Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets 9/8/19 NFL Betting Odds and Preview

The Buffalo Bills take on the New York Jets in a showdown between AFC East teams on September 8, 2019, at the MetLife Stadium in New York.

These two teams finished at the bottom of the AFC East standings but have made strides with their personnel movement during the offseason. It will be interesting to see which team got better and who still needed improvement.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills won a total of six games last season. That’s not really an impressive number but last year being the first year for Josh Allen, a 6-10 season is already acceptable. This offseason, the Bills got better. They spent big money to add linemen like Mitch Morse and Ty Nsekhe plus they also added receivers John Brown and Cole Beasley. Buffalo also added depth at tailback by signing Frank Gore and T.J. Yeldon. Aside from these additions, Buffalo also drafted Ed Oliver and Cody Ford who are expected to make an immediate impact.

Buffalo averaged 174.6 passing yards and 124.0 rushing yards per game last season. They allowed their opponents to score 23.4 points per game while scoring only 16.7 points per game, 30th in the league. Josh Allen threw for a total of 2,074 passing yards with a total of 10 touchdowns for the Bills.

New York Jets

The Jets fired Todd Bowles and brought in the offensive-minded Adam Gase. Then New York spent big money in free agency to get tailback Le’Veon Bell and inside linebacker CJ. Mosley. With their third pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Jets picked Quinnen Williams, a player who could have easily been the top pick of the draft. Sam Darnold is expected to get better in 2019 and things look bright for them.

Last season, New York ranked 25th in passing yards with 197.8, 26th in rushing yards with 101.4, 23rd in scoring at 20.8 points per game. The Jets also allowed their opponents to score an average of 27.6 points per game. Sam Darnold passed for 2,865 yards with 17 touchdowns in his first season.

Who Wins?

Buffalo is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. The Bills are 1-3 SU in their last four games played. New York is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played. The Jets are 0-5 SU in their last five home games. Head to head, the Jets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played and also 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings in New York. Buffalo is 4-6 SU against the AFC East. New York is 2-8 SU against the AFC East.

Buffalo has brought some bright spots on both ends of the field but I think they are still a year or two from contending. On the other hand, the Jets are bringing in a whole new staff. They also spent the most money during the offseason and they too have surely improved.

I think this is going to be a good contest between two young quarterbacks. But I think Darnold has more weapons at his disposal and that’s why the Jets are the slight NFL betting favorites here. The future looks bright for both teams and although the results might not come yet this season, expect both to move forward this year. Between the two though, I like the Jets here with their improved backfield and defense. Prediction: New York Jets

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Other Bets To Make

The Bills are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played. Buffalo is 2-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Jets are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. New York is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Bills are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games against the Jets and 3-2 ATS  in their last five games played in New York.

The Bills are 4-3 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC East rivals. The Jets are 3-6-1 ATS against the AFC East. Both these teams weren’t really impressive against the spread last season. I expect the Jets to win this game but I expect the Bills to be in the thick of the fight as well in this battle between two young quarterbacks. That said, this could be a close game and I’d rather take the plus points on the Bills here just in case. Prediction: Bills +3.5

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The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Bills. The under is 3-1 in the Bills’ last six games played on the road. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by the Jets. The over is 6-1 in New York’s last seven home games played. Head to head, the over is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these two teams. The over is also 7-3 in their last 10 meetings in New York.

The under is 4-3 in the BIlls last seven games against the AFC East and 4-6 in the Jets’ last ten games against the AFC East. Buffalo ranked 30th in the league in scoring last season at 16.7 points per game. The Jets weren’t far ahead at #23 with their 20.8 points per game average. Sure, these teams have improved over the summer but I don’t expect to see an instant makeover. This is still opening week and there will be a hangover. Prediction: Under 38.5

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