Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys 09/27/2021 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Philadelphia Eagles visit the Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium on Monday Night Football for the early lead in the NFC East division.

Both the Eagles and Cowboys have a 1-1 record after two weeks and are tied on top of their division. Philadelphia came up short last week, losing 17-11 to the San Francisco 49ers as three-point home underdogs. Meanwhile, Dallas picked up a 20-17 win over the Los Angeles Chargers as three-point favorites on the road.

Dallas leads their all-time series 70-54 but these teams split their 2020 series with Dallas winning their home opener 37-17 in late December. The Cowboys have lost their last seven prime time games, including their Week 1 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Eagles have won four out of their last five Monday Night Football appearances.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles struggled to score against the 49ers last week, scoring only 11 points after putting up 32 against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1.

Jalen Hurts completed only 12 of 23 passes for 190 yards against the 49ers which was a far cry from his 264-yard three-touchdown performance against the Falcons in Week 1. However, Hurts had success on the ground again, rushing for a total of 82 yards on 13 carries, including a one-yard TD run which was the lone score in the fourth quarter of the game.

The Eagles are averaging 21.5 points per game in their first two assignments, Philadelphia is passing for 219 yards per game and rushing the football 162 yards per contest. Their defense has been impressive, giving up an average of 11.5 points per game so far this season.

Philadelphia is the only team in the NFL that hasn’t turned the ball over after two weeks. However, the Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars are the only teams that have not forced a single turnover yet this season.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Eagles

+158

Cowboys

-178

Odds from BetOnline as of 09/27/2021

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys bounced back from a last-second loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with their own last-second win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2 courtesy of Greg Zuerlein’s 56-yard field goal.

Dak Prescott had a solid game for the Cowboys with 237 passing yards on 23 of 27 passing. Prescott has passed for a total of 640 yards in two games but after throwing for 3 touchdowns in Week 1, he had zero last week while throwing one interception. The Dallas rushing offense though stepped up with 198 rushing yards on 31 carries with two touchdowns.

Dallas is scoring 24.5 points per game this season and is throwing 306 yards per contest while also rushing for 129 yards per outing. The Cowboys’ defense is allowing 24 points per game in two games.

The Cowboys head to their home opener with a league-best six takeaways on four interceptions and two fumble recoveries. They also lead the NFL with a plus-four turnover differential.

Who Wins?

Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. The Eagles are 1-4 SU in their last five games against the NFC, and 1-5 SU in their last six home games played. Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last six games played. The Cowboys are 13-3 SU in their last 16 Week 3 games played, and 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against the Eagles.

The Eagles also have an equally talented QB in Jalen Hurts who can also make things happen for his team. However, Hurts doesn’t have the same quality of weapons as Prescott has with Dallas having more explosive position players. Losing an outstanding lineman in Books doesn’t help either.

Dallas’ running game produced 198 yards on 31 carries last week and if they continue to deliver the numbers, that will take the pressure off Dak Prescott. Give me the home team to pull off the victory here and take the early division lead.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -178

Other Bets to Make

The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs, 1-4 ATS in their last five games on field turf, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 September games, 0-4 ATS in their last four Week 3 games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight up loss.

Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on field turf, 4-1 ATS in their last five games when picking up more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games against the Eagles, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Philadelphia.

What are the Spread Odds?

Eagles

+3.5 (-115)

Cowboys

-3.5 (-105)

Odds from BetOnline as of 09/27/2021

Dak Prescott has shown little signs of rust after missing most of last season due to a serious ankle injury. The Cowboys’ starting QB has thrown for 640 yards in two games and has been complemented by a rushing attack that picked up close to 200 yards in their last game against the Chargers.

Jalen Hurts put up an impressive opening game effort but his production went down in week 2. With the Dallas pass defense struggling early in the season, he should be able to move the ball here. However, with Dallas’ rush defense holding their first two opponents to below 100 rushing yards, the Eagles are going to struggle on the crowd, putting pressure on Hurts’ passing game which may not be up to the task yet.

Prediction: Cowboys -3.5

The total has gone under in nine out of the last 12 games played by the Eagles. The under is 6-2 in their last eight games as underdogs, 9-3 in their last 12 against the NFC, 8-3 in their last 11 week 3 games, 5-2 in their last seven games after a loss, and 4-1 in their last five against their NFC East rivals.

The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by the Cowboys. The over is also 8-2 in their last 10 home games, 5-1 in their last six games as home favorites, and 11-5 in their last 16 games against the NFC East. The under however is 4-1 in their last five games as betting favorites and 9-4 in their last 13 Week 3 games.

Both these teams can score points in a hurry but for the season, Philadelphia is averaging only 21.5 points per game and Dallas 24.5 points per contest. Add both averages and we come up short of 50 points.

The Eagles defense has allowed an average of 11.5 points per game after two weeks and they have done well against the pass this season, which should make it tough for Dak Prescott to get his passing game going. Dallas has a good ground game but that’s going to slow the game down and lead to a lower-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 51.5

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