Picks

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers 9/22/19 NFL Betting Odds

The Denver Broncos travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers on September 22, 2019.

The Denver Broncos have started the season with an 0-2 record. Denver lost to the Oakland Raiders 16-24 in Week one and then last weekend, they suffered a heart-breaking 14-16 defeat at the hands of the Chicago Bears, losing via a last-second field goal in what was one of the craziest finishes we’ve seen in recent seasons.

Eddy Pineiro connected on a 53-yard field goal after the Broncos had taken the lead on a two-point conversion called by Denver coach Vic Fangio, who happened to be the Bears’ former defensive coordinator. Joe Flacco converted 35 out of 50 passes for 292 yards with one touchdown and one interception while Royce Freeman had 11 carries and 54 rushing yards. Meanwhile, Emmanuel Sanders caught 11 passes, including Flacco’s only  TD of the gane, while totalling 98 receiving yards.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Broncos

+295

Packers

-355

Odds were taken from Betonline.ag as of 9/17/19

The Green Bay Packers meanwhile are 2-0 on the season. Green Bay defeated Chicago 10-3 on opening week and they followed that up with a 21-16 win over the Minnesota Vikings in week 2. While Aaron Rodgers watched his defense win the game against the Bears, he connected on two early touchdowns as the Packers held on to an early lead to beat the Vikings.

Rodgers completed nine out of his first 10 passes for a total of 134 yards with two touchdowns. The Packers’ star QB had a perfect 158.3 quarterback rating in the first period in a  game where the franchise honored Hall of Famer Bart Starr at the half. Rodgers finished 22-34 passing for 209 yards but it was enough to give Green Bay a 2-0 start. Aaron Jones had 23 carries for 116 yards with one score. Devonte Adams had seven catches for 106 receiving yards.

Who Wins?

The Broncos are 0-6 SU in their last six games played. Denver is also 2-6 SU in their last eight games against the NFC Conference and 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the NFC North Division. The Packers are 4-2 SU in their last six games played and 13-2 SU in their last 15 games against the AFC West Division. Green Bay is also 13-3-1 SU in their last 17 games played in September. Head to head, the Packers are 4-3 SU in their last seven meetings against the Broncos.

The Broncos aren’t going to forget their week 2 loss anytime soon. The final minutes of that game was pretty emotional and also devastating for them. You know they want to bounce back badly from that defeat. However, Lambeau Field isn’t the perfect venue to regain their footing and the Broncos are NFL betting underdogs here. The Packers offense had a slow start but had looked good in Week 2. Aaron Rodgers has led them in too many battles. This is just one of them. Look for the home team to win here. Prediction: Green Bay Packers

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Other Bets To Make

Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in their last six games played and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the AFC conference. Head to head, the Packers are 4-3 ATS in their last seven games against the Broncos. Green Bay though is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against Denver.

What are the Spread Odds?

Broncos

+7.5 (-105)

Packers

-7.5 (-115)

Odds were taken from Mybookie.ag as of 9/17/19

The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in September but are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven week 3 games. However, the Broncos are only 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games and just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games played in September. I think this will be a competitive game but with Aaron Rodgers on the other side, I think the Broncos have enough to cover the spread in this game. Prediction: Packers -7.5

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The total has gone under in each of the last 10 games played by the Broncos. The under is also 6-0 in Denver’s last six games played on the road. The total has also gone under in four out of the last five September games played by Denver. The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Packers. The under is also 4-1 in Green Bay’s last five games played at home. Head to head, the under is 2-1 in the last three meetings between these two teams.

What are the Totals Odds?

Broncos

O 43 -110

Packers

U 43 -110

Odds were taken from Mybookie.ag as of 9/17/19

These teams have combined for over 45 points per game in their last seven meetings and over 47 points per game in their last three meetings. The over is also 4-0 in the Packers’ last four week 3 games played. The trends point to under and historically, these teams have combined to scored below 43 points in four out of the last five meetings. Denver has scored 14 and 16 in their first two games of the season. I think this is going to go under 43. Prediction: Under 43

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Chris Blain

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