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Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears 10/27/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

The Los Angeles Chargers head to Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears in Week 8 of the 2019 NFL Season.

The Chargers head to this match with three straight losses on the season while the Bears return home after losing two in a row, including their last outing which was at Soldier Field. Both teams want to end their losing streak but only one team leaves Chicago victorious. Who will it be?

Gordon’s Fumble

Los Angeles dropped to 2-5 on the season after a 20-23 loss to the Tennessee Titans last week. The Chargers had two touchdowns overturned and then saw Melvin Gordon fumble the ball at the one-yard line with 15 seconds left to play in the game. Los Angeles has now lost three in a row and they are the NFL betting underdogs to snap that streak in Chicago on Sunday.

Phillip Rivers threw for 329 yards with two touchdowns while Austin Ekeler had 118 receiving yards on 8 catches with one touchdown but it was Gordon’s fumble in the final 15 seconds of the game which was recovered by Jurrell Casey that enabled the Tennessee Titans to hold on to victory.

The Chargers third in the league with an average of 23.4 passing yards per game. Los Angeles is 27th in rushing at only 74.3 yards per contest. The Chargers are scoring only 20.0 points per game this season while allowing their opponents to score 20.1 points per outing.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Chargers

+180

Bears

+210

Odds were taken from BetOnline.ag as of 10/22/19

Trubisky Returns

The Chicago Bears had to start quarterback Mitchell Trubisky return last week but he couldn’t help his team get the W against a surging New Orleans Saints team led by Terry Bridgewater. The Saints outscored the Bears in the first three quarters to pull off a 36-25 victory and hand Chicago their second straight loss.

Trubisky threw 34-54 with 251 passing yards with two touchdowns. Trubisky’s shoulder looked fine but his offense didn’t. The Bears rushed the ball for a season-low 17 yards. They also set a franchise record with only seven carries against the Saints. Meanwhile, Chicago’s famous defense allowed 424 total yards while only getting 252 from their offense.

Chicago ranks 29th in the league in passing at 193.7 yards per game and only 28th in the NFL in rushing at 70.0 yards per contest. The Bears are averaging just 18.7 points per game this season while allowing their opponents to score 17.5 points per contest.

Who Wins?

Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in their last six games played. The Chargers are 1-2 SU in three road games played this season and 6-2 SU in their last eight games against the NFC Conference. Chicago is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games played. The Bears are 1-2 SU in three road games played this season and 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against the AFC Conference. Head to head, the Bears are 5-1 SU in their last six meetings. Chicago is also 4-1 SU in their last five home games against the LA Chargers.

The Los Angeles Chargers’ offense has stalled in their last three games. The teams have not scored more than 20 points in those games, all of which they lost. Chicago’s offense hasn’t looked as good either. They are a middling team in the passing department and they are in the bottom three in rushing yards per game. When you have two teams who don’t have explosive offenses facing each other, you have to look at the other end of the field. Doing that reveals that Chicago has a better defense than Los Angeles, although both teams have been tough on that end this season.

I like the Bears to win this game. I think it will be a game dictated by the defense and I’m picking the home team to win.

Prediction: Chicago Bears

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Other Bets to Make

The Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. Los Angeles is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games played but is only 1-2 ATS in three road games played this season. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. Chicago is 1-2 ATS in three home games played this year and 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in October. Head to head, the Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played against the Chargers.

What are the Spread Odds?

Chargers

+5 (-125)

Bears

-5 (+125)

Odds from BetOnline.ag as of 10/2/19

The Bears have outscored the Chargers by 5.33 points per game in their last 10 meetings and just one point per game in their last three encounters. Chicago is 17-7-1 in their last 25 games played at home while the Chargers have played well against the spread when on the road. Both these teams have very tough defenses, ranking in the Top 10 in points per game allowed. I think this will be a close low-scoring game where every point counts. I like the Bears to win but I’m not sure by how much. I’ll take the underdogs and the plus points here.

Prediction: Chargers +5

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The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Chargers. The under is 2-1 in Los Angeles’ last three road games played and also under in five out of their last six games against the NFC North Division. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 11 games played by the Bears. The under is 2-1 in Chicago’s three home games played this season and the under is also 7-1 in their last 8 games against the AFC West Division. Head to head, the under is 3-1 in the last four meetings between these two teams.

What are the Totals Odds?

Over

40 (-108)

Under

40 (-112)

Odds from BetOnline.ag as of 10/22/19

These teams have combined to score 36.67 points per game in their last 10 head to head meetings and 36.33 points per game in their last three games played. The Chargers have not seen the total go over 40 points in three games this season and they have not scored over 20 points in their last three games played. The total has not gone over 40 points in three of Chicago’s six games this season. The Chargers’ offense has struggled in the last three weeks and Chicago’s rushing game is third from the bottom of the league. The Bears’ passing has also been mediocre at best this year. The under is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six games played and also 5-1 in the Bears’ last six home games.

Prediction: Under 40

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Chris Blain

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