Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees 5/31/19 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees continue their rivalry as the two decorated teams play Game 2 of their current four-game set at Yankee Stadium.

Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of their current series against the Yankees. The 26-year old from Venezuela has started a total of 11 games this season and he has a record of 5-3 on the season. Rodriguez has an ERA of 5.04, a WHIP of 1.40 and a BAA of .272 this season. The Red Sox are 8-2 in his last 10 starts.

Rodriguez has allowed a total of 36 runs (34 earned) this season on 65 hits while striking out 66 batters and walking 20 hitters. In his last outing, Rodriguez allowed just one earned run on four hits in 6.0 innings of pitch work. He earned the wins as the Red Sox beat the Astros 4-1 last May 26th.

Third baseman Rafael Devers is Boston’s most prolific hitter at .325 on the season. Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with 37 RBIs on the year while Mitch Moreland has 13 home runs to pace the team. The Red Sox are hitting at a .260 clip and have scored a total of 303 runs on the season.

Domingo German will start on top of the hill for New York on Friday. The 26-year-old right-hander has pitched in 12 games this season with 10 starts. The Dominican Republic native has put up a record of 9-1 with an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.04 and a BAA of .204. New York is 8-2 in his last 10 appearances and his 9 wins are the most in the American League so far this season.

German has allowed a total of 26 runs, 23 of them earned, on 47 hits with nine home runs. He has struck out a total of 63 hitters while walking 16 others. In his last start, German did not factor in the decision during the Yankees’ 7-8 loss to the Royals on May 26th. He pitched 5.0 innings and got drilled with seven earned runs on nine hits including four home runs.

Catcher Gary Sanchez has a team-high 17 homers for the Yankees while first baseman Luke Voit leads the team with 38 RBIs on the season. Meanwhile, DJ LeMahieu tops the Yankees in batting average at .313. The Yankees are hitting at a .258 clip and have driven home a total of 296 runs on the year.

Who Wins?

The Red Sox are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. Boston is 4-3 SU in their last seven games played on the road. The Yankees are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played. New  York is 2-1 in their last three games played at home. Head to head, the Red Sox are 1-4 SU in their last five meetings against the Yankees. Boston is also 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played at Yankee Stadium.

The Red Sox are 6-4 SU in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts on the road, 6-4 SU in his last 10 starts against the Yankees and 2-3 SU in his last five starts at Yankee Stadium. Boston is only 3-4 SU this season when the MLB betting odds have them as underdogs. The Yankees are 6-2 in German’s last eight starts and 1-0 SU in his lone start against the Red Sox. New York is 33-13 SU as favorites this season.

The Yankees have continued to find ways to win despite their injury status. German has been impressive to start the season and he is even more impressive at home with an ERA of 1.69 while allowing opponents just a .177 batting average. Rodriguez meanwhile has an ERA of 6.35 on the road and with the Red Sox losing four out of their last six games overall, I have to go with the Yankees here. I’m picking the New York Yankees to beat the Boston Red Sox on 5/31/19.

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Other Bets To Make

The Red Sox are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. Boston is 4-3 ATS in their last seven games played at home. The Yankees are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. New York is 2-1 ATS in their last three home games played.

The Yankees have outscored the Red Sox by an average of three runs per game in their last three meetings. Only twice in their last 10 meetings has the winning margin been one run. Seven out of Boston’s last 10 games have been decided by two or more runs while six out of the last 10 games played by the Yankees were separated by at least two runs. Prediction: Yankees -1.5

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The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Red Sox. Boston has seen the total go over in 16 out of their 30 road games played this season. The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Yankees but the under is 3-0 in New York’s last three home games played. Head to head, the over is 6-4 in the last 10 games between the Red Sox and Yankees. The under is 3-2 in their last five meetings at Yankee Stadium

The over is 8-2 in the last 10 starts by Rodriguez and 6-4 in his last 10 starts at home. The total has gone under in seven out of Rodriguez’s last 10 starts against the Yankees and 6-2 in his last eight starts at Yankee Stadium. The over is 5-4-1 in German’s last 10 starts but the under is 7-3 in German’s last 10 home starts. Both these pitchers have favored the under in their recent starts at Yankee Stadium and German has an ERA of 1.69 at home this season. Prediction: Under 9.5

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