Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors 11/11/2022 NBA Odds and Prediction

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to snap a two-game losing skid when they travel to Oakland to take on the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.

Cleveland won 8 in a row before losing their last two games against the L.A. Clippers and Sacramento Kings. The Cavs are 8-3 SU and are in second place in the Central Division team standings, behind only the 10-1 SU Milwaukee Bucks.

Golden State is 4-7 SU to start the season. They are second behind the 2-9 SU Lakers for the worst record in the Pacific Division and are four games behind current division leaders Phoenix Suns. The Dub lost five straight games before edging the Sacramento Kings 116-113 in their last game played last Monday night.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Despite heading to this game with a two-game losing streak, the Cleveland Cavaliers are one of the biggest surprises this season. Cleveland is 8-3 SU to start the year and they have played well with Donovan Mitchell leading the team this year. The Cavs acquired Mitchell via trade during the offseason and he has led the Cavs in scoring this season, including 38 points in a losing effort to the Sacramento Kings in their last game.

Mitchell is averaging 31.9 points, 5.8 assists, and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Cavs. Darius Garland has played just five games this season after suffering an injury but all five games that he’s played came this month. Jarrett Allen is putting up 14.1 points and 11.7 rebounds per game while Evan Mobley is scoring 15.3 points per game this season.

The Cavs are 9th in the NBA in scoring at 116.6 points per game this season. They should have a field day against a Golden State team that is next to last in the league in scoring defense at 120.6 points per game allowed. Cleveland is also in the Top 10 in scoring defense which should mean more problems for the struggling Dubs.

Golden State Warriors

The defending NBA champions snapped a five-game losing streak with a 116-113 win over the Sacramento Kings the last time out. Steph Curry erupted for 47 points with 7 three-pointers made. The two-time NBA MVP made the crucial free throws in the end game that secured the victory for the Warriors.

Curry is off to a strong start this year, scoring 30 or more points in 8 of the Warriors’ 11 games played this season. Chef Curry is averaging 32.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 6.9 assists per game to open his 2022-23 campaign. Andrew Wiggins is contributing 18.2 points per game while Jordan Poole is putting up 15.2 points off the bench. Klay Thompson has struggled with his shot and is making only 32.6% of his three-point attempts.

The Dubs are the no. 4 scoring team in the NBA at 117.3 points per game this season. They will be tested by a Cleveland team that is 7th in scoring defense at 107.4 points per game allowed. Golden State meanwhile is second-to-the-last in scoring defense at 120.6 points per game conceded.

Cavaliers vs Warriors SU Prediction

The Cavaliers are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games played against the Warriors. Cleveland is also winless in their last 10 road games played in Golden State.

Cleveland Cavaliers SU trends:

• The Cavaliers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played.
• The Cavaliers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games played on the road.
• The Cavaliers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games played in November.

Golden State Warriors SU trends:

• The Warriors are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played
• The Warriors are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games played at home.
• The Warriors are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played against the Eastern Conference.
• The Warriors are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games played against the Central Division.

The Warriors have not played since Monday when Steph Curry scored 47 points. That long rest is a double-bladed sword. On one side, you could say that the Dubs are well-rested heading to this game. However, it could also mean that whatever confidence they had when they beat the Kings in their last game may no longer be there after a long break.

The Cavaliers have lost back-to-back games after an 8-game winning streak. This is a team that is playing better than the Warriors right now and they should be motivated enough to get back on the winner’s side on Friday night.

Steph Curry is having a fine start but he isn’t getting enough help from his teammates. Meanwhile, Donovan Mitchell is off to a strong start in Cleveland and his play has rubbed off on his teammates. I think the Cavs have the scorers to hang around with the Warriors. With better defense, Cleveland should be able to pull off the road victory. I’ll take the plus money and go with the Cavs.

Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers vs Warriors ATS Prediction

The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played against the Warriors. Cleveland is also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in Golden State.

Cleveland Cavaliers ATS trends:

• The Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Cavaliers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Friday games.
• The Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Cavaliers are 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss.
• The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
• The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Golden State Warriors ATS trends:

• The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The Warriors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games.
• The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.
• The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
• The Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
• The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.
• The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up win.
• The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Warriors are having problems stopping their opponents from scoring points. Golden State is next to last in scoring defense at 120.6 points per game allowed this season. That’s not going to work against this Cleveland team which is 9th in the league in scoring at 116.6 points per game this season.

Golden State will always have a chance to win a shootout against any team. That’s because they have the firepower to match any squad in the NBA. However, their inability to stop their opponents from putting up points on the scoreboard will be their downfall in this game.

Aside from ranking in the Top 10 in scoring, the Cavaliers are also 7th overall in scoring defense at 107.4 points per game this season. Also, Cleveland has covered the spread in 8 out of their last 10 games played while the Dubs have failed to cover five times in their last six games played.

Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers +2

Cavaliers vs Warriors Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in each of the last four meetings between these two teams. The

Cleveland Cavaliers over/under trends:

• The over is 5-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 7 overall.
• The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 26 road games.
• The over is 6-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
• The over is 5-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 6 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 5-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 6 versus a team with a losing straight-up record.
• The over is 4-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 9 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The over is 6-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 8 games following an ATS loss.
• The over is 6-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 8 games following a straight-up loss.
• The over is 5-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The over is 5-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 5-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 7 Friday games.
• The over is 17-7 in the Cavaliers’ last 24 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Golden State Warriors over/under trends:

• The over is 7-3-1 in the Warriors’ last 11 overall.
• The over is 4-1 in the Warriors’ last 5 home games.
• The over is 6-2 in the Warriors’ last 8 games following an ATS loss.
• The over is 5-2-1 in the Warriors’ last 8 games following a straight-up win.
• The over is 7-3-1 in the Warriors’ last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 7-3-1 in the Warriors’ last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 6-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
• The under is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last 4 versus a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The under is 4-1 in the Warriors’ last 5 games against a team with a winning % above .600.

Golden State is a high-scoring and poor-defending team that has led to track meets in their games this season. They have seen the total go over 228 points 8 times in their last 10 games played.

Cleveland is an excellent defensive team this season but they are also in the Top 10 in scoring. Golden State’s lackluster defense is going to help the Cavs score more than their average, which should help the total breach the 228-point mark in this game.

Prediction: Over 228.5

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