The Los Angeles Dodgers make the trip to Oracle Park where they take on the San Francisco Giant in a series between National League West division rivals.
Los Angeles is 68-33 on the season and they are tied for the best record in the majors. The Dodgers are 12 games ahead of the San Diego Padres in the division standings. Meanwhile, the 51-51 Giants are in third place in the division and they are a far 17.5 games behind the Dodgers’ pace. However, the Giants are still alive in the Wild Card race and are just four games off the last wild card spot in the NL.
These teams have played nine times this season with the Dodgers leading the season set 6-3. Los Angeles swept San Francisco 4-0 in their most recent set just before the All-Star break.
Los Angeles has the best record in the National League and they are tied with the New York Yankees for the best record in the majors. The Dodgers beat the Rockies 3-1 in their last series. Los Angeles defeated Colorado 7-3 on Sunday to clinch the set. Los Angeles and the Yankees are the top two betting favorites to win the World Series.
The Dodgers rank second in the majors in runs scored with 526. They are 3rd in team batting average at .258, 1st in on-base percentage at .336, and .442 in slugging percentage. Los Angeles has the no. 1 pitching staff in baseball with a team ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.08. They also rank second in BAA at .218 and are T-10 in quality starts with 42.
Andrew Heaney will get the chance to open on top of the mound for the Dodgers. The 31-year-old left-hander from Oklahoma City, OK is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.47 and a WHIP of 0.88 in a total of four starts this season. Heaney has allowed one earned run on 10 hits in a total of 19.1 innings pitched with 27 strikeouts and seven walks.
The Giants defeated the Chicago Cubs 3-1 in their previous series. San Francisco clinched the series win with a 4-0 triumph on Sunday behind Carlos Rodon who delivered a great performance amid trade rumors. The Giants are 51-51 on the season and they are 17.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division standings and four games off the Wild Card pace.
San Francisco ranks 8th in run-scoring at 471 total runs scored this season. They are 3rd in on-base percentage at .319 but are just 23rd in team batting average at .235. The Giants are 14th in slugging percentage at 395. Their pitching staff is 10th overall in team ERA at 3.85 and is 13th with 37 quality starts. San Francisco is 18th in WHIP at 1.27 and ae 23rd in BAA at .249.
Right-hander Logan Webb will start Game 1 for the Giants. The 25-year-old from Rocklin, CA is 9-4 with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.13 in a total of 21 starts this season. Webb has allowed 42 earned runs on 114 hits with 108 strikeouts and 33 walks. He allowed four earned runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings pitched during his last start.
The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last four games played against the Giants. The Dodgers are also 2-5 in their last seven meetings in San Francisco.
The Dodgers are:
115-50 in their last 165 games played overall.
7-1 in their last 8 road games.
4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
4-1 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
4-1 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
44-13 in their last 57 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
20-6 in their last 26 road games versus a right-handed starter.
45-15 in their last 60 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
44-16 in their last 60 against National League West.
37-14 in their last 51 Game 1s of a series.
39-15 in their last 54 games following a win.
46-19 in their last 65 games versus a right-handed starter.
36-15 in their last 51 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
115-50 in their last 165 games on grass.
152-66 in their last 218 vs. a team with a losing record.
36-16 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
60-28 in their last 88 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
38-18 in their last 56 road games versus a team with a losing record.
44-21 in their last 65 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
74-36 in their last 110 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
The Giants are:
3-8 in their last 11 games played overall.
6-1 in their last 7 home games.
8-1 in their last 9 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
8-1 in their last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
18-5 in their last 23 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
12-5 in their last 17 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
37-18 in their last 55 home games against a left-handed starter.
3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.
3-8 in their last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
1-7 in their last 8 Game 1s of a series.
0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
0-4 in their last 4 Monday games.
0-7 in their last 7 against the National League West division.
0-4 in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning % above .600.
Dodgers
-114
Giants
+104
Odds from BetOnline as of 08/01/2022
Heaney lasted only four innings in his last start but he allowed only one hit with zero runs during a 7-1 win over the Nationals. Los Angeles has won three out of his last four starts and he has not allowed a run in any of those three wins. However, it’s worth noting that this is his first start against the Giants this season.
Meanwhile, Webb is coming off a start where he gave up four runs on seven hits in 6 ⅓ innings during a 5-3 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. San Francisco is 0-2 in his last two starts and he conceded one run on six hits in his last start against the Dodgers, which came two starts ago.
Both teams are playing well right now but the Dodgers are playing much better and recently swept the Giants 4-0 in a series right before the All-Star break. I expect the explosive Dodgers offense to get runs off Webb who is coming off a bad start. Heaney has pitched well this season and has been great in keeping their opponents from scoring runs. I think he will pitch well for the Dodgers and hold the Giants under control and just enough for Los Angeles to win.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Dodgers and Giants. The under is also 3-0-1 in their last four meetings in San Francisco.
Los Angeles Dodgers over/under trends:
Under is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 road games.
Under is 5-1 in the Dodgers’ last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in the Dodgers’ last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 8-2-3 in the Dodgers’ last 13 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 on grass.
Under is 18-6-2 in the Dodgers’ last 26 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 18-6-2 in the Dodgers’ last 26 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 16-6-4 in the Dodgers’ last 26 games against National League West.
Under is 5-2 in the Dodgers’ last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-2 in the Dodgers’ last 7 versus a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 9-4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 14 Monday games.
Under is 20-9-3 in the Dodgers’ last 32 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 33-15-4 in the Dodgers’ last 52 Game 1s of a series.
Under is 33-15-3 in the Dodgers’ last 51 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
San Francisco Giants over/under trends:
Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last four games played overall.
Under is 5-2 in the Giants’ last 7 home games.
Under is 4-2 in the Giants’ last six Monday games.
Under is 9-4 in the Giants’ last 13 games played in August.
Under is 5-1-1 in the Giants’ last 7 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 12-3-3 in the Giants’ last 18 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 8-2-1 in the Giants’ last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 6-2 in the Giants’ last 8 games following a win.
Under is 5-2 in the Giants’ last 7 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Over is 7-3 in the Giants’ last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 21-19 in the Giants’ last 10 home games against the National League.
Over
7.5 (-110)
Under
7.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 08/01/2022
These teams have combined to score an average of 7.1 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, and 7.66 runs per game in their most recent three encounters.
The Dodgers have seen the total hit at least 8 runs in each of their last six games played and in seven out of their last eight games played overall. Meanwhile, the Giants have seen the total hit over in half of their last eight games played. San Francisco has allowed at least four runs in eight out of their last 10 games played.
Los Angeles has scored at least five runs in six out of their last 10 games played. With Webb not throwing well as of late, I expect the Dodgers to score a significant number of runs against the Giants. The total isn’t that high for these two teams. I expect them to go over any total lower than 8 runs.
Prediction: Over 7.5
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