Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Giants 11/02/2020 - NFL Odds and Prediction

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to the MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants on Monday, November 2, 2020.

Tampa Bay has the best record in the NFC South while the Giants are the worst team in the NFC. Tom Brady has looked phenomenal in the Tampa Bay offense in the team’s last five games. The Bucs have won five out of their last six games. On the other hand, the Giants lost their first five games of the season before beating the Washington Football Team. They looked on their way to victory last week but lost a heartbreaker to the Eagles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It looked as if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers got an old Tom Brady after the first two games of the season. But things have quickly changed as we are now seeing the Tom Brady of old getting the work done. The Bucs are 5-1 SU in their last six games played and Brady has thrown over 290 passing yards per game in his last five games with 15 touchdowns and only one pick during that period.

In their last game, Brady threw for 369 yards as the Bucs turned a seven-point game against the Las Vegas Raiders into a blowout win. Tampa Bay scored 21 points in the fourth quarter for a 45-20 win. Brady has thrown for a total of 1910 yards in seven games and if he keeps his current pace, he could throw 40 scores this season. Mike Evans has 25 catches for 318 yards and six touchdowns. The Bucs have six receivers who have at least two touchdowns grabs this season.

The Bucs will have Antonio Brown back in their next game but will have to do without him here. Cornerback Carlton Davis suffered a chest injury last week and is expected to miss this game. The Tampa Bay defense is allowing just 66 rushing yards and 291.3 total yards per game this season.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Buccaneers

-700

Giants

+520

Odds from BetOnline as of 11/02/2020

New York Giants

The New York Giants are 1-6 this season and four of their losses have been by eight points or fewer. New York’s last three games have even been closer as they have been decided by three or fewer points or fewer and they’ve won only once during that period. That’s tough to swallow especially for a first-year head coach like Joe Judge.

None could have been tougher than last week’s loss. The Giants were up 21-10 with less than five minutes left in the game before Eagles QB Carson Wentz threw two touchdowns passes in the final 3:48 of the game to give the Eagles the win. Second-year quarterback Daniel Jones had another so-so outing with 187 passing yards and two scores on 20-30 passing. He also rushed for 92 yards but will be remembered for falling 10 yards away from the end zone.

With star running back Saquon Barkley out for the season with an injury, Jones leads the team in rushing with 296 on the season. Devonta Freeman is listed as questionable for this game along with kicker Graham Gano. The Giants are 4-0 ATS on the road this season but are 0-3 ATS at home this year.

Who Wins?

Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Buccaneers are 2-2 SU in their last four games played on the road. New York is 1-7 SU in their last eight games played. The Giants are 1-2 SU in their three home games played this season. Head to head, the Giants are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Buccaneers. New York is also 8-1 SU in their last nine home games played against Tampa Bay.

Brady started out slow this season but in his last five games, he’s averaged 290.8 passing yards per game and a total of 15 touchdowns and only one interception. To think that he’s achieving the success with a banged-up receiver corps is a testament to how good he still is at this stage of his career. Mike Evans has been limited with an ankle injury and Chris Godwin will not play in this game.

On the other hand, Daniel Jones has regressed from his rookie season and he is averaging only 201.4 passing yards per game with five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Giants are 1-6 SU on the season after their one-point loss to the Eagles the last time out. New York has looked very competitive in their last three games but with an increased level of competition facing them on Monday, it should be an uphill battle. I like the Bucs to end their struggles against the Giants.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Other Bets To Make

The Bucs are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played. Tampa Bay is 2-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games played in November. The Giants are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played. New York is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games played at home, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games played as underdogs. Head to head, the Giants are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Buccaneers.

What are the Spread Odds?

Buccaneers

-13 (+102)

Giants

+13 (-118)

Odds from BetOnline as of 11/02/2020

The Giants have lost by more than 10 points only once this season and they have played in many competitive games. Tampa Bay is a team that is quick to capitalize on their opponents’ mistakes and the Giants do fall off the cliff very quickly. The last three games for the Giants have looked close but those were against three bad teams from the NFC East. The Bucs are far better than those teams and the Giants will find out first hand on Monday night.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13

The total has gone over in 15 out of the last 20 games played by Tampa Bay. The over is also 8-3 in their last 11 games played on the road and 12-2 in their last 14 games against the NFC. The total has gone under in five out of the last seven games played by the Giants. The under is 4-2 in New York’s last six games played against the NFC. The total has gone over in seven out of their last 10 games played against the NFC South Division. Head to head, the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams.

The Giants started the season averaging less than 12 points per game in their first four games of the season. They’ve picked it up ever since, doubling their scoring average to nearly 25 points per game in their last three games. On the other hand, the Bucs have scored at least 38 points in three out of their last four games and over 30 in four of seven games this season. For as long as the total is below 50 points, you have to pick the over.

Prediction: Over 45

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