Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens 12/04/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Denver Broncos hit the road and travel to the M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday afternoon to test the Baltimore Ravens.

Denver is 3-8 SU this season and they are just 1-5 SU on the road this year. The Broncos head to this game having lost seven out of their last eight games played overall. They were beaten by the Carolina Panthers 23-10 on the road last weekend.

Baltimore is 7-4 SU on the season and just 3-2 SU when playing at home this campaign. The Ravens saw their four-game winning streak ended by the Jacksonville Jaguars who edged them 28-27 in a tightly fought contest last weekend.

Denver Broncos

Denver entered the 2022 season with title aspirations after acquiring quarterback Russell Wilson from the Seattle Seahawks. However, the Broncos have disappointed this year, with only three wins to show after 11 games played. With their 23-10 loss to the Panthers last week, it may be safe to say that their playoff hopes are now gone.

The offense is ranked 25th at 319.1 yards per game. Wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has missed the team’s last two games due to an ankle injury and did not participate in last Thursday’s practice.

Russell Wilson has completed just 58.9% of his passes for 2,369 yards with 8 TDs and 5 interceptions while getting sacked 5 times. The team waived Melvin Gordon and Latavius Murray is now their lead back. Murray had 13 carries and 92 yards last week. Courtland Sutton has caught 52 passes for 688 yards with one TD grab to lead the Broncos.

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens will look to get back on the winning side after a surprise loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend. Baltimore beat Cleveland, Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Carolina before getting upset last weekend. Justin Tucker missed a game-winning FG but it was from 67 yards out. The Ravens have blown four double-digit leads in the fourth quarter but they are still tied with the Bengals at 7-4 SU for the best record in the AFC North division team standings.

Lamar Jackson passed for 254 yards with one TD while rushing for 89 yards last week. However, the Ravens’ offense scored less than 30 points for the 8th consecutive game. Baltimore is ranked 11th in offense at 356.1 yards per game. They also rank second in rushing yards per game this season.

Jackson has passed for 2,369 yards with 17 TDs and 7 INTs this season. Lamar has also rushed for 755 yards with 3 rush TDs on 111 carries. Mark Andrews leads the Ravens with 601 yards on 52 catches with 5 TD grabs. Kenyan Drake also has 392 rushing yards with three rush TDs while Devin Duvernay has caught 29 passes for 344 yards with three TD grabs.

Broncos vs Ravens Prediction

The Broncos are 1-2 SU in their last 3 games played against the Ravens. Denver is 1-3 SU in their last 4 games played in Baltimore.

Denver Broncos SU trends:

• The Broncos are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games played.
• The Broncos are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games played on the road.
• The Broncos are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games played against the AFC North Division.
• The Broncos are 1-5 SU in their last 6 December games played.

Baltimore Ravens SU trends:

• The Ravens are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Ravens are 3-2 SU in their last 5 games played at home.
• The Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 Week 13 games played.
• The Ravens are 1-4 SU in their last 5 December games.

This has been a very disappointing season for the Broncos. After acquiring Russell Wilson, Denver thought they had what they lacked to be a true contender. However, the offense has looked terrible under Wilson and last week, that trend continued.

Wilson completed 19 out of 35 passes for 142 yards with one touchdown as they lost to the Carolina Panthers 23-10. The loss was Denver’s third straight and they are just 3-8 SU and ATS this season.

A bright spot for the Broncos was Latavius Murray who rushed for 92 yards on 13 carries or an average of 7 yards per carry. With Melvin Gordon gone, Murray’s acquisition may have been a good one for the team.

The Ravens suffered yet another collapse and last week, it was against the Jacksonville Jaguars who defeated them 28-27. With that setback, Baltimore has now blown a double-digit lead four times this season.

Lamar Jackson completed 16 of 32 passes for 254 yards with one touchdown. Lamar also rushed for 89 yards on 14 carries. However, his heroics were not enough as the Ravens scored under 30 points for the 8th consecutive week.

The strength of Baltimore lies in its rushing game. They rank second in rushing yards per game and also second in rush yards allowed on defense. With this kind of game, the Ravens slow down the game.

Baltimore’s offensive weapons are limited but Jackon and his teammates look better each week. Denver’s offense has been stagnant and unless Russell Wilson has a 360 -degree turn this weekend, Lamar and the Ravens should run away with this game, literally.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens

Broncos vs Ravens ATS Prediction

The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played against the Ravens. Denver is 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore.

Denver Broncos ATS trends:

• The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall
• The Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• The Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 13.
• The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on field turf.
• The Broncos are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.
• The Broncos are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 against the AFC.
• The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

Baltimore Ravens ATS trends:

• The Ravens are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• The Ravens are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The Ravens are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in December.
• The Ravens are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 13.
• The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record.
• The Ravens are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played versus a team with a losing record.
• The Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
• The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games played versus the AFC.

At this stage of the season, it’s hard to put your trust in the Broncos even at this price. The offense has been terrible and so has Russell Wilson. Denver has covered the spread only once in their last five games overall and they are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 on the road.

Meanwhile, the Ravens’ record doesn’t show how good or not this team is. If not for some unfortunate fourth quarters, they could easily be sitting on top of the AFC conference standings right now. Baltimore has covered six out of their last seven home games against Denver.

This is a large spread and I won’t blame you if you go with the Broncos ( really!). However, I’m going to lay the points here and trust that the Ravens get the job done at home.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -9.5

Broncos vs Ravens Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played between these two teams. The over is 2-1 in their last three games played in Baltimore.

Denver Broncos over/under trends:

• The under is 47-21-1 in the Broncos’ last 69 games overall.
• The under is 4-0 in the Broncos’ last 4 road games.
• The under is 6-0 in the Broncos’ last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
• The under is 8-1 in the Broncos’ last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 6-1 in the Broncos’ last 7 games on field turf.
• The under is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last 5 games in December.
• The under is 7-2 in the Broncos’ last 9 games against a team with a winning record.
• The under is 6-2 in the Broncos’ last 8 games in Week 13.
• The under is 39-16-1 in the Broncos’ last 56 games against AFC.
• The under is 37-18 in the Broncos’ last 55 games following an ATS loss.
• The under is 7-0 in the Broncos’ last 7 games following a straight-up loss.

Baltimore Ravens over/under trends:

• The under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last 8 games overall.
• The under is 4-0 in the Ravens’ last 4 home games.
• The under is 6-0 in the Ravens’ last 6 games on FieldTurf
• The under is 6-1 in the Ravens’ last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1 in the Ravens’ last 5 games following a straight-up loss.
• The under is 4-1 in the Ravens’ last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
• The under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The over is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last 8 games in December.
• The under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last 8 against a team with a losing record.
• The under is 36-14-2 in the Ravens’ last 52 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

I think we’ve talked too much about the struggling Denver offense and that’s the main argument for making this pick. The under is 7-0 in the Broncos’ last seven games played and I don’t see how Russell Wilson suddenly turns his team into a scoring machine on Sunday.

The good thing about Denver this season has been its defense and they should be able to contain the 8th-best scoring team in the NFL in the Ravens. Baltimore is also more of a rushing team than a passing one with the team ranked 26th in passing and 2nd in rushing. The Ravens are also going to eat up plenty of time with their offense. 

I think this will be a low-scoring game with Denver’s struggling offense and Baltimore’s preference to run the football.

Prediction: Under 38.5

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