Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders 10/02/2022 Odds and Prediction

The Denver Broncos visit the Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday in a battle between AFC West rivals.

Denver has won two in a row after losing their opening week game against the Seattle Seahawks. They now share the early division lead with the favorites Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1 SU. Meanwhile, the Raiders find themselves at the bottom of the division standings after losing their first three games. All three losses have been by a losing margin of less than a touchdown.

Head to head, the Raiders have won their last four games played against the Broncos.

Denver Broncos

Denver improved to 2-1 SU after a low-scoring 11-10 win over the San Francisco 49ers last weekend. Both offenses looked bad and it was the defenses that took center stage in that game. The Denver offense recorded nine three-and-outs while Rusell Wilson was sacked four times and finished with 184 yards with no touchdowns on 20-33 passing. However, their define forced three turnovers that prevented the 49ers from taking advantage of their offensive woes.

The Broncos rank 31st in the NFL in scoring at only 14.3 points per game while amassing just 230.3 passing yards per contest (18th overall ) and 117.7 rushing yards per outing. Denver is just 1-7 in red zone conversions this season but their defense has been their saving grace. At 12.0 points per game allowed, they have the league’s second-best scoring defense and are third overall with just 170.0 passing yards per game allowed.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders fell to 3-0 SU and ATS after dropping a close 24-22 contest against the Tennessee Titans. Las Vegas was a two-point road underdog in that game and were able to force a push. However, despite holding the Titans scoreless in the second half, they could not overtake Tennessee and ended up losing their third straight game.

Derek Carr completed 26-44 passes for 303 yards with two TDs and one INT. Davante Adams caught five of ten targets and had 36 receiving yards with one TD grab. Mack Hollins had 8 catches for 158 yards and one TD catch. Las Vegas ranks 10th in scoring at 21.3 points per game and are 7th in passing at 266.66 passing yards per contest. The Raiders also average 4.5 yards per carry but are 28th in rushing at only 80.0 rushing yards per game. Las Vegas is tied for 24th in scoring defense at 25.7 points per game allowed. They are also just 26th at 267.0 passing yards per game allowed.

Broncos vs Raiders SU Prediction

The Broncos are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games played against the Raiders. Denver is also 4-6 SU in their last 10 road games played in Las Vegas.

Denver Broncos SU trends:

• The Broncos are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games played.

• The Broncos are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games played on the road.

• The Broncos are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played against the AFC West Division.

• Broncos are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in October.

Las Vegas Raiders SU trends:

• The Raiders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played.

• The Raiders are 2-4 SU in their last 5 games played at home.

• The Raiders are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games played in October.

• The Raiders are 3-11 SU in their last 14 Week 4 games.

Russell Wilson was supposed to be the missing link on a Denver team that was playoff material but just could get it going offensively. However, such has not been the case after 3 weeks so far with the Broncos scoring just 43 points per game after three games. Fortunately for Russ, the defense has gotten the job done.

Denver’s defense allowed just 9 points against Houston and 10 against San Francisco as they picked up two hard-earned wins in the previous two weeks. Wilson will get another opportunity on Sunday as the Broncos face a Raiders team that is tied for 8th place in scoring defense at 25.7 points per game allowed.

Meanwhile, the Raiders have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL after three weeks. Under new head coach Josh McDaniels, Las Vegas has gone 0-3 SU and it has been tough to find any positives in how they have played so far. But McDaniels will get another shot at his first win against the only other team in the NFL that he has coached so he should be motivated to outwit Nathaniel Hackett on the field on Sunday.

To beat Denver, the Raiders must play good defense, perhaps like they did during the second half of last week’s 24-22 loss to the Tennessee Titans. In that game, Las Vegas did not allow Tennessee to score after intermission and mounted a comeback. It would be better however if they played that defense early on and did not fall behind early in the game. If they can do that, this will be a good game for the Raiders to finally break into the winning column.

I think that Davante Adams and Derek Carr are finally going to deliver that first win for the Raiders.

Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders

Broncos vs Raiders ATS Prediction

Denver is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played against Las Vegas. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games against the Raiders. The home team is also 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The underdog is also 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games played between these two teams.

Denver Broncos ATS trends:

• The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

• The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

• The Broncos are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

• The Broncos are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 versus AFC West.

• The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.

• The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.

• The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus AFC.

• Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

• The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

Las Vegas Raiders ATS trends:

• The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

• The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.

• The Raiders are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against the AFC West.

• The Raiders are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.

• The Raiders are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 4.

• The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

• The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss.

Las Vegas may be in a must-win spot on Sunday as falling 0-4 would make it difficult for them to come back and make a playoff run, especially in the AFC West. The Raiders have plenty of talent on their offense to beat Denver’s defense. I expect Derek Carr, Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs, and Darren Waller to step up their game and give Las Vega their first win of the season.

The Broncos have a solid defensive unit but with defensive lineman, D.J. Jones placed in the concussion protocol, there will be a significant hole in the Broncos’ interior defense. Offensively, Denver still has plenty of fine-tuning to do and that could lead to the Raiders outscoring them in this game.

Las Vegas has outscored Denver by an average of 6.0 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. They should be able to get the cover in this game.

Prediction: Raiders -2.5

Broncos vs Raiders ATS Prediction

The total has gone under in 9 out of the last 11 meetings between these two teams. The under is also 5-0 in the last five games played by these two teams in Las Vegas.

Denver Broncos over/under trends:

• Under is 20-8 in the Broncos’ last 28 games overall.

• Under is 5-1 in the Broncos’ last 6 road games.

• Under is 8-0 in the Broncos’ last 8 games following an ATS win.

• Under is 21-5-1 in the Broncos’ last 27 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Under is 19-6-1 in the Broncos’ last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

• Under is 5-2 in the Broncos’ last 7 games in Week 4.

• Under is 5-2 in the Broncos’ last 7 games versus a team with a losing record.

• Under is 16-7-1 in the Broncos’ last 24 games against the AFC West.

• Under is 35-16-1 in the Broncos’ last 52 games versus the AFC.

• Under is 17-8-1 in the Broncos’ last 26 games in October.

• Under is 42-20-1 in the Broncos’ last 63 games following a straight-up win.

• Under is 35-17-1 in the Broncos’ last 53 games on grass.

Las Vegas Raiders over/under trends:

• Under is 6-2 in the Raiders’ last 8 games overall.

• Under is 4-1 in the Raiders’ last 5 home games.

• Under is 4-1 in the Raiders’ last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• Under is 4-1 in the Raiders’ last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• Under is 5-2 in the Raiders’ last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• Under is 5-2 in the Raiders’ last 7 games against the AFC.

• Over is 7-3-1 in the Raiders’ last 11 games in October.

• Over is 7-3 in the Raiders’ last 10 games versus the AFC West.

• Over is 10-4 in the Raiders’ last 14 games following a straight-up loss.

• Over is 11-4 in the Raiders’ last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• Over is 7-1-1 in the Raiders’ last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

These two teams have combined to score an average of 41.2 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and although the over is 2-1 in their last three meetings, the under is 9-2 in their previous 11 head-to-head encounters.

The under is 11-3 in the Broncos’ last 14 games played and 8-2 in their last 10 games played over. The under is also 5-2-1 in the Raiders’ last 8 games played. This one should be a low-scoring contest. The Broncos offense doesn’t look in synch yet with Russ at the held. Meanwhile, the Raiders have leaned on their rushing attack early in the season.

Prediction: Under 45.5

Place Your Bets Now!