The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Angels open a quick two-game series on Tuesday night at the Angel Stadium.
Tyler Mahle gets the start for the Reds on Tuesday. Mahle has a 2-7 record on the season with an ERA of 4.17 with a total of 80 strikeouts. This will be his first start against the Los Angeles Angels. Jose Iglesias has 70 hits and 30 RBIs to lead the Reds while Joey Votto and Eugenio Suarez have combined for 136 hits and 64 RBIs on the season.
The Reds won six in a row before dropping their last two games. They are 36-40 on the season but the good thing for them is that a lot of teams have almost the same record so it’s not yet over for the Reds. With the trade season coming up, expect movements from management if they fall below the .500 mark.
Andrew Heaney will open on top of the mound for the Angels in Game 1 of this series. Heaney is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. On offense, Mike Trout already has a 56 RBIs on the season while Tommy La Stella and David Fletcher have combined for 72 RBIs on 154 total hits this season.
The Angels lost 9 of 10 games and were just 9-16 in late April. It’s been two months since and Los Angeles is now 39-40 on the season, just one game away from reaching the .500 mark. Mike Trout is batting .358 this month and the Angels have 11 different players hitting at .260 or better.
The Reds are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. Cincinnati is 2-2 SU in their last four games played on the road. The Angels are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games. Los Angeles is 19-18 SU in 37 home games played so far this season. Head to head, the Angels are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles is also 5-1 SU in their last six home games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games following a loss, 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against the Angels, 0-4 in their last four games in Los Angeles and 15-28 in their last 43 games as baseball betting underdogs. The Reds are also 4-15 SU in Mahle’s last 19 starts. On the other hand, the Angels are 8-3 SU in Heaney’s last 11 starts at home, 22-8 SU in their last 30 interleague games played and 3-1-1 SU in Heaney’s last five overall starts.
Mahle’s pitched well at home but not on the road where he has an ERA of 4.80 and a .280 batting average allowed. The Angels are averaging 5.8 runs per game against righties with a .264 batting average. Los Angeles is coming off a home series where they swept the Dodgers ( yes the Dodgers ) so they must be feeling confident especially since this one’s going to be played at their home field. I’m picking the Los Angeles Angels to beat the Cincinnati Reds on 6/25/19.
Cincinnati is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Reds are 3-1 ATS in their last four games played on the road. Los Angeles is also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Angels are 17-20 ATS in 37 home games played so far this season.
Reds
+1.5 (-147)
Angels
-1.5 (+127)
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 6/25/19
The Angels have outscored the Reds by an average of 1.8 runs per game in their last 10 meetings and 4 runs per game in their last three encounters. Nine out of Los Angeles’ last 10 games have been decided by at least two runs while three out of the last four games played by the Reds have been decided by two or more runs. Prediction: Angels -1.5
The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Reds. Cincinnati has seen the total go over in three out of their last four games on the road. The over is 6-3-1 in the Angels’ last 10 games played. Head to head, the over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams but the under is 4-2 in their last six meetings in Los Angeles.
Reds
O 9 -105
Angels
U 9 -115
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 6/25/19
The total has gone under in eight out of the last nine games of Cincinnati against American League teams. The under is also 17-5 in the Reds’ last 22 games against lefties on the road and 28-11-4 in their last 43 interleague games played. The under is 4-1 in the Angels’ last five games against National League teams. The total has gone under in six out of the last eight Tuesday games played by Los Angeles. The over is 3-1-1 in Heaney’s last five starts overall but the under is 10-3-1 in Mahle’s last 14 starts overall.
Mahle has struggled on the road with a 4.83 ERA away from home this season. But those road games have averaged just a total of 6.56 runs per game because he has one of the best bullpens behind him. It’s also worth mentioning that Mahle’s ERA in night games is 3.58. On the other hand, the Reds have averaged just 4.05 runs per game on the road and they are hitting only .225 against southpaw starters away from home. Prediction: Under 9
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