Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings 11/20/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Dallas Cowboys test the red hot Minnesota Vikings on Sunday at the U.S. Bank Stadium.

Dallas lost to Green Bay the last time out and the Cowboys are 6-3 SU on the season, 3rd in the competitive NFC East, behind the 8-1 Eagles and 7-2 Jets. They are just 2-2 SU in their last four games played and 2-2 SU on the road this season.

Minnesota is riding high on a 7-game winning streak and they have not lost since dropping a 24-7 game to the Eagles in Week 2. The Vikings are way ahead in the NFC North team standings with the 4-6 Packers at second place. Minnesota is 4-0 SU at home this season.

Despite their impressive mark, the Vikings are underdogs in this pick’em contest.

These teams have split their last 10 meetings but the Cowboys have won two out of their last three encounters, including a 20-16 win in Minnesota in their last head-to-head meeting last October 31, 2021.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys did well in their first five games, going 4-1 SU during that stretch with wins over the Cincinnati Bengals, New York Giants, Washington Commanders, and Los Angeles Rams. However, they have been just 2-2 since then with victories over the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears, while losing to the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers.

Dallas ranks 26th in passing offense at 198.6 yards per game but are 8th in rush offense at 134.6 yards per contest. They are 11th in the NFL in scoring at 23.4 points per game and are allowing 18.2 points per game, 5th best in the league.

Dak Prescott has thrown 1,020 passing yards with 5 TDs and 3 INTs. Tony Pollard leads the Cowboys with 621 rushing yards on 103 carries with 6 rush TDs. CeeDee Lamb has 706 receiving yads on 53 catches with 5 TD grabs to lead the team. Micah Parsons has 8 sacks and 43 tackles while Trevon Diggs has three INTs.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings beat the Packers in their season opener and then lost to the Philadelphia Eagles 24-7. Since then, they have beaten the Detroit Lions, New Orleans Saints, Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Commanders, and Buffalo Bills during that stretch.

Minnesota is the 7th best passing team in the NFL at 248.8 yads per game. They are 23rd in rush offense at 107.0 yards per game. The Vikings are 8th overall in scoring at 25.1 points per game this season. Minnesota is 14th in scoring defense at 21.2 points per game allowed.

Kirk Cousins has passed for 2,356 yards with 14 touchdown and a 48.6 QBR. Dalvin Cook leads the Vikings in rushing with 727 yards on 145 carries with 6 touchdowns. Meanwhile, Justin Jefferson is the team leader with 1,060 receiving yards with 4 TD grabs on 69 catches. Za’Darius Smith has 9.5 sacks to lead Minnesota while Harrison Smith has 4 INTs.

Cowboys vs Vikings SU Prediction

The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played against the Vikings. Dallas is 3-1 SU in their last 4 games played in Minnesota.

Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb caught a season-high 11 passes for 150 receiving yards with two touchdowns while running back Tony Pollard had 115 rushing yards on 22 carries and another score. Pollard filled in nicely once again for Ezekiel Elliott who didn’t play last Sunday due to a knee injury.

However, Dak Prescott threw two costly interceptions and failed to convert on a 4th down play in OT that gave the Packers possession and the drive that eventually led to the game-winning field goal. Prescott played well overall but his inconsistent play cost them the win. If Dallas wants to beat Minnesota, Prescott has to be more consistent.

Minnesota became a bigger underdog last weekend when it was announced that Josh Allen would play for the Bills. But the Vikings showed plenty of heart and determination when it made a comeback. Justin Jefferson made one of the biggest catches of the 2022 season when he caught a pass off 4th-and-18 at the Vikings’ own 27-year line just after the two-minute warning.

Minnesota later scored on a short fumble return touchdown after failing on a 4th-and-1 play on the goal line to make the score 30-27 in their favor. They ended up winning after scoring on a field goal and after Josh Allen threw a pick.

Defensively, the Cowboys are the better team here. With Elliott possibly returning this weekend, Dallas will have two threats on its backfield. That should ease some pressure off Dak Prescott and the passing attack.

However, the Vikings are playing very well with Kevin O’Connell as head coach. O’Connell is one of the contenders to win Coach of the Year honors and the Vikings are one of the big surprises of the season. I think that Minnesota is the tougher team here and in a close game, that mental toughness could be the difference.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings

Cowboys vs Vikings ATS Prediction

The The Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played against the Vikings. Dallas is also 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Dallas Cowboys ATS trends:

• The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

• The Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.

• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

• The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.

• The Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 against the NFC.

• The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.

• The Cowboys are 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

• The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

• The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Minnesota Vikings ATS trends:

• The Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

• The Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

• The Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

• The Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

• The Vikings are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

• The Vikings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Vikings are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11.

• The Vikings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 against the NFC.

This came could go either way, really, so I won’t blame you if you go with the Cowboys. The Vikings are on a 7-game winning streak and the law of averages could be catching up with them.

However, Minnesota is playing better and their offense has scored at least 20 points during its current winning run. Dallas is a good defensive team but remember that the Vikings put up 481 yards against the Bills, including 147 on the ground.

Dallas meanwhile totaled 421 yards and 24 first downs the last time out. However, they also picked up 9 penalties, 2 interceptions, and were 5-15 on third down tries. This should be a competitive game. I’ll take the plus point here and go with the home team.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings +1

Cowboys vs Vikings Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played between these two teams. The under is 4-3 in the last 7 games played in Minnesota.

Dallas Cowboys over/under trends:

• The under is 14-6-1 in the Cowboys’ last 21 games overall.
  The over is 3-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 road games.

• The over is 6-2 in the Cowboys’ last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The under is 7-1 in the Cowboys’ last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The under is 6-1 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The under is 12-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 16 games on fieldturf.

• The under is 11-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys’ last 8 games in Week 11.

• The under is 18-7-1 in the Cowboys’ last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record.

• The under is 5-2 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

• The under is 5-2 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games following a straight up loss.

• The under is 9-4 in the Cowboys’ last 13 games following a ATS loss.

• Theunder is 11-5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 17 versus the NFC.

Minnesota Vikings over/under trends:

• The over is 5-2 in the Vikings’ last 7 games overall.

• The over is 7-1 in the Vikings’ last 8 home games.

• The over is 4-0 in the Vikings’ last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The over is 4-0 in the Vikings’ last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The over is 4-0 in the Vikings’ last 4 games in Week 11.

• The over is 8-1 in the Vikings’ last 9 games on fieldturf.

• The over is 4-1 in the Vikings’ last 5 vs. NFC.

• The over is 11-3 in the Vikings’ last 14 games in November.

• The over is 6-2 in the Vikings’ last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The over is 5-2 in the Vikings’ last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The over is 5-2 in the Vikings’ last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• The under is 50-20 in the Vikings’ last 70 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

These teams have combined to score 44+ points in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 49 points per game in their most recent three encounters.

Minnesota is the 8th highest-scoring team in the NFL at 25.1 points per game and are conceding 21.2 per outing. The Cowboys are 11th in the league in scoring at 23.4 points per game. They have scored an average of 33.67 points per game in their last three games played.

I expect Dak Prescott to have a better performance on Sunday and the Dallas offense will go toe-to-toe with the Vikings here. This should be a high-scoring game.

Prediction: Over 47.5

Place Your Bets Now!