Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants 09/26/2022 MLB Odds, Preview, and Prediction

Two familiar rivals face off on Monday night at the MetLife Stadium in New York as the Dallas Cowboys visit the New York Giants.

Monday’s meeting however isn’t the usual matchup between these two teams. The Cowboys have beaten the Giants in nine out of their last 10 head-to-head meetings. But after two weeks, it is New York that is tied with the Philadelphia Eagles on top of the NFC East Division team standings with a 2-0 SU record. Meanwhile, the Cowboys got on board with a win last week and are now 1-1 SU.

Cooper Rush will start once again for Dallas after giving the Cowboys their first win of the season last weekend. Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley hopes to continue his strong start as the Giants look to open with a 3-0 SU record for the first time since 2009.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys entered the 2022 season with a 10.5 over/under win total. But expectations went down after they lost 19-3 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with starting QB Dak Prescott suffering an injury that will sideline him until at least early October. Last week, Cooper Rush got the start for the Cowboys and he led the team to a 20-17 upset win over the Cincinnati Bengals as seven-point underdogs.

Dallas outgained Cincinnati 337-254 in total yards with both teams producing 19 first downs. Rush passed for 235 yards with one touchdown while Tony Pollard rushed for 43 yards on 9 carries and Ezekiel Elliott added 53 yards on 5 attempts. The Dallas defense sacked Joe Burrow six times for a loss of 34 yards with Micah Parsons and Dorance Armstrong leading the team with two sacks apiece.

New York Giants

The Giants finished their 2021 campaign with six straight losses and a 4-13 record. However, the team is 2-0 to start the year with a 21-20 road win over the Tennessee Titans in Week 1. They made a huge two-point conversion late in the game and the Titans missed a 47-yard field goal to steal the game. The Giants carried the momentum last week and defeated the Carolina Panthers 19-16 as one-point underdogs.

The Giants rank 5th in rushing yards at 170.5 per game this season but are just 31st in passing at 159 yards per game. Their defense is 10th best at 197.5 yards allowed per game. Daniel Jones has three TD passes and 1 interception but is ranked 31st among starting QBs with a QBR of 30.4. Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley leads all running backs with 236 rushing yards and is averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

Who Wins?

The Cowboys have won 9 out of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. Dallas is also 4-1 SU in their last five meetings in New York.

The Cowboys are:

• 13-6 SU in their last 19 games played.

• 6-0 SU in their last six games against the NFC East Division.

• 14-3 SU in their last 17 Week 3 games played.

The Giants are:

• 2-6 SU in their last 8 games played.

• 1-5 SU in their last six games against the NFC East Division.

• 5-14 SU in their last 19 games played in September.

Things looked better for the Cowboys last week after a forgettable opening week performance. Cooper Rush threw for 235 yards with one touchdown pass as Dallas stunned last season’s Super Bowl finalist Cincinnati Bengals 20-17 on a last-second field goal made. With the win, Rush improves to 2-0 SU as the Dallas Cowboys starting quarterback.

Monday’s game will be Dallas’ first on the road and the first of back-to-back divisional games for Mike McCarthy’s boys. Historically, the Cowboys are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played on the road and Dallas is a spotless 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six games against opponents from the NFC East Division. The Cowboys beat the Giants in their two meetings last season via a combined 65-26 score. But then again, Dallas will be without Dak Prescott on Monday.

Meanwhile, the Giants are in unfamiliar territory as they are undefeated after two weeks. New York is looking to open the season with three straight wins for the first time since 2009. The Brian Daboll era is off to a great start as the Giants are tied with the Eagles on top of the division and are one of only six remaining unbeaten teams in the entire league. However, it hasn’t been easy as the Giants have won their first two games via an aggregate winning margin of four points.

Daniel Jones has not looked great so far but he has done enough to help his team pick up the wins, including 176 passing yards and one passing TD against Carolina. On the other hand, Saquon Barkley continued to bounce back from a poor 2021 season. His 236 rushing yards after two weeks lead all NFL running backs.

Without Dak, Dallas will try to pound the run game. The Giants allowed 146 rushing yards and 6.3 yards per carry the last time out so there is obviously an opportunity there for the Cowboys. On the other hand, the key for the Giants will be protecting Daniel Jones who is the third most-sacked QB in the NFL after two weeks. If the Giants can keep Micah Parsons of Jones, the Giants’ QB should have a good game here.

I think this will be a close contest and both teams showed they can win those types of games last week. However, I think that the Giants’ offense will be better with Barkley and Jones. There’s a chance that Dallas is going to find success on the ground but I trust Jones more than Rush.

Prediction: New York Giants

Cowboys vs Giants ATS Prediction

The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Giants. Dallas is also 4-1 AT in their last five games played at MetLife Stadium. However, the favorite is also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games played between these two division rivals.

The Cowboys are:

• 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall.

• 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

• 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

• 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. NFC.

• 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC East.

• 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

• 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on field turf.

• 6-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

• 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Giants are:

• 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

• 0-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games.

• 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as betting favorites.

• 13-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.

• 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

• 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Rush completed 19 of 31 passes for 235 yards and one touchdown without an interception. He is 2-0 as a starter after passing for 325 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while leading the Cowboys to a win over well, the Vikings too.

On the other side of the field, Daniel Jones has looked mediocre with 364 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, and one interception after two games played. However, we’ve seen Jones do better before and if the Giants protect him better on Monday, he’s going to do better. Saquon Barkley leads all NFL running backs with 236 rushing yards after two weeks. He should help open things up for Jone in this game.

OK, so Rush may have the better weapons around him. But although he is 2-0 as a starter, both wins have been against only one team the Vikings. Meanwhile, Jones is the more proven starter who isn’t off to a good start this year. Between Rush’s unproven record and Jones’ struggles, I’ll take the latter in this 50-50 game.

Prediction: Giants -1

Cowboys vs Giants Over/Under 

The total has gone over in five out of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The under is 4-2 in their last six games played in New York.

Dallas Cowboys over/under trends:

• Under is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 games overall.

• Under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 6 road games.

• Under is 4-0 in the Cowboys’ last 4 games on field turf.

• Under is 8-1 in the Cowboys’ last 9 games following an ATS win.

• Under is 8-1 in the Cowboys’ last 9 games following a straight-up win.

• Under is 8-2 in the Cowboys’ last 10 versus NFC.

• Under is 17-5 in the Cowboys’ last 22 road games opposite a team with a winning home record.

• Under is 8-3 in the Cowboys’ last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Over is 15-7 in the Cowboys’ last 22 against NFC East.

New York Giants over/under trends:

• Under is 21-5-1 in the Giants’ last 27 games overall.

• Under is 19-7-1 in the Giants’ last 27 home games.

• Under is 4-0 in the Giants’ last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• Under is 11-1 in the Giants’ last 12 games following an ATS win.

• Under is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 Monday games.

• Under is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 games in September.

• Under is 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 versus NFC.

• Under is 22-8 in the Giants’ last 30 games following a straight-up win.

• Under is 8-3 in the Giants’ last 11 against NFC East.

• Under is 18-7-1 in the Giants’ last 26 games on field turf.

• Over is 7-1 in the Giants’ last 8 weeks 3 games played.

The Dallas offense is ranked 31st in the NFL in scoring at 11.5 points per game this season. They are without Dak Prescott and going with an unproven starter in Cooper Rush. Ezekiel Elliott is averaging just 13 carries and 50 rushing yards per game, while not finding the endzone yet this year. That kind of offensive production isn’t going to cut it out in the long run for the Cowboys.

New York isn’t a high-scoring team either as the Giants are putting up just 20 points per game in two games played this season. Daniel Jones hasn’t been impressive to start the year. Instead, it has been Saquon Barkley who is off to a great start. If the Giant will ride Barkley’s rushing game, this should be a low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Under 39

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