he has made half of his shots in five straight games. Trendon Watford scored 22 points to lead the Tigers in their last assignment.

LSU ranks 27th in the nation in scoring at 79.6 points per game scored. They are averaging 39.8 rebounds per game and are also posting 13.7 assists per contest. The Tigers are allowing their opponents to score an average of 69.6 points per game. LSU is 10-1 SU at home this season.

Who Wins?

Alabama is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Crimson Tide are 2-4 SU in their last six games played on the road, 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Southeastern Conference, and 5-1 SU in their last six January games. LSU is 8-0 SU in their last eight games played. The Tigers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games played at home. Head to head, these teams have split their last 10 meetings but LSU has won the last two games.

Alabama is on a roll right now with four consecutive wins. The Crimson Tide are one of the highest-scoring teams in the nation but they also have one of the worst defenses in the league when it comes to scoring defense. They will need to defend and slow the game a bit in order to beat a gifted offensive team like LSU.

The Tigers also own an explosive offense. They have put up at least 80 points per game in three out of their last four assignments. LSU’s trio of Mays, Williams, and Watford are good at making plays in crunch time. All three should have a field day scoring with plenty of opportunities to pick up buckets.

LSU has lost just once at home this season and they are still undefeated in SEC conference play. Alabama is playing well as of the moment and they are looking for a fifth consecutive victory. The Tigers dominated this matchup last season and I don’t think this one will be any different.

Prediction: LSU Tigers

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Other Bets to Make

Alabama is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games played. The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last five games played on the road. LSU is 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. The Tigers are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 home games, 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the Southeastern Conference, and 1-5 ATS in their last six January games. Head to head, the Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Tigers.

Alabama isn’t the same team when they are on the road. The Crimson Tide defense has also allowed at least 74 points in all but two of their last seven games played. LSU is a team that can put up points on the scoreboard fast and Alabama’s style of play leaves plenty of scoring opportunities for the Tigers. I think LSU is on a roll and should win this home game and cover the spread.

Prediction: LSU -5

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The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Crimson Tide. The over is 6-4 in Alabama’s 10 games away from home this season. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by LSU. The over is 2-1 in their last three conference games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone over in five out of the last seven games between these two teams. The over is also 6-2 in their last eight encounters played at LSU’s home floor.

Alabama plays a fast-paced game with plenty of back and forth action. The Crimson Tide are averaging 80.4 possessions per game and they have scored at least 77 points in their last four assignments. LSU doesn’t play with as much pace but they have several outstanding shooters on their squad. The Tigers have also allowed at least 76 points in three out of their last four outings. The over is also 5-1 in LSU’s last six Wednesday games.

Prediction: Over 161

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