Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/06/2020 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions

The Denver Broncos head to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday to take on the defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs.

Denver is 4-7 on the season and is just third in the AFC West division. The Broncos are 1-3 SU in their last four games with a win over the Dolphins and losses against the Falcons, Raiders, and Saints. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 10-1 this season and are running away with the division. They have won six straight games and their last three wins have come against the Panthers, Raiders, and Buccaneers. The last time that these teams met was in Week 7 and the Chiefs beat the Broncos 43-16 in the snow.

Denver Broncos

The Broncos hope that having a true quarterback in this game will help them be more competitive. Denver activated Drew Lock, Brett Rypien, and Blaker Bortles from the COVID-19 reserve list on Tuesday so that means we won’t see Kendall Hinton this week. The wide receiver went 1-9 for 13 yards with two interceptions in Denver’s blowout loss to the Saints.

Drew Lock has thrown for 1,767 yards with 7 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while completing 55.6% of his passes. Melvin Gordon leads Denver with 554 rushing yards on 134 carries with six touchdowns. Meanwhile, Jerry Jeudy is the team’s best receiver with 37 catches for 589 yards with two TD grabs.

Denver is 14th in the league in rushing at 113.5 yards per game but they are just 26th in passing at 211.7 yards per game. They rank third from the bottom in the league in scoring at 19.0 points per game and are allowing the 9th most points in the league at 27.1 points per game.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs have won six straight games since falling to the Raiders in their only loss of the season. Last week, the Chiefs jumped out on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but then took their foot off the gas pedal as they failed to cover the spread in their last three games. Kansas City is 6-5 ATS this season, the same as Denver.

Patrick Mahomes is coming off a 462-yard passing performance where he threw for three touchdowns and no interception. Mahomes leads the league with 3,497 passing yards and is the NFL leader with only two interceptions thrown this season against 30 touchdowns. Tyreek Hill has caught 68 passes and he leads the NFL with 1,021 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for 692 yards on 151 carries with four touchdowns.

Kansas City has the best passing offense in the league at 314.5 yards per game and they are the second top-scoring team in the NFL at 31.6 points per game. They also have the 6th best scoring defense in the league at 21.6 points per game conceded. The Chiefs are also ranked 18th in rushing at 111.3 yards per game.

Who Wins?

Denver is 2-4 SU in their last six games played. The Broncos are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games played on the road. Kansas City is 6-0 SU in their last six games played. The Chiefs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games played at home. Head to head, the Chiefs are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played against the Broncos. Kansas City is also 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Denver.

The Broncos won’t have to use a receiver to start at QB in this game. With no reported COVID-19 cases last Sunday, the Broncos activated Drew Lock, Brett Rypien, and Blake Bortles last Tuesday. All three were unavailable in their 31-3 loss to the Saints. Denver’s defense had a good game though with the Broncos’ defense sacking Taysom Hill thrice and forcing him to throw one interception.

The Chiefs aren’t too concerned about the score these days. Kansas City’s last three wins have come via an aggregate winning margin of nine points.

It’s been a while since we saw a dominant effort from the Chiefs. It should come under the lights at home against a team as hated as the Broncos. Denver will have a better game but the Chiefs should flex their muscles here.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

Other Bets To Make

The Broncos are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played. Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games played against the AFC, 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after an ATS loss, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on grass. The Chiefs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games played. Kansas City is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played against the AFC, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games played at home, 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record, and 6-0 ATS in their last six games played in December. Head to head, the Chiefs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Broncos.

The line is pretty thick but this is a matchup that Kansas City has dominated. Kansas City has outscored Denver by an average of 13.6 points per game in their last 10 head to head matchups. Denver is coming off a dismal game where they picked up only 112 total yards with an average of 2.6 yards-per-play average. The Broncos only had six first downs and were 1-10 in third-down conversions. I expect Denver to be better here but against Mahomes and the Chiefs, I’ll give away two touchdowns and pick the champs.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -14

The total has gone under in six out of the last 11 games played by the Broncos. Denver has seen the total go under in 12 out of their last 15 games played against the AFC West. The under is also 10-4 in their last 14 December games. The under is 6-5 in Kansas City’s 11 games played this season. The over is 3-2 in their five games played at home. The total has gone over in four out of their last five games played against the AFC West division. The Chiefs have also seen the total go over in four out of their last five games played in week 13.

Kansas City has failed to score at least 30 points only once at home this season and that was against the New England Patriots who played a stellar defensive effort against them. Travis Kelce continues to put up impressive numbers while Tyreek Hill is coming off 269 yards and three touchdown effort against Tampa Bay. Having said that, this Kansas City team is most probably going to keep their part in helping the total hit over. However, Drew Lock has been inconsistent in recent games. He has thrown only three touchdowns with six interceptions in his last three outings. Denver has scored an average of 16.4 points per game against the Chiefs in their last 10 assignments. I’m not confident about Denver helping Kansas City with the total.

Prediction: Under 51

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