The Baltimore Ravens take on the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field on December 8, 2019.
Baltimore is having a fantastic season so far and they are on pace to bag the top seed in the AFC Conference, something they have never done before. The Ravens are 10-2 on the season and are looking like true Super Bowl contenders right now behind the explosive offense of Lamar Jackson and company. Meanwhile, Buffalo has also been playing great football on both ends of the field. The Bills currently sport a 9-3 record and also have an excellent chance of making the postseason. If the playoffs started now, Buffalo would be the 5th seed in the AFC and is the Conference’s top wild card team.
The Baltimore Ravens are rolling right now as the team has won eight straight games and have lost just twice in a dozen games played this season. But not only has the Ravens been winning games, but they have also been dominating their opposition. Baltimore has won by double digits in five out of their last six victories.
The Ravens are the top-scoring team in the NFL at 33.8 points per game this season. Not only are they the only team in the league to average at least 30 points per game this season, but Baltimore has also put up a ridiculous 38.4 points per game in their last five games played.
Lamar Jackson has passed for 2,532 yards with 25 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while completing 66.5% of his passes. Jackson is also the Ravens’ top rusher with 977 rushing yards and 7 rushing touchdowns on 140 carries. Tight end Mark Andrews is the team’s top receiver with 53 catches for 693 yards with seven touchdown grabs. The Ravens defense has allowed a combined 43 points in their last four games and they have given up fewer than 10 points per game in their last two road games.
Like the Ravens, the Buffalo Bills are also having a great season. Following their double-digit win over the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day, the Bills improved to 9-3 on the season and they are on track to claim the top wild-card spot in the AFC as the 5th seed in the conference.
The Bills head to this game with a three-game winning streak. Like Baltimore, they have dominated the opposition during their current winning run. The Bills have outscored their opponent by an aggregate of 83-38 during this stretch. Buffalo only has one turnover in its last five games and they are matching that kind of efficiency with a terrific defensive effort.
Josh Allen has passed for a total of 2,591 yards with 16 touchdowns and 8 interceptions while completing 61.5% of his passes. Allen has accounted for 12 touchdowns ( 7 passing and 5 rushing) with only one interception in his last five games played. Devin Singletary leads the team in rushing with 553 yards and 2 touchdowns on 98 carries while John Brown has caught 61 passes for 882 yards with 5 scores.
Baltimore is 8-0 SU in their last eight games played. The Ravens are 5-1 SU in six road games played this season. Buffalo is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Bills are 4-2 SU in six home games played this season, and 4-1 SU in their last five games against the AFC Conference. Head to head, the Ravens are 3-1 SU in their last four games played against the Bills.
The Ravens are four weeks away from possibly becoming the #1 seed not just in the conference but in the entire league. The Bills stand as the biggest challenge in their remaining games given the fact that Buffalo’s defense allows just 300.1 yards of total offense per game.
The Bills have won three straight games and they are just one game behind the New England Patriots for the lead in the AFC East and they are also close to clinching the top wild-card spot in the AFC. Josh Allen has turned the ball over only once in the last seven games and he’s completing 60% of his passes during their current win streak.
I like how Allen has played well during this stretch but he will be tested by a Baltimore defense that ranks 9th in total yards allowed and 5th in scoring defense. I think the Buffalo defense is going to keep this game close throughout the contest but I don’t think they will be able to stop Lamar from doing damage all over the field.
Prediction: Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. The Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in six road games played this season, and 4-1 ATS in their last five Sunday games. Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games played. The Bills are 3-3 ATS in six home games played this season, 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games against the AFC North Division, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Week 14 games. Head to head, the Ravens are 5-4 ATS in their last nine games against the Bills.
Ravens
-6 (-104)
Bills
+6 (-116)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/08/19
The Ravens are 8-0 SU in their last eight games played and they have won by an average winning margin of 19 points per game. Baltimore is also 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games played. The Ravens’ top-ranked rushing offense should have a good outing against the Bills who allow 104.3 rushing yards per game. I like Lamar and company to continue rolling here. The Ravens win by at least a touchdown.
Prediction: Ravens -6
The over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s six road games played this season, and the over is also 6-2 in their last eight games against the AFC Conference. The total has gone over in each of the last six games of the Ravens against the AFC East Division. The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Bills. The under is also 4-2 in Buffalo’s last six December games. Head to head, the under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams.
Over
43 (-120)
Under
43 (+120)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/08/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 37.0 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 37.67 points per game in their most recent three encounters. The Ravens have allowed an average of 13.7 points per game in their last seven games played while the Bills have yielded an average of 13.2 points per game in their last five outings. The Ravens’ top-scoring offense showed its flaws when it struggled to score against an elite defensive team in San Francisco. I think they win this game but the Bills’ defense should give them a tough test, probably their toughest to close out the season.
Prediction: Under 43
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