The Baltimore Ravens face the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on September 22, 2019.
The Baltimore Ravens are off to a flying start this season. But after scoring wins over the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals in their first two assignments, Baltimore will be getting its first true test against the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs and 2018 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes.
Lamar Jackson threw for five touchdowns in week 1. The following week, the second-year signal caller threw for 272 yards with two touchdowns and rushed for 120 yards. His dual-threat capability has worked wonders for the Ravens early in the season. It has kept their offense hard to stop and it has given their defense plenty of room to work with. The Ravens enter this game as a 6.5 NFL betting underdogs but if Lamar Jackson continues to play the way he is playing, the Ravens can improve on their 5-1 ATS record in their last six games against the AFC West.
The Kansas City Chiefs’ top receiver Tyreek Hill is injured but the Chiefs have not missed a beat. Not only has tight end Travis Kelce been his usual solid self, the other Chiefs’ receiver have stepped up in Hill’s absence. Sammy Watkins had 198 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns in week 1 while DeMarcus Robinson had 172 yards and two touchdowns in week 2 against the Raiders.
The offense has looked fluid as ever because quarterback Patrick Mahomes is once again throwing out of this world numbers. Mahomes has racked up a total of 821 yards with 7 touchdowns while completing 74.1% of his passes this season. LeSean McCoy has rushed for 104 yards on the season while Watkins has 15 catches and three scores on the season. Meanwhile, Kelce has caught 10 passes for 195 yards. The Chiefs simply have too many weapons and with Mahomes showing no signs of the sophomore slump, this team is hard to stop on offense. The total has gone over in seven out of their last 10 games and there may be no stopping this offense from scoring points.
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last six games played in September. Kansas City is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Chiefs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played at home and 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against the AFC conference. Head to head, the Ravens are 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Chiefs but Kansas City has won two out of the last three meetings between these two teams.
The Ravens and Chiefs are two of the best offensive teams in the league after two weeks. Baltimore though, has better defensive stats but the Ravens victories were against the woeful Dolphins and the young Cardinals. Kansas City is a different animal and Mahomes continues to sizzle on the offensive end. Arrowhead should be ready to welcome its team for their first home game of the season. I think the Chiefs take this at home. Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs
The Ravens are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played. Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played on the road. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. The Chiefs are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games played in September. Head to head, the Ravens are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Chiefs. However, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS in their last three meetings.
Ravens
+6.5 (-110)
Chiefs
-6.5 (-110)
Odds were taken from Titanbet.com as of 9/18/19
Patrick Mahomes continues to put up astronomical offensive numbers. Tyreek Hill is hurt but the other receivers have stepped up. The Chiefs have too many weapons not to win by at least a touchdown here. Baltimore is off to a good start but I don’t think that they can stop Mahomes and the Kansas City machine. Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -6.5
The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Ravens. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games of Baltimore against the AFC conference. The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by Kansas City. The Chiefs have seen the total go over in five out of their last seven Sunday games. Head to head, the over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. However, the total has gone under in six out of the last eight home games of the Chiefs against the Ravens.
Ravens
O 54.5 -110
Chiefs
U 54.5 -110
Odds were taken from Titanbet.com as of 9/18/19
Kansas City is an OVER machine. When you have two quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson squaring off against each other, it’s hard to think that it’s going to be a low-scoring game. Both these teams are averaging over 30 points per game so far this season and I think this game is going to be won by offense not defense. Prediction: Over 54.5
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