Dayton vs VCU 02/18/20 NCAA Basketball Betting Odds and Preview

The VCU Rams host the Dayton Flyers in Atlantic 10 action on Tuesday night at the Stuart Siegel Center.

Dayton defeated VCU 79-65, in their first meeting of the season last January 14, 2020. The Flyers are the top team in the Atlantic 10 conference with an unbeaten 12-0 SU record. The Rams are tied for 6th place in the Atlantic 10 with a conference record of 7-5 SU. VCU is currently five games off Dayton’s pace and they are 13-2 SU at home this season.

9th Best Scoring Team

The Dayton Flyers are 23-2 SU on the season and they are currently the top team in the Atlantic 10 conference with an undefeated conference record of 12-0 SU. The Flyers have picked up 14 consecutive wins and they are coming off a 71-63 win over UMass in their last outing.

Obi Toppin leads the Flyers with 19.7 points, and 7.8 rebounds per game while shooting 63% from the field. The 6-9 Sophomore is a very probable Top 10 pick in the 2020 NBA Draft. Jalen Crutcher leads the team in passing at 5.1 assists per game while scoring 14.8 points per contest. Trey Landers is also contributing 10.8 points and 6.2 boards grabbed per contest.

Dayton is the 9th best scoring team in the nation at 81.2 points per game on the year. They are also the 4th best passing team overall at 18.2 assists per contest. The Flyers are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game and are allowing their opponents to score an average of 65.6 points per game.

The VCU Rams are 17-8 on the season and they are five games behind Dayton in the conference standings at 6th place with a record of 7-5. The Rams head to this game with three losses in their last four games and have lost back to back games. VCU lost to Richmond, 59-77 last Saturday.

Marcus Santos-Silva leads the team in scoring at 12.7 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. Silva scored 14 points and 12 rebounds in the loss to Richmond. Issac Vann added 10 points while Vince Williams pulled down 10 boards for the Rams who fell behind by 18 points at the half and never recovered.

The Rams are ranked 54th in college basketball in scoring defense at 64.3 points per game allowed. They are scoring an average of 72.0 points per game on the year while shooting at a 35.7% clip. VCU is averaging 34.1 rebounds per game and they are averaging 13.4 assists per contest.

Who Wins?

Dayton is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played. The Flyers are 6-0 SU in their last six games played on the road. VCU is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Rams are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games played at home. Head to head VCU is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against Dayton. The Rams are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against the Flyers.

The Flyers head to this game on a roll as Dayton has won 14 straight games. They have not lost since December 21st when they fell to Colorado 76-78 and their two losses this season were overtime defeats. 17 out of their 23 wins this season have been by double digits but this is a team that has the 104th strongest schedule in the nation.

VCU is on the bubble right now when it comes to making the NCAA Tournament. Unless they run through the table during the conference tournament, they will have to finish strong to put themselves in a position to make the big dance. They are struggling right now with three losses in their last four games.

When you compare these teams, both are good defensive teams and VCU may even be the better defensive squad. However, when it comes to scoring points, it’s a no-contest with Dayton being a Top 10 scoring team in the nation this season at over 80 points per game on the year. I think Dayton’s offense will be too much here.

Prediction: Dayton Flyers

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Other Bets to Make

The Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. Dayton is 2-4 ATS in their last six road games, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games played against the Atlantic 10 Conference. The Rams are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games played. VCU is 6-9 ATS in 15 home games played this season, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 February games, and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 Tuesday games. Head to head, the Rams are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Flyers.

VCU has struggled to cover the spread in their last 20 outings. They are also just 0-6 ATS in their last six games as the betting underdog. The Rams have lost three out of their last four assignments while the Flyers have won 14 games in a row heading to this contest. On defense, VCU may be the better team but not by much. But Dayton is so much better in offense and I don’t think that the Rams can match them in that department.

Prediction: Dayton -3

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The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by Dayton. The over is 4-2 in the Flyers’ last six road games played. The total has gone over in six out of the last nine games played by VCU. The over is 3-1-1 in the last five home games played by the Rams, and the over is 6-3 in their last nine games played against the Atlantic 10 conference. Head to head, the total has gone over in nine out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Dayton has averaged a total of 145 points in their road games this season while VCU has scored an average of 73 points per game in their conference home games. In their first meeting of the season, Dayton put up 79 points and these teams combined to score 144. Historically, the last eight meetings between these teams have hit the over and they have combined to score an average of 147.9 points per game in their last 10 encounters.

Prediction: Over 143

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