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The top two teams in the NL West division collide on Tuesday in Game 1 of a three-game series at Oracle Park.
The Dodgers are currently in second place in the NL West with their 61-40 record. Los Angeles is currently two games behind the league-leading Giants who are currently at 62-37. Los Angeles is coming off twin wins over the Colorado Rockies while the Giants lost two of three at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
These teams have met 13 times this season with the Dodgers leading the season series 7-6.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have lost three out of their last five games but head to this road game coming off back-to-back wins over the Colorado Rockies. Los Angeles pitching was excellent in their last game as it allowed only two runs on six hits. The Dodgers are currently two games behind the Giants in the NL West division team standings and they can make ground with wins in this series.
Julio Urias will open on top of the mound for the Dodgers. Urias has a fantastic start to the 2021 season as he has posted a record of 12-3 with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.06 in 17 starts. The 24-year old Mexican has pitched a total of 119 innings and has struck out 127 hitters while walking only 25.
Los Angeles struggled at the plate in their previous series with the Giants. They were also held to only four total runs in their last two games against the Colorado Rockies. Injuries continue to hound the Dodgers with Mookie Betts joining Cory Seager in the 10-day injured list. Cody Bellinger has also been banged up all season long.
San Francisco Giants
The Giants avoided getting swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates in their previous series with a 6-1 win on Sunday. Pittsburgh won the first two games of the series by an aggregate score of 16-6 but San Francisco bounced back with a strong effort to keep their lead over the Dodgers in the NL West.
Logan Webb will be the starter for San Francisco in this game. Webb has appeared in 13 games with 12 starts and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.25. The 24-year old right-hander has pitched in a total of 61 innings and has 65 strikeouts and 21 walks.
San Francisco has struggled against left-handed pitchers this season as compared to right-handers. Despite that, they have a batting average of .241 and an OPS of .741 in such situations.
Who Wins?
Los Angeles is 73-32 in their last 105 games after a win. The Dodgers are 65-29 in their last 94 games as road favorites, 66-30 in their last 96 games against the National League West, 131-64 in their last 195 games as betting favorites, 109-53 in their last 162 games against a right-handed starter, and 42-19 in their last 61 Game 1 of a series.
San Francisco is 6-1 in their last seven games against the National League West. The Giants are 13-3 in their last 13 games after an off day, 4-1 in their last five games as underdogs, 20-7 in their last 27 Game 1 of a series, 20-8 in their last 28 games when scoring five or more runs in their previous game, and 5-2 in their last seven games at home.
Los Angeles has won their last five games played in San Francisco and is 10-1 in their last 11 meetings there.
The Dodgers’ last trip to Oracle Park ended in a three-game sweep in their favor. Because we know they can get the job done in San Francisco, Los Angeles has good betting value here.
Julio Urias and Logan Webb are both having good seasons with Urias having a 3.63 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP while Webb owning an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.25. These two pitchers also found success during these teams’ previous series.
However, the Giants lost two home games against Pittsburgh last weekend and lost their series to the Cardinals prior to that. San Francisco has not been in good form since the resumption of play after the All-Star break.
Give me the Dodgers to pick up the big road win here.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -120
Over/Under Odds
The total has gone under in six out of the Dodgers’ last seven Tuesday games. The under is 6-3 in their last nine Tuesday road games, 4-0 in their last four games after a win, 3-1-1 in their last five games as betting favorites, 3-1-1 in their last five games overall, and 12-5-3 in their last 20 games against a right-handed starter.
The under is 9-2 in the Giants’ last 11 games when their opponent allows two or fewer runs in their previous game, 5-1 in their last six games after an off day, 6-2-1 when the total is set between 8.0-9.5, 7-3 in their last 10 games against a left-handed starter, and 9-4 in their last 13 games as betting underdogs.
Over
8.5 (-115)
Under
8.5 (-105)
Odds from BetOnline as of 07/27/2021
Logan Webb has not conceded more than two runs in his last two starts against the Dodgers while Julio Urias is coming off a game where he shut down the Giants to just one earned run in seven innings.
With two good pitchers on the mound handling their business, this game will turn to a low-scoring and defensive battle where runs will be tough to come by. When both go out of the game, these two teams also have Top-10 ranked bullpens who can limit the scoring.
The Dodgers’ last five games have seen a total of fewer than nine runs. I think this won’t be any different. Give me the teams to go under the total.
Prediction: Under 8.5
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