Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/06/19 Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens on October 6, 2019 at Heinz Field.

Back To Back Losses

The Baltimore Ravens have los back to back games and now have fallen to 2-2 SU on the young season. Baltimore had opened the year with wins over the Miami Dolphins and the Arizona Cardinals. However, they lost 28-33 to the Kansas City Chiefs in week 3 and then suffered a 40-25 beating at the hands of the Cleveland Brown in their last outing.

Lamar Jackson went 24-34 and passed for 247 yards with three scores while also rushing for 66 yards. But for the second straight game, he has been unable to make up for the shortcomings of his team’s defensive unit. Mark Ingram rushed for 71 yards on 12 carries while Willie Snead IV had two catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. However, the Baltimore defense gave up 530 yards of total offense, allowing 500 or more yards for the second straight game.

Steelers Get First Win

After dropping their first three assignments of the season, the Pittsburgh Steelers finally got their first win of the year after defeating the Cincinnati Bengals 27-3 on Monday night. The Steelers lost Ben Roethlisberger to an elbow injury on September 15 and the team gave the keys to Mason Rudolph. On Monday night, Rudolph got his first NFL win while filling in for Big Ben.

Rudolph threw for 229 yards with two touchdowns, while completing 24-28 passes. James Conner had a huge game with 42 yards rushing and 83 receiving yards with one receiving touchdown. Diontae Johnson also had six catches for 77 yards with one touchdown. The Pittsburgh defense had 8 sacks and one interception while holding the Bengals to just 3 points the entire game on 171 passing yards and 73 rushing yards.

Who Wins?

Baltimore is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Ravens are 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road. Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played and the Steelers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Steelers have won four out of their last five meetings.

Baltimore is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played in October and 1-4 SU in their last five Week 5 games played. Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in their last five games against the AFC North Division.

The Ravens are the NFL betting favorites here at -3.5 but I expect the Steelers to give it a good fight, especially because they are playing at home. The Ravens’ defense has yielded back to back 500-yard games and if they give Pittsburgh the same mileage, they might find themselves on the losing end in this conversation.

The Steelers are coming off a win but that victory was against the winless Bengals. Baltimore may have lost two in a row heading to this contest but I think Lamar Jackson and company are still tough to beat. Between Baltimore’s defensive woes and trusting Mason Rudolph, I’m more inclined to pick the former. I’m going with Baltimore here. Prediction: Baltimore Ravens

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Other Bets To Make

The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on the road.  The Steelers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games played and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Ravens are 6-3-1 ATs in their last 10 games played against the Steelers. Baltimore is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games on the road against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh has outscored Baltimore by an average of 1.1 points per game in their last 10 meetings but the Ravens have outscored the Steelers by an average of 1.33 points per game in their last three games played. Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS in their last six games played in October. I expect a close contest here with both teams playing good defense and running the football. I like the Ravens to cover any spread below a touchdown. I like them at -3 here. Prediction: Ravens -3

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The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Ravens. The over is 3-1 in Baltimore’s last four games on the road. The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Steelers. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 games of Pittsburgh at home. Head to head, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 games between the Ravens and Steelers.

These teams have combined for 47.7 points in their last 10 games played and 52.0 points per game in their last three meetings. Baltimore has gone over 45 points in three out of their first four games played while Pittsburgh has gone over 44 points in their last two games played. Pittsburgh ran the football well on Monday and I think they will look to do more of the same to help Mason Rudolph get another win. Meanwhile, I expect the Ravens’ defense to shape up here and give Lamar Jackson the support he didn’t get in their last two games. I like the under here. Prediction: Under 42.5

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