Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns 10/31/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Cincinnati Bengals head to the FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football.

Cincinnati has played well as of late, winning four out of it last five games played. The Bengals are now 4-3 SU after opening the season with an 0-2 SU record. Cincinnati will be playing a Cleveland team that is looking to end a four-game losing skid. In their last game, the Browns lost to the Baltimore Ravens 23-20.

The Browns will be without one of their top offensive players in David Njoku who suffered a high-ankle sprain last week. Cincinnati opened as the -2.5 point spread favorites but that line is up to -3.

Cincinnati Bengals

The reigning AFC champions have found their stroke, winning four out of their last five games including their last two. The Bengals started the season with back-to-back losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers and Dallas Cowboys but are now one game above the .500 mark at 4-3 SU and 2nd in the AFC North Division team standings.

Cincinnati is 8th in the NFL in scoring at 24.8 points per game scored this season. The Bengals are 5th in passing at 278.7 yards per game behind Joe Burrow. On the ground, the Bengals are just 28th at 87.4 rushing yards per game. Burrow has thrown for 2,097 passing yards with 15 TDs and just 5 interceptions.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns opened the season with a 2-1 SU record with their only loss a 21-20 setback to the New York Jets. However, Cleveland’s offense has struggled as of late, scoring 20 or fewer points four times in their last 5 games played. They have lost four in a row although three of the four losses have been by 3 points or less.

Cleveland’s defense is 29th in the NFL with 26.6 points per game allowed. They are also 16th in total defense at 346.0 total yards per game allowed. They are giving up 135.6 rushing yards per game and 210.4 passing yards per contest. In their first seven games played this season, the Browns have forced only 6 takeaways in 7 games played.

Bengals vs Browns SU Prediction

The Bengals are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played against the Browns. Cleveland is also 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Cincinnati

Cincinnati Bengals SU trends:

• The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Bengals are 2-2 SU in their last four games played on the road.
• The Bengals are 0-2 SU in their last two games played against their division rivals.
• The Bengals are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games played against the AFC North Division.

Cleveland Browns SU trends:

• The Browns are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played.
• The Browns are 0-5 SU in their last five games played in October.
• The Browns are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played in Week 8.

After starting the season with back-to-back losses, the defending AFC champions Cincinnati Bengals are back on track with four wins in their last five games played. The Bengal head to Monday night coming off back-to-back wins over the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons.

The Bengals looked spectacular on offense against the Falcons the last time out, thanks mainly to QB Joe Burrow who completed 34 of 42 passes for 481 passing yards with 3 TDs and zero interceptions.

Joey B struck early with a 60-yard TD pass to wide receiver Tyler Boyd two minutes into the game. Burrow then threw a pair of TDs to Ja’Marr Chase to give the Bengals a 28-7 lead before halftime. The Bengals cruised from there.

It remains to be seen whether Kareem Hunt stays in Cleveland after the trade deadline but while he’s still there, the Browns have a pretty good double-barrel running offense with Hunt and Nick Chubb. In their last game, the Browns rushed 24 times for 113 yards with Hunt and Chubb recording one rushing touchdown each.

Cleveland is 2-0 SU and ATS this season in games where Chubb has 19 carries and 0-5 U and 1-4 ATS in games where he has less than 19 rushes. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that the Browns have been successful in games where they have run the football more.

Given their strengths, it won’t be a surprise if the Browns will run the football and slow the game down to dictate the tempo. Chubb is the league’s reading rusher and has never averaged below 5 yards per carry in his career. This season, Chubb is averaging a career-high 5.9 yards per carry.

Meanwhile, the Bengals are at their best when they start hot behind the arm of Burrow. Joey B doesn’t have to throw for 500 yards but his passing will be the key to winning this game. For as long as Burrow’s offensive line gives him enough time to throw and he is aggressive through the air, the Bengals will be tough to beat.

Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals vs Browns ATS Prediction

The Bengals are 12-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Browns. Cincinnati is also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in Cleveland. The underdog is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games played between these two teams.

Cincinnati Bengals ATS trends:

• The Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
• The Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• The Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• The Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
• The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up win.
• The Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• The Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.
• The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC North.
• The Bengals are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Bengals are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 8.

Cleveland Browns ATS trends:

• The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The Browns are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games following an ATS win.
• The Browns are 23-50-1 ATS in their last 74 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Browns are 15-34-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• The Browns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
• The Browns are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.
• The Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• The Browns are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Browns are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 vs. AFC North.
• The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• The Browns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8.

The Browns have scored 20 or fewer points thrice in their last four games played and they are 0-4 SU during that stretch. They have one of the best running games in the NFL but are one of the league’s worst passing teams. With the Bengals having one of the best rush defenses in football, the Browns could end up getting forced to let Brissett win the game with his arm.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have scored 27 points in four out of their last five games played. Even if they will be without Chase in this game, Cincinnati has good depth at wide receiver with Higgins and Boyd. The Browns’ pass defense is giving up nearly 300 passing yards per game. That’s not going to work against Joe Burrow who is playing very well right now.

I’ll lay the field goal and go with the Bengals.

Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals -3

Bengals vs Browns Over/Under

The total has gone over in 7 out of the last 9 games played between these two teams. However, the under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.

Cincinnati Bengals over/under trends:

• The under is 10-2 in the Bengals’ last 12 games overall.
• The under is 37-18-2 in the Bengals’ last 57 road games.
• The under is 15-3 in the Bengals’ last 18 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 5-1 in the Bengals’ last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The under is 8-0 in the Bengals’ last 8 versus the AFC.
• The under is 7-1 in the Bengals’ last 8 games following a straight-up win.
• The under is 8-2 in the Bengals’ last 10 games following an ATS win.
• The under is 19-6-1 in the Bengals’ last 26 road games against a team with a losing home record.
• The under is 6-2 in the Bengals’ last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The under is 8-3 in the Bengals’ last 11 games played against a team with a losing record.
• The under is 35-14-3 in the Bengals’ last 52 games on grass.
• The over is 5-1 in the Bengals’ last 6 games in Week 8.
• The over is 4-1 in the Bengals’ last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Bengals’ last 5 games in October.
• The over is 6-2 in the Bengals’ last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Cleveland Browns over/under trends:

• The ver is 5-2 in the Browns’ last 7 games overall.
• The over is 4-0 in the Browns’ last 4 home games.
• The over is 4-1 in the Browns’ last 5 games following a straight-up loss.
• The over is 4-1 in the Browns’ last 5 games played versus the AFC.
• The over is 10-4 in the Browns’ last 14 games against a team with a winning record.
• The under is 4-1 in the Browns’ last 5 Monday games.
• The under is 6-2 in the Browns’ last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 42-19 in the Browns’ last 61 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

I do not doubt that the Bengals will have a good scoring game on Monday versus a Browns team that has struggled to defend the pass this season. Meanwhile, the Browns have struggled to score points in their recent games and will be facing a Bengals squad that is conceding only 18.9 points per game this season.

I think that Cincinnati will score big on Monday night but the problem is that their defense has been good and the Browns like to run the football.

Prediction: Under 45

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