Burnley takes on Wolverhampton at Turf Moor on July 15, 2020, in an all-important English Premier League matchup. The match will be shown live on NBC Sports Gold and Peacock at 1:00 PM EST.
The Clarets are on the outside looking at the Europa League but they are just four points off that final Europa League spot which is currently being held by Sheffield United. On the other hand, the Wolves are in sixth place in the current table. Wolverhampton is occupying a Europa League position but is still clinging on to its slim chances of making the Champions League. The Wolves are also four points behind Leicester City who hold the final Champions League slot.
Burnley
The Clarets are in 10th place in the Premier League standings with a record of 14-8-13 and a total of 50 points earned. Burnley is just four points behind Sheffield United who occupies the final Europa League position. However, Tottenham and Arsenal are also in hot pursuit of Sheffield United so it’s going to be a difficult road for Burnley.
In their last outing, Burnley visited the newly-minuted Premier League champions, Liverpool, last weekend and they walked away with a 1-1 draw. Andy Robertson drew first blood for Liverpool but Jay Rodriguez scored the game-tying goal in the 69th minute. The draw ended the Reds’ 24 matches unbeaten streak at Anfield and it was the first time this season where the Reds didn’t win a match where they scored first.
Chris Wood leads the Clarets with a total of 11 goals scored this season. Jay Rodriguez has found the back of the net eight times while Ashley Barnes has scored six times this term. Dwight McNeil leads Burnley with a total of six assists while also scoring two goals and Ashley Westwood has six assists and two goals scored.
Burnley is ranked 10th in the EPL in goals conceded with a total of 47 allowed on the year. They are 12th in goal scoring with a total of 39 goals scored this season. The Clarets are ranked 11th in passing with a total of 28 assists on the year. Their goal difference of -8 is tied for 10th overall in the Premier League.
Wolverhampton
The Wolves are still alive in the Champions League race with 55 points earned from a record of 14-13-8. They are four points behind Leicester City with still three matches left to play so the door is still very open for them. Likewise, they are also in the battle for the Europa League as they are only three points ahead of Tottenham in the team standings.
Wolverhampton returned to their winning ways the last time out. Raul Jimenez opened the scoring via a penalty in the 45+2 minute while Leander Dendoncker scored the insurance goal barely one minute into the second half. Diogo Jota scored the third goal of the match in the 7th minute as the Wolves improved to four wins and two losses since the restart of the season.
Raul Jimenez leads the Wolves with a total of 15 goals scored this season. Diogo Jota has netted six times while Adama Traore has found the back of the net four times. Traore also leads the team with a total of nine assists on the year while Jimenez has six assists as well. Joao Moutinho has six assists and one goal score this term.
The Wolves are the 6th best defensive team in England with a total of 37 goals scored this season. They are 8th overall in scoring with a total of 45 goals on the year. Wolverhampton is also tied for 8th in assists with a total of 31 assists this term. Their goal difference of +8 is tied for 6th best in the Premier League.
Who Wins?
Burnley is the 10th worst home club in the Premier League with a record of 8-3-6 with a total of 27 points earned from their home matches. The Wolves are the 4th best road team in England with an away record of 7-6-4 in their away matches. These teams have played each other in a total of 127 times and Wolverhampton has the decisive 62-29-36 advantage over Burnley. These two teams played to a 1-1 draw in their reverse fixture held last August 2019. The Wolves hold a 3-1-1 advantage over the Clarets in their last five head to head meetings.
The Clarets have a few injuries on their team. Ben Mee and Matthew Lowton are both on the injured list while forward Ashley Barnes and midfield Jack Cork are also out of commission for Burnley. On the other hand, the Wolves have a fully healthy squad. Only a few changes are expected from their side but expect Joao Moutinho and Diogo Jota to feature in the starting XI.
Burnley has three wins, two draws, and one loss since the season restarted. They are unbeaten in their last five matches and have done so by the terrific defense and outstanding goalkeeping. Stopper Nick Pope has produced three clean sheets in his last six home assignments for the Clarets.
The Wolves are also playing well since the resumption of the EPL. They have picked up four wins in six assignments since the restart. I think that this is going to be a very close match. I won’t be surprised if this match ends in a draw.
Prediction: Draw (+225)
Alternate Bet
Over 2
-111
Under 2
-109
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/14/2020
Burnley’s last five matches have seen the total go under three goals scored while the last three head to head meetings between these two squads have also produced a total of fewer than three goals. Burnley is also unbeaten in their last six matches and they have kept a clean sheet in half of those games. The under is 1-4 in the last five meetings between these two squads. Don’t expect this to be a high-scoring affair. I like these teams to hit the under 2.5 here.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals but at the moment the line at BetOnline is 2.