Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns 11/10/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

The Buffalo Bills travel to the FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns in an AFC matchup on Sunday, November 11, 2019.

The Bills defeated the Washington Redskins 24-9 in their last outing to improve to 6-2 on the season. Meanwhile, the Browns have now lost four in a row after falling to the Denver Broncos 19-24. Buffalo remains in playoff contention right now but the Browns are in a must-win mode here.

Playoff Contention

The Bills are still in the playoff picture after improving to 6-2 SU on the year. Buffalo has won three out of its last five games played and they are undefeated on the road. The Bills have road wins over the New York Jets, New York Giants and Tennessee Titans to go 3-0 SU on the road this season.

Josh Allen has thrown for 1,653 yards with 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions on the season. Allen has also rushed for 247 yards with four touchdowns. John Brown has caught 42 passes for 603 yards with two touchdowns while Frank Gore has rushed for a total of 437 yards with three touchdowns.

The Browns are giving up an average of 141 yards on the ground this season so this should be a good night for Allen, Gore and Devin Singletary who has been impressive this year for Buffalo.

Browns Still Struggling

The Cleveland Browns entered the season with high expectations. At the halfway mark, they are still struggling and are currently at 2-6 after four straight defeats. They need to win on Sunday to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Browns are slight home NFL betting underdogs against the Bills.

Baker Mayfield has passed for a total of 1,953 yards this season but has 12 interceptions against only 7 touchdowns on the year. Odell Beckham Jr. was their big offseason acquisition and he has caught 39 passes for 575 yards but has only one touchdown grab. Jarvis Landry also has 555 receiving yards but also just one touchdown catch.

The Bills are allowing 111 rushing yards per game so this could be an opportunity for Nick Chubb to have a big game. Chubb has rushed for 803 yards and has caught 161 yards as well.

Who Wins?

Buffalo is 7-2 SU in their last nine games played and the Bills are 3-0 SU in three road games played this season. Cleveland is 1-5 SU in their last six games played, 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against the AFC East Division and the Browns are 0-3 SU in three home games played this season. Head to head, the Bills are 4-1 SU in their last five games played against the Browns but Cleveland is 4-2 SU in their last six home games against Buffalo.

The Bills are 6-2 SU on the season but they still have many doubters mainly because their wins have come against teams with a combined record of 9-43. Josh Allen continues to put up unimpressive numbers while Devin Singletary has shone as the featured back for Buffalo. Their defense has allowed fewer than two passing touchdowns in their last 12 game played.

The Browns have been dealing with lofty expectations and a very tough schedule in the first half of the season. Last week, the lost to the Broncos and don’t look like the AFC North favorites that they were touted to be before the start of the season. The good news for them is that Kareem Hunt will make his 2019 debut on Sunday after serving an 8-game suspension.

Cleveland ranks 29th against the run which should play to the advantage of Singletary. Buffalo’s pass and rush defense are in the Top 5 right now and that’s going to be more problems for Cleveland. I’m picking the Buffalo Bills to beat the Cleveland Indians.

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Other Bets to Make

The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. Buffalo is 3-0 ATS in three road games played this season and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the AFC North Division. The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Browns.

The Browns are struggling to keep up with the pressure and they have lost to the better teams this season. Cleveland is 1-13 ATS in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record and are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as home favorites. I’m surprised to find the Bills at +3 here so I’ll take it right away.

Prediction: Bills +3

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The total has gone under in six out of the last eight games played by the Bills. The under is also 5-0 in Buffalo’s last five road games played and 4-1 in their last five games against the AFC conference. The total has gone under in four out of the last seven games played by the Browns. The over is 2-1 in Cleveland’s three home games this season. Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last six games between the Bills and Browns.

These teams have combined to score 35.14 points per game in their last 10 games played and 47.67 points per game in their last three meetings. Buffalo has gone under the 40 point total in four out of their last six games played while the Browns have seen the total go under 40 points in three out of their last seven games played. The weather people are forecasting a windy day with winds of up to 15mph on Sunday in Cleveland and that is going to make it hard for teams to score here. Cleveland will look to run the football but the Bills have been good against the run so this should be a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 40

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