Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 10/17/19 NFL Betting Odds and Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs head to the Broncos Stadium at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos on Thursday 10/17/19.

Have Dropped Two in a Row

After starting the 2019 NFL season with four straight wins, the Kansas City Chiefs have dropped two in a row. In their last outing, Kansas City fell 24-31 against the Houston Texans in a showdown between 2017 first-round picks Patrick Mahomes and DeShaun Watson.

2018 NFL MVP Mahomes threw for 273 yards with three touchdowns and one interception but Watson wasn’t to be outdone with 280 passing yards one passing touchdown and two rushing touchdowns. LeSean McCoy rushed for 44 yards for Kansas City while the returning Tyreek Hill caught five passes with for 80 yards with two touchdowns.

The Chiefs are the #1 offensive team in the NFL with an average of 356.0 yards per game. Kansas City is 4th in scoring at 29.6 points per game but they are only 25th overall with 88.6 rushing yards per contest. The Chiefs are allowing an average of 22.6 points per game this season. Despite back to back losses, Kansas City heads to this matchup as the NFL betting favorites to beat Denver.

Back to Back Wins

The Denver Broncos started the 2019 season on the wrong foot but they have recovered with back to back wins over the Los Angeles Chargers and Tennessee Titans. In their last game, the Broncos blanked the Titans 17-0 behind three interceptions and seven sacks from their defensive unit.

Denver’s solid defense allowed just 204 yards as they sent Marcus Mariota to the bench and then stifled his backup Ryan Tannehill to get their second win of the season. Joe Flacco threw for 177 yards with one interception while Phillip Lindsay ran for 70 yards with one score. Courtland Sutton caught four passes for 70 yards.

The Broncos are ranked 19th overall with a production of 230.8 yards per game and they are 14th with a total of 118.6 rushing yards per game. Denver is scoring just 18.0 points per game which is 26th in the league and they are allowing their opponents to score 21.2 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

Kansas City is 12-6 SU in their last 18 games played. The Chiefs are 3-0 SU in three road games played this season, 14-5 SU in their last 19 games against AFC opponents and 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against the AFC West Division. The Broncos are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. Denver is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent from the AFC West Division and 3-7 SU in their last 10 October games played. Head to head, the Chiefs have won their last seven meetings against the Broncos.

Patrick Mahomes has been hobbled by an ankle injury although he did throw for three touchdowns against the Texans on Sunday. Tyreek Hill has returned to action for the Chiefs and he amassed 80 yards with two scores on Sunday. On the other hand, wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders didn’t play in the second half of Denver’s win over the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Sanders ranks 2nd in the Broncos’ receiving corps with 307 receiving yards and two touchdowns this season.

The Chiefs have lost two straight games while the Broncos have won two in a row. Kansas City has been comfortable playing against Denver in recent times and after going 0-2 SU in their last two games at home, Kansas City is glad to have Tyreek Hill back. He is going to be a big plus for Mahomes in this game. I’m picking the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Denver Broncos on 10/17/19.

Prediction: Denver Broncos

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Other Bets to Make

The Chiefs are only 3-3 ATS in six games played this season and are 2-1 ATS in three road games played so far this year. The Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played and 2-1 ATS in three home games played this season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played against the AFC Conference. Head to head, the Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played against the Broncos. Kansas City is also 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against Denver.

The Chiefs have outscored the Broncos by an average of only 3.8 points per game in their last 10 games played and 4.67 points per game in their last three meetings. Six out of their last 10 games have been decided by one touchdown or lesser and this one should be no different. Kansas City’s last four games had a winning margin of 4 to 7 points only and they are 2-2 SU in those games. If this spread doesn’t go higher than 4 points, I’m picking the Chiefs.

Prediction: Chiefs -3.5

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The total has gone over in 10 out of the last 14 games played by the Chiefs. Kansas City has seen the total go over in two out of their three road games this season and the over is 7-1 in their last 8 road games overall. The total has gone under in 13 out of the last 15 games played by Denver. The under is 9-1 in the Broncos’ last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone over in four out of the last six games between these two teams.

These teams have combined to score 48.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 51.33 points per game in their last three meetings. The total has been at least 50 in four out of the last six games played between these two teams. Kansas City has gone over the 50-point total four times in six games this season while the Broncos have reached at least 50 points just once this year. The Chiefs have scored only 13 and 24 points in their last two games played and Mahomes has been hobbled by a sore left ankle although he threw for three TDs on Sunday. Denver ranks 7th in total yards allowed and 5th in total passing yards conceded. They are 10th in scoring defense in the NFL but only 6th from the bottom in scoring points. I don’t think the Broncos will cooperate here.

Prediction: Under 50

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