Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies 5/28/19 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies play game two of their current set on Tuesday at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.

Merrill Kelly will start on top of the hill for the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. The 30-year old from Arizona State University has started in a total of 10 games this season and has a record of 4-5. The right-hander from Scottsdale in Arizona has an ERA of 4.75, a WHIP of 1.55 and a BAA of .283 on the season. The Diamondbacks are 4-6 SU in his 10 starts this season.

Kelly has pitched in a total of 53.0 innings and has allowed 28 earned runs on 60 hits with 8 home runs while also walking 22 batters and striking out 40 hitters. In his last outing, Kelly lasted just 1.2 innings as he gave up four earned runs on five hits with four walks. He got the loss as the Padres beat the Diamondbacks 5-2 last May 22nd.

David Peralta leads the Diamondbacks with his .309 batting average while third baseman Eduardo Escobar has 12 home runs and 39 RBIs to lead Arizona this season. As a team, the Diamondbacks are hitting the ball at a .259 clip and have scored a total of 280 runs this year.

For the Rockies, it will be Antonio Senzatela who will start Game 2 against the Diamondbacks. The 24-year-old right-hander has started in a total of 8 games this season and has a record of 3-4. The Valencia, Venezuela native has an ERA of 6.21, a WHIP of 1.62 and a BAA of .301 on the season. The Rockies are 1-3 in Senzatela’s last four starts.

In a total of 42.0 innings worked this year, Senzatela has given up a total of 29 earned runs on 50 hits with 8 home runs while striking out 27 and walking 18 hitters. In his most recent start, Senzatela gave up 8 earned runs on nine hits with one home run. He got the loss as the Rockies were outgunned 6-14 by the Pirates.

Nolan Arenado continues his brilliance for the Rockies. The Colorado third baseman leads the team with 15 home runs and 44 RBI on a .335 batting average this season. As a team, the Rockies are batting at a .257 average this season and have produced a total of 269 runs on the year.

Who Wins?

The Diamondbacks are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. Arizona is 3-3 SU in their last six games played on the road. The Rockies are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played and Colorado is 2-1 SU in their last three games played at home. Head to head, the Rockies are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Diamondbacks and Colorado has won six out of their last 10 home games against Arizona.

Arizona is 16-15 SU in 31 games played as underdogs this season and the Diamondbacks are 17-15 SU in their last 32 games against a right-handed starter. Colorado is 17-12 SU in 29 games played as betting favorites this year. The Rockies are just 15-16 SU in 31 games when the opposing starter is a right-hander.

The Diamondbacks are 1-5 SU in their last six Game 2s of a series and are 40-17 SU in their last 57 Tuesday games played. The Rockies are 1-4 SU in their last five Game 2s of a series, 5-2 in their last seven games at home, 5-2 in Senzatela’s last seven starts with four days rest and 4-1 SU in Senzatela’s last five starts against the National League West.

This looks to be a high-scoring game with Arizona starter Merrill Kelly having a road ERA of 7.66 and pitching for the first time at the hitter-friendly Coors Field. I expect Colorado to have the advantage in a scoring battle because the Diamondbacks are without David Peralta. I’m picking the Colorado Rockies to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks on 5/28/19.

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Other Bets To Make

Arizona is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Diamondbacks are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games played. Colorado is also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Rockies are 1-2 ATS in their last three games played at home.

Colorado has outscored Arizona by an average of 0.9 runs per game in their last 10 games played but the Diamondbacks have played better in the recent meetings, outscoring Colorado by 1.67 runs per game in their last three meetings. Four out of Arizona’s last five wins have been by at least two runs while six out of Colorado’s last eight games were settled by at least two runs. Prediction: Rockies -1.5

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The over is 27-24-2 in the Diamondbacks’ 53 games played so far this season. Arizona has seen the total go over in 17 out of 29 road games played this year. The total has gone over in 29 out of the 51 games played by the Rockies this year. Colorado has seen the total go over in 16 out of their 23 home games played so far this season. Head to head, the total has gone over in five out of the last seven meetings between these two teams and the over is 4-0 in their last four games played in Colorado.

Neither pitchers are hard to hit with Kelly owning an ERA of more than seven runs on the road this season and Senzatela having an ERA of 7.99 in the month of May. Nolan Arenado is batting a .420 on the month and has 11 RBIs in is last four games. Colorado has scored at least five runs in seven out of their last 8 games played. I think both teams are going to enjoy a hit-fest here. Prediction: Over 12.5

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