The New York Giants head to the AT&T Stadium where they will face the Dallas Cowboys in a very important divisional battle between NFC East teams.
New York is 7-3 SU on the season but the Giants have lost two out of their last three games played. In their most recent assignment, the Giants lost to the Detroit Lions 18-13 as -3 point spread favorites. New York also lost to Seattle 27-13 two games earlier.
Dallas is also 7-3 SU on the season. The Cowboys have lost just once in their last four games played and they head to this matchup in high spirits after a dominating 40-3 win over the Minnesota Vikings. Dallas also beat the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears by double digits during that stretch.
New York Giants
The Giants lost to the Detroit Lions the last time out. Daniel Jones completed 27/44 passes for 341 yards and two touchdowns. Saquon Barkley is having a great season but was held in check the last time out with only 22 yards on 15 carries. Jones led the team in rushing with 50 yards. Wan’Dale Robinson led the Giants with 9 catches for 100 yards while Richie Jams scored the only TD pass for the Giants in that game.
Jones has completed 65% of his passes for 1937 yards with 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. New York ranks 12th from the bottom in scoring at 20.5 points per game and 14th worst in total offense at 334.5. The Giants are 5th from the bottom in passing yards at 177.3 per game but their rushing offense is 4th-best in the league at 157.2 yards per game.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys head to this game after a massive win over the Minnesota Vikings who are one of the best teams in the AFC. Not only did Dallas win, but they also dominated Minnesota 40-3. Dak Prescott is back and he looked more like his old self the last time out, with only three incompletions in 25 passes for 276 yards with 2 touchdown passes.
Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott led the rushing attack with Pollard accounting for 80 rushing yards and Elliott scoring two TD runs. Pollard leads the team with 701 rushing yards with six rushing TDs. Prescott has passed for 1,132 passing yards with 9 TDs and 4 interceptions. The Cowboys are the no. 1 team in scoring defense with opponents averaging just 16.7 points per game against them.
Giants vs Cowboys 11/24/22 SU Prediction
The Giants are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played against the Cowboys. New York is 0-4 SU in their last 4 games played against Dallas.
New York Giants SU trends:
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The Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games played.
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The Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games played on the road.
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The Giants are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played against the NFC.
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The Giants are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against the NFC East.
Dallas Cowboys SU trends:
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The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games played.
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The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played at home.
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The Cowboys are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games played against the NFC East.
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The Cowboys are 3-9 SU in their last 12 November games.
The Giants have lost three in a row to the Cowboys. New York has also dropped its last three games in Dallas. Snapping both skids looks tough right now considering that Giants QB Daniel Jones has lost another one of his top targets in wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson who suffered a torn ACL in the team’s loss to the Lions last week.
Jones targeted Robinson 13 times against Detroit and the WR caught 9 passes for 100 yards in what turned out to be the last game of his rookie season. Without Robinson, Jones will rely heavily on Darius Slayton, Richie James, and Kenny Golladay. Jame is dealing with a knee injury so that receiving corps could be more short-handed on Thursday night.
The Cowboys got Ezekiel Elliott back during their game against the Minnesota Vikings and he helped current team-leading rusher Tony Pollard do the job on the ground with two one-yard TD runs. Pollard though has become one of the best rushers in the NFL and he is coming off a game where he rushed for 80 yards on 15 carriers while catching six passes for 109 yards with two TDs.
Kicker Brett Maher is also coming off a strong performance where he connected on four field goals, including three from 50+ yards out. Quarterback Dak Prescott also played well for Dallas as he completed 22 out of 25 passes for 276 yards with 2 TD passes, both to Pollard. That game came after Dak threw two picks during a 31-28 OT loss to the Green Bay Packers.
The Giants’ defense let them down last week. They need that defense to play better on Thursday so they can prevent the Cowboys from a fast start. Saquon Barkley needs to play better than the 27-rushing yard effort the last time out if the Giants are to win this game.
The Cowboys looked invincible in blowing out the Minnesota Vikings who were coming off a huge OT win versus the Buffalo Bills. Prescott will be the key to winning this game. If Dak can limit his turnovers and get his receivers involved early on, the Cowboys should get off to a fast start and hang on for the win.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys
Giants vs Cowboys ATS Prediction
The Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played against the Cowboys. New York is 1-5 AT in their last 6 games played in Dallas.
New York Giants ATS trends:
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The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
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The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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The Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
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The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
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The Giants are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus the NFC.
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The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
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The Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against the NFC East.
Dallas Cowboys ATS trends:
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The Cowboys are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
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The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
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The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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The Cowboys are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on field turf.
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The Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games versus the NFC.
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The Cowboys are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games against the NFC East.
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The Cowboys are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
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The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
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The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
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The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
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The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Giants
+9.5 (-110)
Cowboys
-9.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/23/2022
While I have no doubt that the Cowboys will win this game, I’m not sure about them winning by double-digits here. The Giants have a good rushing game and if they can keep up with the Cowboys early, they should be able to keep this game close. Not to mention that their rushing attack will eat up time and limit Dak Prescott’s time on the field.
New York is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall and has covered the spread in their last five games after picking up 350 offensive yards in their previous outing. The Cowboys have covered twice in their last 7 games overall. I just don’t think this will be a double-digit win for Dallas.
Prediction: Giants +9.5
Giants vs Cowboys Over/Under Prediction
The over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The total has gone over in 10 out of their last 13 head-to-head meetings in Dallas.
New York Giants over/under trends:
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The under is 33-16-2 in the Giants’ last 51 games overall.
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The under is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 road games.
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The under is 6-0-1 in the Giants’ last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
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The under is 5-0-1 in the Giants’ last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
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The under is 7-0 in the Giants’ last 7 games in Week 12.
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The under is 8-1 in the Giants’ last 9 games in November.
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The under is 20-5-2 in the Giants’ last 27 games on field turf.
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The under is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 games versus a team with a winning record.
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The under is 21-6-1 in the Giants’ last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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The under is 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
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The under is 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home.
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The under is 9-3-2 in the Giants’ last 14 against the NFC.
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The under is 3-1-1 in the Giants’ last 5 versus the NFC East.
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The under is 18-7-1 in the Giants’ last 26 games following an ATS loss.
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The under is 18-7-1 in the Giants’ last 26 games following a straight-up loss.
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The over is 7-2 in the Giants’ last 9 Thursday games.
Dallas Cowboys over/under trends:
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The under is 7-1 in the Cowboys’ last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
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The under is 6-1 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
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The under is 6-1 in the Cowboys’ last 7 home games.
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The under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
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The under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
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The under is 13-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 17 games on field turf.
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The under is 15-6-1 in the Cowboys’ last 22 games overall.
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The under is 10-4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games following an ATS win.
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The under is 10-4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games following a straight-up win.
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The under is 12-5-1 in the Cowboys’ last 18 versus the NFC.
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The over is 3-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 against the NFC East.
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The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 Thursday games.
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The over is 8-2 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games in Week 12.
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The over is 3-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over
45.5 (-110)
Under
45.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/23/2022
Considering this is a divisional matchup, I expect both teams to be at their best. Especially on defense. The Giants have been able to deliver good defensive efforts when they need them. The Cowboys have been good on defense all season long.
Although we’re more than past the halfway mark of the season and the teams look in regular season form already, preparing for a short week is always tough on teams. That should lead to a more sloppy game with scoring compromised.
New York’s best chance to win this game is if Saquon Barkley can establish the Giants’ rushing attack. If that happens, the Giants are going to eat up plenty of time on the clock and limit Dak Prescott’s ability to find his receivers and get points on the scoreboard. I think this game will be closely fought and with both defenses stepping up, this one should fall short of the total.
Prediction: Under 45.5