Atalanta vs Lazio Serie A Betting Odds and Prediction

The Italian Serie A joined its contemporaries as it returned last weekend from a long hiatus brought about by the coronavirus pandemic. The action resumes on Wednesday as Atalanta hosts Lazio in Bergamo.

Atalanta is currently in 4th spot with 51 points and they currently occupy a Champions League spot. They are a good six points ahead of 5th place Roma and 12 points up on sixth place Napoli so barring any unfortunate collapse, they should be headed to the Champions League next year. Meanwhile, Lazio is just one point behind league-leading Juventus and they are looking to win their first Serie A title since the 1999-2000 season. They are currently five points better than third-place Inter so it looks like the title race is down to them and Juventus.

Atalanta

Atalanta advanced to the Champions League quarterfinals just before sports were forced to shut down. They head to matchday 27 with four straight league wins which put them in 4th place with 51 points and almost assured of a return to the Champions League next season.

Despite the season being paused for nearly four months, Atalanta returned to action and picked up where they left off. Atalanta restarted their 2020 campaign with an easy 4-1 win over Sassuolo at home last Sunday. Berat Djimsiti opened the scoring while Duvan Zapata netted twice for Atalanta.

With four goals scored in their last assignment, Atalanta now has a total of 74 goals scored this season, the most by any team in Italy and 14 more than Lazio who ranks next to them in goal scoring. They have scored a total of 11 goals in their last two fixtures and they also lead the league in goal difference at +39. Atalanta’s defense is ranked 7th with 35 goals conceded and they are the top passing team s well with a total of 51 assists this term.

Josip Illic leads the team with a total of 15 goals scored in 21 matches played. Luis Muriel and David Zapata each have netted 13 times for Atalanta this season. Alejandro Gomez leads the squad with a total of 11 assists while also scoring six goals while Mario Pasalic and Robin Gosens each have five assists for the team.

Lazio

Lazio is having a dream season and they are chasing their first Serie A title in two decades. They are currently in second place in the current team standings with 62 points and they are just a solitary point behind league-leading Juventus. Simone Inzaghi’s boys have won four straight league matches and seven consecutive games overall and have not lost since the Copa Italia where they were beaten by Napoli.

They have not played in a competitive match since February 29th when they defeated Bologna 2-0 although they played in a friendly against third division team Ternana 7-2 last June 20th. Luis Alberto and Joaquin Correa each found the back of the net in the first half of their victory over Bologna.

Lazio is the best defensive team in Italy and they are ranked first in goals conceded with only a total of 23 this season. Lazio ranks next to Atalanta in scoring with a total of 60 goals scored this season. They are 2nd in goal difference at +37 and are also second in passing with a total of 37 assists this term.

Ciro Immobile leads the team with a total of 27 goals scored this season while Felipe Caicedo has eight goals and two assists. Correa has also netted seven times for Lazio. Luis Alberto is having a good year with 12 assists and four goals scored while Immobile also has contributed seven assists. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic has scored four goals and also has four assists.

Who Wins?

These two clubs have met in a total of 107 matches. Atalanta holds the slight advantage over Lazio with a record of 35-40-32 in their all-time head to head matchup. Atalanta is the 5th best home squad in Italy with a record of 7-2-4 and a total of 23 points earned from their home matches. On the other hand, Lazio’s 8-2-2 away record and 26 points earned from their road matches make them the third-best team in the Serie A.

Lazio has been in fantastic form. They have won 16 out of their last 18 matches and have scored a total of 52 goals during that period. This is a tough test for their title credentials but they are unbeaten in 21 league matches. They are undefeated in their last nine away matches with seven wins. Their last road loss was way back last September 2019.

Atalanta though is one of the better teams in Serie A and they can beat any squad in Italy. They have won seven consecutive games and are also in fantastic form. They could take advantage of Lazio’s long layoff as the visitors have not played a competitive since February. I like the visitors to pull off the home win here.

Prediction: Atalanta (+119)

Alternate Bet

Atalanta has seen an average of 4.2 goals scored in their games this season and 22 out of their 25 games played this year has seen a total of over 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, 9 out of Lazio’s dozen away games played in the Serie A this year have seen the total go over 2.5 goals. Atalanta has what it takes to end Lazio’s unbeaten run but they will have to do it on the offensive end. This should be an entertaining match and I expect both teams to score.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-205). If you want better value, then you can pick both sides to hit over 2.5 goals here at -175.

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