Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics 07/25/2022 Odds and Prediction

The Houston Astros begin a three-game series with the Oakland Athletics on Monday night at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.

Houston is 64-32 on the season and they are on top of the American League West division standings. The Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games played and head to this match-up having won their last five games played. Meanwhile, Oakland is at the bottom of that group with their 35-63 record and a whopping 30 games behind the Astros. The A’s are 6-4 in their last 10 games played but are coming off an 11-8 loss to the Texas Rangers.

These teams have played 9 times this season and the Astros currently lead their season series 6-3 but the A’s are 2-1 in their last three head-to-head meetings.

Houston Astros

The Astros are on a high right now as they are coming off series wins against the team with the best record in baseball the Yankees and the hottest team in the majors the Mariners. Houston completed a sweep of Seattle with an 8-5 win on Sunday.

Houston’s offense ranks 14th in scoring runs at 4.43 runs per game this season. They are also 16th in team batting average, 3rd in home runs, are 5th in slugging percentage. Yordan Alvarez leads Houston with a batting average of .307 with 28 home runs and 65 RBIs. Meanwhile, Kyle Tucker has 18 home runs and 63 RBIs while batting at 250.

Jake Odorizzi will open on top of the mound for Houston. The right-hander has started in a total of 10 games this season and has posted a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.56. Odorizzi has a total of 36 strikeouts and 14 walks in a total of 48 innings of work this season. In two appearances against the A’s this season, he is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.19 with 12 total strikeouts. Houston has a team ERA of 2.96 which is 2nd in the league and a bullpen ERA of 2.72 which is the best in the majors.

Oakland Athletics

The A’s are well out of the picture right now but despite that, they are not simply going through the motions and waiting for the season to be over. Oakland just defeated the Texas Rangers in their previous series and two weeks ago took 2 of three from these same Astros team.

Oakland is scoring only an average of 3.31 runs per game which is 29th overall. They are also 28th in home runs, 29th in slugging average, and dead-last in batting average. Sean Murphy leads the A’s with a batting average of .241 with 0 home runs and 39 RBIs while Ramon Laureano is hitting .232 with 10 home runs and 22 RBIs.

Right-hander Adam Oller will start for the A’s in Game 1 of this series. The 27-year-old is 0-3 with an ERA of 8.56 and a WHIP of 1.98 in 10 games pitched this season. Oller has conceded 26 earned runs on 35 hits in 27.1 innings pitched this season with only 18 strikeouts and 19 walks. He gave up three earned runs on six hits in 4.1 innings against this same Astros team last July 17th. The A’s are 1-4 in his last five starts. Oakland is 22nd in team ERA at 4.27 and they are 21st in bullpen ERA at 4.21.

Astros vs Athletics Betting Prediction

Houston is 8-3 in their last 11 games played against Oakland. The Astros are also 5-1 in their last six road games against the Athletics.

The Astros are:

• 52-21 in their last 73 overall.

• 18-6 in their last 24 road games.

• 13-3 in their last 16 road games versus a right-handed starter.

• 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 20-6 in their last 26 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 16-5 in their last 21 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 45-16 in their last 61 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 37-14 in their last 51 games against a right-handed starter.

• 55-21 in their last 76 games on grass.

• 26-10 in their last 36 games versus. American League West.

• 6-1 in their last seven games against the American League.

• 49-20 in their last 69 Game 1s of a series.

• 36-16 in their last 52 games opposite a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

• 20-9 in their last 29 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

The Athletics are:

• 16-35 in their last 51 overall.

• 17-39 in their last 56 home games.

• 17-36 in their last 53 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 16-35 in their last 51 Game 1s of a series.

• 18-41 in their last 59 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 7-19 in their last 26 home games against. a right-handed starter.

• 3-11 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning % above .600.

• 2-8 in their last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.

• 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a right-handed starter.

• 33-58 in their last 61 games against the American League.

• 14-34 in their last 48 home games against the American League.

• 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

• 43-13 in their last 56 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 6-2 in their last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

Odorizzi last pitched against this same Athletics team last July 17th where he allowed three earned runs in 5 ⅓ innings. In two games against the A’s this season, Odorizzi has conceded 3 RBIs in a total of 12 ⅓ innings. Oakland has hit 9-45 against the right-hander with one double and one home run.

Meanwhile, Oller also pitched against the Astros last July 17th, surrendering three earned runs on six hits in 4 ⅓ innings pitched. Against Houston this season, he’s posted an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.615 while allowing the Astros a batting average of .316.

Odorizzi is one of the Astros’ weaker starters but he’s going up against a pitcher who has pitched worse than him. The Astros are 5th in the majors in slugging percentage at .424 and are third in most home runs hits this season. Oakland is just 29th in runs scored, 26th in home runs, and is hitting at a .213 batting average.

Houston is within striking distance of the Yankees and given that this is a winnable game for them, I do not expect to see a letdown in this game. Give me the Astros here.

Prediction: Houston Astros

Astros vs Athletics Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The under is 6-2 in their last eight games played in Oakland.

Houston Astros over/under trends:

• Under is 7-1 in the Astros’ last 8 games played overall.

• Under is 34-16-1 in the Astros’ last 51 road games.

• Under is 5-0 in the Astros’ last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

• Under is 7-1 in the Astros’ last 8 on grass.

• Under is 6-2 in the Astros’ last 8 Monday games.

• Under is 24-8 in the Astros’ last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

• Under is 28-10 in the Astros’ last 38 against the American League West.

• Under is 8-3-1 in the Astros’ last 12 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 44-21-2 in the Astros’ last 67 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 35-17 in the Astros’ last 52 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Over is 5-0 in the Astros’ last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 3-0-1 in the Astros’ last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Over is 5-1 in the Astros’ last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 8-2 in the Astros’ last 10 games opposite a right-handed starter.

• Over is 11-5 in the Astros’ last 16 Game 1s of a series.

Oakland Athletics over/under trends:

• Under is 6-2 in the Athletics’ last 8 overall.

• Under is 8-3 in the Athletics’ last 11 home games.

• Under is 5-0 in the Athletics’ last 5 games versus. a team with a winning % above .600.

• Under is 4-0-1 in the Athletics’ last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 6-1 in the Athletics’ last 7 games against a right-handed starter.

• Under is 5-1 in the Athletics’ last 6 games versus the American League West.

• Under is 25-19-3 in the Athletics’ last 47 home games against the American League.

• Under is 48-36-6 in the Athletics’ 90 games played against the American League.

• Under is 26-6-1 in the Athletics’ last 33 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Under is 6-2 in the Athletics’ last 8 games played on grass.

• Under is 5-2 in the Athletics’ last 7 home games opposite a right-handed starter.

• Under is 5-2 in the Athletics’ last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 7-3 in the Athletics’ last 10 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 9-4-1 in the Athletics’ last 14 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Over is 5-1 in the Athletics’ last six Game 1s of a series.

The under is 57-33-5 in the Astros’ 95 games played this season. That may be a surprise given the offensive capabilities of this team. But while that is true, the Astros have been winning games this season with excellent pitching. Houston has the second-lowest team ERA in the majors and has the best bullpen as far as ERA is concerned.

Meanwhile, the under is 52-39-6 in the A’s 98 games played so far this season. Oakland’s team batting average of .213 is the worst in baseball this year as is their .275 on-base percentage. Their slugging percentage of .338 is the second-lowest in the majors while their average of 3.4 runs per game is just 29th overall.

These teams have combined to score only an average of 7.3 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and an even lower 6.0 runs per game in their last three meetings. Give me these two teams to go under the total.

Prediction: Under 8

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