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Aston Villa vs Arsenal EPL Betting Odds and Preview

Aston Villa welcomes Arsenal to Villa Park on July 21, 2020, as the English Premier League nears the end of its season.

The Villans are fighting for survival and after being forced to a draw in their last assignment, they may need to win their remaining two matches against Arsenal and West Ham if they are to keep their spot in the English top flight. They were denied of their second win in 12 matches when Theo Walcott scored off a header very late in the match to force a tie score. Aston Villa has taken four points from their last two matches but despite that, time and games are running out.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa is currently in 19th place in the English Premier League. The Villans have a record of 8-7-21 with a total of 31 points from their matches. They are tied with 18th place Bournemouth in points and are just three points behind 17th place Watford and safety. However, there are just two more matches left to play and they need to pick up wins and hope that Watford screws up if they are to return to the top flight next season.

Aston Villa heads to this match after a disappointing 1-1 draw against Everton last week, a match which they should’ve won. Ezri Konsa netted in the 72nd minute to put Aston Villa up one to nil but a late goal by Theo Walcott in the 87th forced the tie. Aston Villa was clearly the better team but they failed to capitalize and now find themselves three points from safety with two matches left to play.

Jack Grealish leads Aston Villa with a total of seven goals scored this season. Forwards Trezeguet and Wesley each have found the back of the net five times for Aston Villa. Grealish also leads the team in assists with six while Conor Hourihane has five assists and three goals scored this season. Anwar El-Ghazi has netted four times while also issuing four assists.

The Villans are next to last in the league in defense with a total of 66 goals conceded. They are 13th overall in goals scoring with a total of 39 goals scored this season. Aston Villa also ranks 10th in passing with a total of 30 assists on the year. Their goal difference of -27 is also just 19th in England.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Aston Villa

+225

Arsenal

+108

Draw

+240

Odds from BetOnline as of 07/20/2020

Arsenal

The Gunners are currently in 10th place in the English Premier League table with a record of 13-14-9 and a total of 53 points. Arsenal is just three points behind 6th place Wolverhampton and only two points off seventh place Tottenham. But just like Aston Villa, they are running out of matches and need to act now if they are to make the Europa League.

Arsenal is coming off its best football display of the season. The Gunners defeated Manchester City 2-0 in the FA Cup semifinals last Saturday after defeating Premier League champions Liverpool 2-1 in their last league assignment. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang posted a double as he scored in the 19th and 71st minute to give Arsenal the big upset win.

Aubameyang now has scored a total of 20 goals on the year to lead the Gunners. Alexandre Lacazette has netted 10 times for Arsenal while Nicolas Pepe has scored a total of 5 goals this season and leading the team in assists with a total of six on the season. Lacazette has four assists while Bukayo Saka has five assists and one goal scored.

Arsenal is ranked 7th in the Premier League in goals scored with a total of 53 on the year. They are also 7th in defense with a total of 45 goals conceded this term. The Gunners are tied for 8th in passing with a total of 33 assists on the season. They are also 8th in goal difference at +8 goals.

Who Wins?

Arsenal is in great form right now and they are looking to build on their back to back wins over the top two teams in England in Liverpool and Manchester City, beating the two during the same week. They have shown excellent commitment, focus, and discipline during this period. They have shown great improvement under Mikel Arteta and are only looking to get even better. The Gunners could be headed to the Champions League if they win the FA Cup and they could very well use this match to prepare themselves for the finals.

Aston Villa has a tough task in their last two matches to avoid relegation. The Gunners are in the FA Cup final and would enter the Champions League if they win it all. However, a win against Aston Villa is key since they can qualify for the Europa League just in case they don’t win the FA Cup. I think that despite Aston Villa’s predicament, Arsenal has more to play for here and the Gunners have a much better team than their opponents.

The Gunners are undefeated in 31 out of their last 35 head to head meetings against Aston Villa. Aston Villa has won just once in their last 13 matches across all competition. The Villans have lost five out of their last seven home assignments. They have managed just one victory in their last 14 Premier League matches on the road with five draws and nine losses during that spell. They are currently winless in their last seven matches with three draws and four losses. I expect the Villans to give it their all, considering they are fighting for their Premier League existence. However, the Gunners’ current form cannot be overlooked right now.

Prediction: Arsenal (+105)

Alternate Bet

What are the Total Odds?

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

+100

Odds from BetOnline as of 07/20/2020

These two teams have combined to score a total of 32 goals in their last 10 head to head matchups and an aggregate of 11 in their last 3 encounters. Aston Villa and Arsenal have played to the over in eight out of their last 10 head to head matchups and they have combined for at least four goals in three out of their last four meetings. Aston Villa is the only team in the Premier League that has not produced a single clean sheet this season and they have conceded a total of 17 goals in the final 15 minutes of their matches, the most by any side this season I like these teams to hit the over again in this encounter.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-120)

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Chris Blain

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