Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots 11/24/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

An inter-conference matchup takes place at the Gillette Stadium on Sunday when the Dallas Cowboys visits the New England Patriots.

These two division leaders head to Foxboro coming from road victories last week. Dallas traveled to Detroit to beat the Lions and improve to 6-4 SU on the season. Meanwhile, the Patriots went to Philadelphia to shoot down the Eagles to improve to 9-1 SU on the season. With their rivals breathing heavily behind their backs, both teams are looking for a win that will tighten their hold of the division lead.

NFC East Leaders

The Dallas Cowboys are just 6-4 SU on the season but that is enough to give them the divisional lead in the NFC East. The Cowboys were 4-0 in divisional play before suffering a home loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Dallas piled up 509 of total offense to beat the Matthew Stafford-less Detroit Lions 35-27 in Detroit.

Dak Prescott has passed for a total of 3,221 yards this season with 21 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott is their leading rusher with 833 yards and 7 rushing touchdowns on 139 carries. Amari Cooper has caught a total of 886 yards with seven touchdowns in 56 catches.

The Cowboys are the top passing team in the NFL with an average of 312.7 passing yards per game. Dallas is 7th in rushing at 131.9 yards per game and they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 28.6 points per game. The Cowboys are allowing their opponents to score an average of 19.7 points per game this season.

AFC East Pace-Setters

The New England Patriots are the AFC East division pace-setters. The Patriots continue to roll with their 9-1 SU record. New England is two games up in their division and they also hold a one-game lead over the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Conference. The Patriots came from behind to beat the Philadelphia Eagles 17-10 last week.

Tom Brady has thrown a total of 2,752 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Sony Michel has rushed for a total of 515 yards with 6 touchdowns on 154 carries. Julian Edelman leads New England with a total of 716 receiving yards with four touchdown catches.

New England ranks 4th in the league in scoring at 28.5 points per game. They are tied for 7th place in passing with their 268.9 yards per game. The Patriots are ranked 24th with an average of 91.0 rushing yards per game. The New England defense is the best in the NFL with only 10.8 points per game allowed this season.

Who Wins?

Dallas is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games played. The Cowboys are 3-2 SU in five road games played this season, 2-4 SU in their last six games against the AFC Conference, and 2-4 SU in their last six games against the AFC East Division. New England is 14-1 SU in their last 15 games played. The Patriots are 4-0 SU in four home games played this season, and are 20-0 SU in their last 20 home games. Head to head, the Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Cowboys. New England is the NFL betting favorite to beat Dallas in this contest.

The Cowboys are coming off a 35-37 win over the Lions who were without starter Matthew Stafford. Dallas has gotten their way with the mediocre to bad teams in the league but they haven’t proven that they can beat the top-level competition. New England should be a big test for them.

The Patriots’ offense has been held to 20 points or fewer in three out of their last seven games and they scored just 17 points and gained 298 yards against the Eagles last week. The Patriots’ run game has also struggled, averaging just 74 yards per game in the last two weeks.

The defense has been the star of the season for New England and it has come up big each time their offense has coughed up. The Patriots are near-invincible at Foxboro and they also have a much better defense than the Cowboys. I like Tom Brady and company to get the job done at home.

Prediction: New England Patriots

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Other Bets to Make

The Cowboys are 6-4 ATS in 10 games played this season and 3-2 ATS in five road games played so far. Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last seven November games played. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played and 3-1 ATS in four home games played this season. New England is 7-2 ATS in their last nine Week 12 games played. Head to head, the Patriots are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Cowboys.

The Patriots have outscored the Cowboys by an average of 11.37 points per game in their last 10 games played and 16.33 points per game in their most recent three encounters. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS this season in games against teams with a winning percentage below .500. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last six games against opponents with a winning record. This Cowboys team has beaten the mediocre teams but is unproven against the elites. I’ll pick the Pats to win by at least a touchdown here.

Prediction: Patriots -6.5

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The total has gone over in five out of the last six games played by Dallas. The over is 6-1 in the Cowboys’ last seven road games. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 11 games played by New England. The Patriots have seen the total go under in four out of their last five November games played. Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of the last eight games between the Cowboys and Patriots.

These teams have combined to score an average of 32.67 points per game in their last 10 head to head meetings and 49.0 points per game in their most recent three games played. The New England offense has sputtered in their last two games played, averaging just 17.5 points per game during that period. Dorsett may miss the game with a head injury and the New England receiving corps is thin. Their defense though is still the best in the business at only 10.8 points per game allowed. Look for the defense to win it again for the Pats.

Prediction: Under 45

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