Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Football Team 10/17/2021 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs head to FedEx Field to take on the Washington Football Team on October 17, 2021.

Kansas City is surprisingly struggling this season with a 2-3 record and they are at the bottom of the AFC West division which they are heavily favored to win. In their last game, the Chiefs were blown out at Arrowhead Stadium by Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills 38-20.

Washington suffered early adversity when they lost starter Ryan Fitzpatrick to injury. Backup Taylor Heinicke has done his best but it hasn’t been good enough to produce wins. Washington is also 2-3 on the season and they play at home again after losing to the New Orleans Saints here 33-22 last week.

Kansas City is 1-1 on the road this season while Washington is just 1-2 in three home games played so far.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are off to their worst start in recent years as they have struggled to a 2-3 record. Kansas City’s defense has been the main culprit as they have allowed the most points per game this season at 32.6 and the most yards per play at 7.1. That defense allowed 38 points on 436 yards against the Buffalo Bills last week and the result was a humiliating blowout loss at home.

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for a total of 1,490 passing yards with 16 touchdowns but already has six interceptions on the season. Clyde Edwards Helaire leads the team with 304 rushing yards on 65 carries while Tyreek Hill 37 caught for 517 yards with four TD grabs. However, Hill did not practice last Wednesday due to a quad injury and has been declared as questionable for this game.

Washington Football Team

The Washington Football Team rams second behind Kansas City in points per game allowed at close to 31 points per game. They were right at that average last week as they conceded 33 points on 369 yards to the New Orleans Saints in yet another loss. Their offense also struggled to convert on third down opportunities, going just 4-11 against the Saints.

Taylor Heinicke has thrown for a total of 1,208 passing yards with 8 touchdowns and five interceptions. Antonio Gibson leads their rushing attack with 313 yards on 79 carries with three rushing touchdowns. On the other hand, Terry McLaurin is their best receiver with 400 receiving yards on 29 catches with three touchdown passes caught. Gibson however, did not practice on Wednesday as he is bothered by a shin injury and is also listed as questionable to play in this game. If Gibson is a no-go, it’s going to be a big problem for the Washington offense.

Who Wins

Kansas City is 14-5 SU in their last 19 games played. The Chiefs are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played on the road. Washington is 3-6 SU in their last nine games played. They are 1-5 SU in their last six games played at home.

Head to head, the Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last 10 games played against Washington. Kansas City is also 4-1 SU in their last five road games against Washington.

Sure, the Chiefs are struggling badly but they are still the much better team here. Even if they continue to struggle here, a subpar Kansas City team may still be enough to beat this version of the Washington Football Team.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

Other Bets to Make

Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against an opponent from the AFC East division. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing home record, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after amassing 350 or more yards of offense in their previous game, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites.

Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played overall. The Washington Football team is 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 week 6 games, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on grass, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against an opponent with a losing road record, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss, and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

Head to head, the Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against Washington.

Who imagined that Kansas City would be below the .500 mark after five games? Perhaps not even themselves. That is why, I think that the Chiefs will want to make a statement here, that they are still who the oddsmakers paint them to be.

Despite their struggles, this offense is still averaging 30.8 points per game which is 5th best in the NFL. On the other hand, it’s their defense that needs to shape up as they are allowing a league-high 32.6 points per game.

There is no better game to get their defense going than against a mediocre offensive team like Washington. If this is going to be the case, then having the Chiefs as favorites of less than one touchdown is a steal. Go take it.

Prediction: Chiefs -6.5

The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Chiefs. The over is 4-1 in their last five games after an ATS loss, 4-1in their last five games as betting favorites, 4-1 in their last five games as road favorites, 5-1 in their last six games after a loss of at least 14 points, and 5-1 in their last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous assignment.

The total has gone over in five out of the last six games played by Washington. The over is 4-1 in their last five games after an ATS loss, 4-1 in their last five games played on grass, 5-2 in their last seven games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game, and 2-1 in their three home games played this season.

Head to head, the total has gone over in four out of the last five games between the Chiefs and Washington Football Team.

Taylor Heinicke has thrown four interceptions in his last three games but this is a Kansas City defense that ranks in the bottom 10 in takeaways this season so I think that Washington will have enough scoring opportunities here.

On the other hand, Washington’s defense is even worse, ranking in the Bottom 5 in takeaways and second behind the Chiefs in points allowed at 31.0 points per game. If you add their points allowed total, it’s over 60 points, so that’s how bad these two defenses have been this season. 54.5 points look like peanuts for these two defensive teams.

Prediction: Over 54.5

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