ESL One Hamburg 2018 Playoffs Predictions

The Playoffs Stage of ESL One Hamburg 2018 is underway and we have 3 more days of exciting matches coming up. In this article, I will help you get a better understanding of who the best teams are, what has happened so far and how you can take advantage of the Dota 2 betting opportunities offered by this event.

Group Stage results

The results after the Group Stage of ESL One Hamburg 2018 were somewhat surprising but for the most part, all the usual suspects have advanced into the Playoffs.

Group A

• Team Secret (8 W – 2 L)
• Vici Gaming (8 W – 2 L)
• Evil Geniuses (5 W – 5 L)
• paiN Gaming (4 W – 6 L)
• Alliance (3 W – 7 L)
• Mineski (2 W – 8 L)

Group B

• Team Aster (9 W – 1 L)
• Virtus.pro (8 W – 2 L)
• Forward Gaming (5 W – 5 L)
• compLexity Gaming (4 W – 6 L)
• Ninjas in Pyjamas (3 W – 7 L)
• EVOS Esports (1 W – 9 L)

Betting predictions

Here are my betting predictions for the next 3 matches of the Playoffs Stage of ESL One Hamburg 2018.

Virtus.pro vs. Vici Gaming

Virtus.pro finished 5th – 6th at The International 2018 and is one of the strongest competitors at this event. In the Group Stage of ESL One Hamburg 2018, VP lost against Team Aster but won the rest of its matches, finishing 2nd in Group B with 8 wins and 2 losses.

On the other side, Vici Gaming finished the Dota Pro Circuit in 6th place last year and then went on to place 9th – 12th at TI 8. The team has a very strong roster and a lot of potential, and so far it proved to be fully capable of beating any team at this tournament. In the Group Stage, VG finished 1st in Group A with the same number of points as Team Secret (8 W – 2 L). In its first Upper Bracket match, VG defeated Team Aster, which was regarded as the strongest team at ESL One Hamburg 2018 after the Group Stage. So we’re likely to see a very close match between VP and VG.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.55 – 2.30 in favor of Virtus.pro, regarding the CIS team as the clear favorite to win this match. While I do agree that VP is probably the better side here, I do not believe these odds are accurate at all. Keep in mind that VP lost against Aster and VG defeated it at this tournament. That’s a pretty strong indicator that VG might be considerably better than most people believe. And at these odds, a smaller bet on Vici Gaming is actually the wiser choice.

Evil Geniuses vs. compLexity Gaming

Evil Geniuses has played at this tournament without Suma1L, and his absence was felt from the start. Still, EG managed to finish 3rd in Group A and is a much stronger competitor than compLexity Gaming.

On the other side, compLexity hasn’t done very well in recent months and it’s actually quite impressive that they managed to advance from the groups at ESL One Hamburg 2018. The team’s final record was 4 W – 6 L after a last minute 2 – 0 win versus NiP.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.25 – 3.55 in favor of Evil Geniuses, regarding the match as a done deal before it even begins. And I do tend to agree with this assessment, even though I expect compLexity to force a 3rd game and give EG a run for their money.

Forward Gaming vs. paiN Gaming

Forward Gaming finished 3rd in Group B and is the only team that managed to steal a game from Aster during the Group Stage. The team’s roster is top notch and its past results are also impressive if we consider that this is almost entirely the former VGJ.Storm roster that won a 2nd place in a Major and got many other top results in 2017-2018.

paiN Gaming is also a fairly strong team, especially now, in its current format. Both w33 and MISERY have shaped the play style of the squad for the better, introducing it to some of the best tactics and strategies in the game. Their wealth of experience has no doubt helped the Brazillian side to go up in world rankings.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.45 – 2.55 in favor of Forward Gaming and this is absolutely accurate. The match will likely require 3 games to be decided, but I do expect Forward Gaming to win in the end.