The Dallas Cowboys head to the MetLife Stadium on November 4, 2019, for their second matchup against the New York Giants this season. The Cowboys blasted the Giants 35-17 in their week 1 meeting. This will be the 115th time these rivals will play each other and the Cowboys lead the series 67-45-2.
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Healthy and Rested
The Dallas Cowboys snapped out of a three-game losing streak when they defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 37-10 in Week 7. The Cowboys had a bye last week and they head to New York healthy and rested for this encounter with the Giants. Dallas is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after a bye week.
Dak Prescott has thrown for 2,123 yards with 12 touchdowns and is completing 70% of his passes. Amari Cooper has 621 receiving yards and five touchdowns while All-Pro running back Ezekiel Elliott has a total of 602 rushing yards with six touchdowns. Veteran tight end Jason Witten has caught 263 yards with a pair of touchdown catches.
The Cowboys are the #3 passing team in the NFL at 291.9 passing yards per game. Dallas is ranked 4th on the ground with an average of 146.0 rushing yards per contest. The Cowboys score an average of 27.1 points per game while allowing their opponents to score 17.7 points per outing.
Giants Regressing
After Daniel Jones won his first two NFL starts, the New York Giants have lost four straight games. Jones took over from Eli Manning after two games played this season and it looked promising at first. However, the New York defense has struggled to help the offense and the Giants are now regressing to the team we expected them to be at the start of the season.
Jones did pass for 322 yards and score four touchdowns in their last game but it was against the Lions who own the worst passing defense in the league. Before that game, Jones was throwing an average of 197.8 yards with four total touchdowns and seven interceptions in his previous four starts.
New York ranks 17th in the league with an average of 231.4 passing yards per game. They are also 17th with 102.4 rushing yards per contest. The Giants are scoring 19.8 points per game this season, 22nd in the NFL. However, they are allowing their opponents to score an average of 27.4 points per game.
Who Wins?
Dallas is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games played. The Cowboys are 1-2 SU in three road games this season and 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against the NFC Conference. New York is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games played. The Giants are 1-3 SU in their four home games played this season. Head to head, the Cowboys are 5-0 SU in their last five games played against the Giants and 5-2 SU in their last seven road games in New York.
When they played the Eagles before taking a bye week, the Cowboys were healthier than they were when they lost three in a row. Defensive end Robert Quinn is questionable with a rib injury but late last week, the Cowboys sent a 7th round pick to New England for defensive end Michael Bennett.
Dallas rushed for 189 yards against Philly and Ezekiel Elliott should have an easier time with a 22nd ranked Giants rush defense. On defense, the Cowboys forced 4 turnovers in that game and they should be a problem for a New York team that leads the league in turnovers.
The Giants are starting to regress as they have lost four in a row. Their defense allows the 8th most passing yards per game and opposing quarterbacks are completing 70% of their passes against the New York defense. On the other hand, Dallas is 9th best in pass defense which should provide trouble for Daniel Jones. Saquon Barkley is averaging just 3.7 yards per rush since returning from injury while Sterling Shepard is still questionable due to a concussion.
Dallas is healthier and New York is struggling right now. I think that the Cowboys will get enough stops on defense and convert them to points on the other end. We’ll see the Dallas offense go to work here, both on the ground and in the air. Daniel Jones is going get the Giants points but it won’t be enough to beat Dallas.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys
Other Bets to Make
Dallas is 4-3 ATS in seven games played this season and 1-2 ATS in three road games played so far. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC East Division and 5-1 ATS in their last six November games. New York is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games played and 1-3 ATS in their four home games this season. The Giants are 4-2 ATS in their last six Monday games and 2-4 ATS in their last six games as NFL betting underdogs.
Cowboys
-7 (-110)
Giants
+7 (-110)
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/01/19
The Cowboys have outscored the Giants by 8.33 points per game in their last three meetings and 5.5 points per game in their last 10 games played. The Cowboys aren’t a standout on the road but they are taking on a New York defense which doesn’t play well anywhere. Dallas is rested and healthy. They should have more than enough on offense to get the win and cover the spread here. The Dallas defense should help them win this game by double digits.
Prediction: Cowboys -7
The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by Dallas. The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games played on the road. The total has gone under in all of the four home games played by the Giants this season. New York has seen the total go over in eight out of their last 12 games played against the NFC Conference. Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Cowboys and Giants.
Over
48 (-110)
Under
48 (-110)
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/01/19
These teams have combined to score 43.3 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 52.0 points per game in their last three encounters. Dallas has seen the total go over 48 twice in their last five games played while New York has reached at least a total of 48 points in four out of their last six games played. The Giants may be struggling on defense but they are a team that can score points. I expect Jones to pick up enough points for the Giants so that they can help the score go over the total.
Prediction: Over 48