Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers 10/07/19 Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns head to the Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California for a showdown with the San Francisco 49ers on Monday, October 7, 2019.

Plenty Of Hype

The Browns entered the season with plenty of hype after Baker Mayfield’s impressive rookie season and the arrival of Odell Beckham Jr. during the offseason. But after four games played, the Browns are just 2-2 after looking lost early on. However, the Browns looked good last week when they produced a 40-25 win over the Baltimore Ravens.

The Browns outgained the Ravens 530-395 and forced Baltimore into committing three turnovers in the game. Mayfield completed 20 out of 30 passes for 342 yards with one touchdown. Running back Nick Chubb rushed for 165 yards on 20 carries with three touchdowns. The Cleveland offensive line allowed 13 sacks in the first three games of the season but against the Ravens, Mayfield was only hit one time and sacked only once.

The San Francisco 49ers are the only undefeated team in the NFC right now and they had a bye last week. The last time out, San Francisco survived five turnovers in a 24-20 home win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jimmy Garoppolo went 23-32 for 277 yards with one touchdown while Raheem Mostart rushed for 79 yards on the ground.

The Niners dominated the Steelers 26-11 in first downs gained and outgained Pittsburgh by almost 200 total yards while converting 6 of 11 third downs. San Francisco is averaging 32 points per game this season but more than their offense, it’s going to be their defense that will beat the Browns. The 49ers have the 5th best rush defense and the 7th best passing defense in the NFL this season and if that pass rush, which has produced nine sacks in three games, can get to Mayfield then San Francisco is in good shape here.

Who Wins?

The Browns are 2-2 SU this season and are 2-0 SU in two road games played so far. Cleveland is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against the NFC West Division and 1-15 SU in their last 16 games played in October. San Francisco is 5-2 SU in their last seven games played and have won their lone home game this season. The 49ers are 0-14 SU in their last 14 games played in October and 1-4 SU in their last five week 5 games. Head to head, the Browns are 3-1 SU in their last four meetings.

Browns wide receiver Jarvis Landry suffered a concussion in last week’s win and is questionable for Monday. San Francisco RB Tevin Coleman has not played since week one with an ankle injury but is expected to play in this encounter. The Browns are a tempting pick at plus money but San Francisco has the better offensive line and I believe they are better-coached. I like the home team to win by a touchdown. Prediction: San Francisco 49ers

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Other Bets To Make

Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played as NFL betting underdogs and the Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played on the road. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the AFC conference and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. Head to head, the Browns are 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings.

Cleveland’s offensive line and rush defense are going to make it difficult for them to win this matchup. The Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after an ATS win but are 4-0 ATS in their last four games on the road. The 49ers 2-1 ATS this season after their turnover party against the Steelers prevented them from covering the spread. Cleveland hasn’t played a team with San Francisco’s kind of defense. That will be another factor here. I’m picking the 49ers to cover this reasonable 3.5 point spread. Prediction: 49ers -3.5

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The total has gone under in each out of the last five games played by the Cleveland Browns. The total has gone under in five out of the last seven games played by the 49ers at home. The under is 10-4 in San Francisco’s last 14 games played against the AFC North Division. Head to head, the under is 4-0 in the last four games between these two teams.

These teams have combined to score just 29 points per game in their last four meetings. The total has gone under in Cleveland’s last five night games. The 49ers own the fifth best defense against the rush and the 7th best defense against the pass. San Francisco has not allowed more than 20 points in a game this season. Cleveland is averaging 22.25 points per game. I don’t think these teams are going to top 46 on Monday night. Prediction: Under 46.5

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