Philadelphia Eagles vs Houston Texans 11/03/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Philadelphia Eagles take their unbeaten record to the NRG Stadium where they will take on the Houston Texans on Thursday Night Football.

The Eagles are off to a fast start they have climbed the Super Bowl odds boards and are now second behind the Buffalo Bills. Philadelphia has the best record in the NFL right now and this is quite a surprise for these Birds.

Meanwhile, there isn’t anything surprising about the Houston Texans who have decided to stick with Davis Mill this year. The Houston offense has been paltry this season and they also don’t have the defense that can compensate for that. The Texans are 1-5-1 SU in their first seven games played and are at the bottom of the team standings, as expected.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles are soaring high to start the season. Philly is unbeaten after seven games played and they rank 3rd in scoring at 28.0 points per game. They are 6th on the ground and 10th through the air. The Eagles are also 4th in scoring defense at only 16.9 points per game conceded.

Jalen Hurts has been the catalyst for these Eagles. The dual-threat QB has passed for 1,799 yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions while completing 67% of his passes and averaging 8.5 yards per completion. Hurts is also doing damage on the ground with 303 rushing yards and six rushing TDs.

On defense, Philly is allowing just 183.4 passing and 14.7 rushing yards this season. The Eagles’ defense is led by C.J. Gardner Johnson who is tied for the NFL lead with 4 INTS. Johnson also has 29 tackles and 5 passes defended. Haason Redick is tied for 5th in the NFL with 5.5 sacks and tied for third with 3 forced fumbles.

Houston Texans

The Texans opened the season with a solid tie against the Indianapolis Colts. They went on to lose three in a row before beating the Jacksonville Jaguars 13-6 in their first and only win of the season so far.

Davis Mills has completed 63.1% of his passes for 1,502 passing yards with 8 TDs and 6 INTs. Dameon Pierce leads the Texans with 539 rushing yards with 3 TD while averaging 4.5 yards per rush. Houston is just 25th in passing at 196.3 yards per game. They are also 26th on the ground with 96.4 rushing yards per game.

Rookie Jalen Pitre leads the team with two interceptions while also recording 29 solo tackles and a sack. Jonathan Owens is the team leader with 58 total tackles while Jerry Hughes has 5 sacks, 1 forced fumble, 1 INT, and 14 tackles.

Eagles vs Texans SU Prediction

The Eagles are 5-0 SU in their last five games played against the Texans. Philadelphia is also 3-0 SU in their last three games played in Houston.

Philadelphia Eagles SU trends:

• The Eagles are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games played.

• The Eagles are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played on the road.

• The Eagles are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games played against the AFC South Division.

• The Eagles are 5-2 SU in their last 7 Week 9 games played.

Houston Texans SU trends:

• The Texans are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played.

• The Texans are 1-9-1 SU in their last 11 games played at home.

• The Texans are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played against the NFC East Division.

• The Texans are 3-10 SU in their last 13 Thursday games played.

Despite coming off their bye week, the Eagles didn’t miss a bit with Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown once again showing their tremendous chemistry before their hometown fans. The pair connected on the Eagles’ first three touchdowns as they took a 21-10 first-half lead. With the Steelers unable to get anything going in the second half, it was tough for them to overcome that deficit.

The Texans might not look like a formidable challenge to end the Eagles’ unbeaten run. However, Philadelphia hasn’t been too good when covering a double-digit spread, especially on the road. The Eagles are just 0-3 ATS as double-digit favorites since 2000 and are just 1-2 SU in those games.

The Eagles will be a big test for the Houston defense. The Texans struggled to stop Derrick Henry the last time out and they will definitely experience issues defending Jalen Hurts’ ability to run the football. Hurts rushed for only 10 yards on 2 carries the last time out. But he didn’t have to use his legs in that game.

On the other hand, the Texans are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games as double-digit underdogs while winning one of those games outright. The over is also 5-1 in the last six games where Houston is a bottom dog.

The Eagles can beat with both their passing game and running attack. The Texans allowed 362 rushing touchdowns to Derrick Henry and Josh Jacobs over the past two weeks. I think the Eagles can win this game by simply pounding the ball.

Meanwhile, Houston’s best shot at winning this game is by turning it into a shootout, much like how they beat the Chargers last season. Davis Mills hasn’t been spectacular this season but he has always been solid. I have no question that the Eagles are going to win this game.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles vs Texans ATS Prediction

The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played against the Texans. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the last four games played between these two teams.

Philadelphia Eagles ATS trends:

• The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

• The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

• ​​The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

• The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up win.

• The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

• The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.

• The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

• The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9.

• The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

• The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a losing home record.

• The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Eagles are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Houston Texans ATS trends:

• The Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• The Texans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• The Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9.

• The Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.

• The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Texans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

The Texans have lost five out of their six-game played and they are winless at home this season. Houston isn’t a very good team when running the football and they aren’t good at throwing the leather. Meanwhile, the Eagles’ defense has been good this year and they are defending both the pass and run well.

The Eagles are 7-0 SU this season and they are 3-0 SU on the road this season. Philadelphia has the third-best scoring attack in the NFL and 6th on the ground. In comparison, the Texans are dead-last against the run and gave up more than 300 rushing yards in their previous game. They should struggle to score against the Eagles.

13.5 points is too much to lay especially when a team is playing on the road. But the Eagles have played so well so far this season that there is no reason yet to doubt them.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles vs Texans Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played between these two teams.

Philadelphia Eagles over/under trends:

• The under is 4-1 in the Eagles’ last 5 road games.

• The under is 16-5 in the Eagles’ last 21 games in November.

• The under is 57-24 in the Eagles’ last 81 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

• The over is 6-1 in the Eagles’ last 7 games in Week 9.

• The over is 4-1 in the Eagles’ last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

• The over is 20-7 in the Eagles’ last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

• The over is 20-8 in the Eagles’ last 28 games on field turf.

Houston Texans over/under trends:

• The over is 4-0 in the Texans’ last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• The over is 5-0 in the Texans’ last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

• The over is 5-2 in the Texans’ last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• The over is 5-2 in the Texans’ last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The over is 5-2 in the Texans’ last 7 games following a straight-up loss.

• The over is 5-2 in the Texans’ last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• The under is 10-4 in the Texans’ last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.

• The under is 5-1 in the Texans’ last 6 games in November.

• The under is 4-1 in the Texans’ last 5 games in Week 9.

• The under is 6-2 in the Texans’ last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Philadelphia is scoring 28 points per game this season and they averaged 32.2 points per game in their last three games played against Houston. While the Eagles love to run which takes up precious time, the Texans have the worst run defense in the league so they should be able to pick up plenty of first downs and touchdowns in this game.

Houston averaged 25 points per game in their last three games played against Philadelphia. The Eagles have a great defense but they have conceded 20 or more points in their last three road games.

These teams have combined to score an average of 51.6 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 55.33 points per game in their most recent three encounters. This one should be another high-scoring game between these two teams.

Prediction: Over 45.

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