Houston Astros vs New York Yankees 05/05/2021 MLB Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Houston Astros and New York Yankees will play Game 2 of their current series at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday night.

New York defeated Houston 7-3 on Tuesday in the opening game of the series. The Yankees and Astros are both 15-14 on the season and tied for early 8th place in the American League team standings. The Yankees have won six out of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Houston Astros

The Astros are 15-14 on the season and they are 2.5 games behind the Oakland Athletics in the AL West team standings. Houston has won its last three series but fell behind 0-1 in their current one after losing 7-3 to the Yankees on Tuesday night. Overall, the Astros are just 5-4 in their last nine games played.

Michael Brantley leads the Astros with a batting average of .330 while ranking second in the team with a total of 31 hits this season. Yuli Gurriel leads Houston with 18 RBIs and 32 hits while Kyle Tucker has five home runs to lead the Astros. Carlos Correa has 13 RBIs and 4 home runs in 106 at-bats.

Houston is one of the best scoring teams in the league with their total of 138 runs tied for 4th. They rank 6th in batting average at .253 and are 10th in OBP at .318 and 10th in slugging at .404.

Luis Garcia will open on top of the mound for Houston. The 24-year old right-hander is 0-3 in with a 2.70 ERA and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He gave up three hits and one run in five innings but did not get any run support as the Astros lost to the Mariners 1-0. Houston will need a similar effort from Garcia if they are to topple the Yankees in this game.

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are 15-14 on the season and they are tied for second place in the American League East, just two games behind the Boston Red Sox. The Yankees have won five straight games heading to Game 2 of the current series and they have won seven out of their last 10 games played.

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a batting average of .281. Judge is also tied with Giancarlo Stanton as the team leader in RBIs (18) and home runs (7). Third baseman Gio Urshela has 16 RBIs and four home runs for the Yankees while DJ LeMahieu leads the team with 30 hits with seven RBIs.

New York ranks 25th in the league in run production at 110 runs scored. The Yankees are only 24th in batting average at .221 and 20th in BAA at .379 while also ranking 12th in OBP at .315.

Jordan Montgomery will start for the Yankees in Game 2. The 28-year old left-hander is 1-1 in five starts this season. Montgomery has an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.09. In his last start, he gave up six hits and two runs in five innings and the Yankees lost to the Baltimore Orioles 4-3.

Who Wins?

Houston is 8-3 in its last 11 games played and 8-6 in their last 14 games played on the road. The Astros are 6-2 in their last eight games played on grass, 5-2 in their last seven games against the American League East, 4-1 in their last five games as underdogs, and 4-1 in their last five Game 2s of a series.

New York is 5-1 in their last six games played, 84-36 in their last 120 home games, and 77-30 in their last 107 games as home favorites. The Yankees are 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, 11-5 in their last 16 Game 2s of a series, 77-31 in their last 108 home games against an opponent with a winning record, and 63-23 in their last 86 games against a right-handed starter.

Head to head, the Astros are 4-1 in their last five meetings against the Yankees. However, New York is 9-4 in their last 13 meetings at Yankee Stadium.

I expect Garcia to struggle against a New York team that has scored at least six runs in three out of its last four games played. Give me the Yankees to win this home game and extend their winning streak to five games.

Prediction: New York Yankees

Over/Under Odds

The total has gone under in seven out of the Astros’ last 10 Wednesday games. The under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games against the American League East, 4-1 in their last five games played on grass, 12-3-2 in their last 17 Game 2s of a series, and 4-1-1 in their last six games when the total is set between 9.0-10.5.

The total has gone under in 10 out of the last 14 games played by New York. The under is 5-2 in their last seven games against the American League West, 10-4 in their last 14 games played on grass, 20-8 in their last 28 games as betting favorites, and 13-3 in their last 16 games when the total is set between 9.0-10.5. The Yankees have also seen the total go under in each of their last four Wednesday games and four out of their last five games against an opponent with a winning record.

Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last five meetings between these two teams. Houston has played better offensively on the road this season, averaging 5.29 runs per game away from home. However, the Yankees are giving up just three runs per game at home and have conceded just 12 total runs in their last seven games played.

The New York pitching staff is ranked third in runs allowed, first in WHIP, and second in BAA. I expect another excellent outing from the Yankees’ pitching staff. These teams have combined to score 8.9 total runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Give me the teams to hit the under in this game.

Prediction: Under 9

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