Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/15/19 NFL Betting Odds and Pick

The Denver Broncos hit the road and travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 15, 2019.

The Broncos have won two straight games with rookie quarterback Drew Lock playing behind center. Lock threw for 235 yards and three touchdowns in the first half of Denver’s last game against the Houston Texans. The Broncos took a big lead early then hanged on to win the game. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a big win over the New England Patriots on Monday night. The Chiefs snapped the Patriots’ 21-game home winning streak and clinched the AFC West title with their 23-13 conquest of New England.

Broncos Win Two Straight

The Denver Broncos won during Drew Lock’s first career start. The Broncos have won two straight after Lock was locked in during his second start for Denver. Lock threw for 309 yards with three touchdowns as Denver defeated Houston 38-24 to improve to 5-8 SU on the season.

In two starts, Lock has completed 40 out of 55 passes for a total of 443 passing yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions. The rookie has started in each of the Broncos’ last two games and the team has won both games. Phillip Lindsay has rushed for 817 yards on 180 carries with six touchdowns while Courtland Sutton has caught 59 passes for 940 yards with six touchdowns.

The Broncos rank 29th in the NFL in passing at 196.2 yards per game and they are 18th on the ground with an average of 106.9 rushing yards per contest. Denver is ranked 27th in the league in scoring at 18.2 points per game and they are allowing their opponents to score an average of 20.1 points per game this season.

Clinching the AFC West

The Kansas City Chiefs went to Arrowhead Stadium last Monday and dealt the New England Patriots a rare loss at home with a 23-13 win. The victory clinched for the Chiefs the AFC West title and ended the Patriots’ 21-game home winning streak in the regular season and playoffs which was the third-longest streak in NFL history.

Mahomes has completed 64.5% of his passes for a total of 3,266 passing yards with 21 touchdowns and three interceptions. LeSean McCoy has rushed for a total of 449 yards with four touchdowns while Travis Kelce has caught 989 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns on 75 catches while Tyreek Hill has five scores and a total of 660 yards.

The Chiefs are 4th in the NFL in passing at 288.7 yards per game. They are ranked 27th in rushing at 93.0 rushing yards per contest. Kansas City is the league’s 4th highest scoring teams and they are averaging 28.5 points per game this season. The Chiefs are allowing their opponents to score 21.6 points per game.

Who Wins?

Denver is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games played. The Broncos are 2-5 SU in seven road games played this season, and 4-10 SU in their last 14 games played against the AFC West Division. Kansas City is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Chiefs are 3-3 SU in six home games played this season, 5-0 SU in their last five games against the AFC West Division, and 9-2 SU in their last 11 December games. Head to head, the Chiefs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Broncos.

The Broncos have won two in a row with Drew Lock as their starting quarterback. Lock improved from a mediocre debut to throw for over 300 yards with three touchdowns in their last game against the Houston Texans. Denver has covered in five out of their last six games played and they have allowed 20 points or less in four of those games.

Kansas City breathed a sigh of relief after X-rays on Patrick Mahomes’ hand were negative. Mahomes injured his passing hand during an awkward fall during their win in New England. The Chiefs’ defense has allowed an average of 14 points per game in their last three games played against the Chargers, Raiders, and Patriots.

Denver is closing out the season strong and Drew Lock is coming off a fine second career start. But the Chiefs are out to improve their AFC standing after clinching the AFC West Division title. Kansas City has beaten Denver in their last eight meetings. I expect another one here.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

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Other Bets to Make

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on the road. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played and the Chiefs are 3-3 ATS in six home games played this season. Head to head, the Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Broncos. Kansas City is also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against Denver.

Kansas City has outscored Denver by an average of 12.33 points per game in their last three head to head meetings. Given the injury on Mahomes throwing hand, I’m not too confident with Kansas City’s offense this week. Not that I don’t think they will win but I don’t think they will be too concerned about winning big or not. The Chiefs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. I’ll take the plus points here.

Prediction: Broncos +10

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The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Broncos. The under is 4-3 in Denver’s last seven games on the road, and the under is 14-4 in their last 18 games against the AFC Conference. The under is 3-1 in the last four games played by the Chiefs. The over is 4-2 in Kansas City’s six home games played this season, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games played against the AFC Conference. Head to head, the under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Broncos and Chiefs.

These teams have combined to score an average of 46.33 points per game in their last three meetings. However, I’m not expecting Drew Lock to have the same kind of performance he had against the Texans. I’m not saying he just got lucky the last time out but I expect some regression from him. On the other side, I think the Kansas City offense might hold out a bit given Mahomes hurt his throwing hand in their last game. The Chiefs’ defense has also allowed an average of 14 points per game in their last three games played. I like the teams to hit the under. The under is 5-1 in their last six home games against Division rivals and 26-9 against teams with a losing record.

Prediction: Under 45.5

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